Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 17, 2009

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $85.2200 (-0.69%) ($84.9200 - $86.3700) on Fri. Apr. 17, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $85.2200(-0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(30%)    IGOV(27%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(20%)    TLT(19%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(1%)    XLY(3%)    XLK(5%)    XLP(6%)    SPY(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $88.74
5 Day Moving Average   $86.76(-1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.62(-1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.74(-3.97%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.09%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.34%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -4.09%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.58%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.13%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2009	87.24	88.74	86.62	86.76	86.79	86.07	85.22(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-60	-43	-82	22.33	59%	-0.02	-51.2	1.68%	0	-1.4	31	0
2	Apr_16_2009	87.26	89.19	86.97	86.97	87.4	87.05	85.81(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10	-15	-78	21.03	61%	0.07	-42	1.69%	0	-1.3	29	0
3	Apr_15_2009	87.2	89.55	87.47	87.13	87.35	87.51	87.5(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	20	-2	-73	6.86	64%	0.08	-34.5	1.71%	0	-0.8	32	0
4	Apr_14_2009	87.13	89.69	87.72	86.98	87.2	87.75	87.37(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	50	25	-69	7.17	64%	0.07	-33.8	1.71%	0	-0.9	37	0
5	Apr_13_2009	87.07	89.87	87.96	86.56	87.04	87.2	87.88(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	30	27	-85	7.28	64%	0.28	-39.1	1.72%	0	-0.8	35	0

6	Apr_9_2009	86.83	90.05	88.22	86.5	86.48	86.65	86.31(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	10	-22	-115	9.61	58%	0.17	-43.3	1.76%	0	-1.5	25	0
7	Apr_8_2009	86.68	90.3	88.77	87	86.98	86.88	86.61(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-10	-3	-107	12.23	58%	0.16	-42.5	1.76%	0	-1.6	24	0
8	Apr_7_2009	86.54	90.46	89.31	87.89	87.43	86.32	86.74(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-100	-47	-111	11.01	54%	0.17	-33.2	1.78%	0	-1.7	31	0
9	Apr_6_2009	86.39	90.57	89.74	88.59	88.46	87.07	85.27(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-79	-110	-71	-104	22.91	54%	0.14	-30.5	1.8%	0	-2.6	40	0
10	Apr_3_2009	86.27	90.86	90.46	89.54	89.59	88.54	87.59(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-80	-53	-76	16.35	57%	0.2	-23	1.78%	0	-2	42	0

11	Apr_2_2009	86.1	91.11	91.06	90.16	90.09	89.85	88.8(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-20	-38	-51	24.83	57%	0.22	-15.2	1.78%	0	-1.6	44	0
12	Apr_1_2009	85.91	91.28	91.62	90.78	90.61	90.63	91.03(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-0	1	-12	12.3	60%	0.23	-6.8	1.76%	0	-0.2	51	0
13	Mar_31_2009	85.71	91.28	91.82	90.97	90.94	90.33	90.28(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-50	-14	-2	14.4	60%	0.2	-16	1.77%	0	-0.6	56	0
14	Mar_30_2009	85.54	91.19	91.83	91.11	91.23	90.59	89.98(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-26	-50	-35	-0	16.43	60%	0.21	-27.8	1.77%	0	-0.8	59	0
15	Mar_27_2009	85.36	91.24	91.94	91.53	91.37	91.55	90.69(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-15	10	-25	14	11.62	60%	0.23	-40.5	1.76%	0	-0.4	52	0

16	Mar_26_2009	85.16	91.34	92.03	92.11	91.88	91.88	91.93(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10	8	36	12.37	60%	0.24	-44	1.76%	0	0.4	49	0
17	Mar_25_2009	84.96	91.38	91.95	92.59	92.21	91.18	91.98(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-90	-32	27	24.8	60%	0.2	-42.4	1.79%	0	0.4	50	0
18	Mar_24_2009	84.79	91.42	91.7	92.81	92.81	91.88	90.95(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-17	-70	-34	33	17	60%	0.25	-45.7	1.8%	0	-0.3	57	0
19	Mar_23_2009	84.58	91.6	91.47	92.63	92.72	93.24	92.08(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	40	0	38	17.66	60%	0.25	-40.7	1.79%	0	0.2	56	0
20	Mar_20_2009	84.37	91.85	91.31	92.37	92.04	93.75	93.59(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	120	63	57	18.08	60%	0.26	-29	1.77%	0	0.7	56	0

21	Mar_19_2009	84.15	92.02	91.15	91.92	91.26	92.19	94.35(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	50	70	50	35.04	60%	0.25	-25.4	1.78%	0	0.9	53	0
22	Mar_18_2009	83.94	92.05	90.86	91.27	90.65	92.19	93.09(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-40	8	8	59.51	60%	0.24	-25.1	1.79%	0	0.4	49	0
23	Mar_17_2009	83.74	92.22	90.44	90.49	90.72	90.34	90.04(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-20	-7	-28	10.05	57%	0.23	-21.9	1.76%	0	-0.8	40	0
24	Mar_16_2009	83.55	92.48	90.45	90.11	90.38	90.96	90.8(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	50	4	-47	11.79	57%	0.23	-14.7	1.76%	0	-0.6	37	0
25	Mar_13_2009	83.36	92.58	90.46	90.07	89.93	91.09	91.3(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	90	34	-59	11.69	57%		-10.6	1.78%	0	-0.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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