Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 3, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $76.1800 (-1%) ($75.1400 - $77.1400) on Wed. Dec. 3, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.12% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $76.1800(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(28%)    LQD(26%)    TLT(18%)    EEM(17%)    PCY(17%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -1.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(2%)    XLY(4%)    XLP(5%)    XLK(5%)    QQQ(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.56% (StdDev 3.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.89(-2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.63(-1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.13(1.4%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.55% (three month std-dev: 3.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2008	81.01	75.13	77.63	77.89	77.41	76.49	76.18(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-100	-20	62	10.69	50%	-0.25	38.5	3.12%	0	0.3	69	0
2	Dec_2_2008	81.21	75.09	77.33	78.83	78.44	76.64	76.95(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-15	-180	-43	70	6.95	49%	-0.25	49.3	3.12%	0	0.5	63	0
3	Dec_1_2008	81.41	74.8	76.95	79.62	79.41	78.33	75.65(-5.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-100	-46	81	13.15	49%	-0.23	54	3.13%	0	0.2	56	0
4	Nov_28_2008	81.6	74.6	76.76	80.26	80.51	80.24	80.31(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	-10	15	123	3.67	52%	-0.28	57.7	3.05%	0	1.6	70	0
5	Nov_26_2008	81.83	74.2	75.94	78.89	79.79	80.48	80.38(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	90	26	109	9.14	52%	-0.13	55	3.03%	0	1.9	71	0

6	Nov_25_2008	81.94	73.84	74.9	77.27	78.05	80.79	80.87(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	69	280	61	94	17.53	52%	-0.12	49.2	3.03%	0	2.4	69	0
7	Nov_24_2008	82.04	73.44	73.97	75.6	76.18	79.1	80.91(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	93	290	98	76	19.9	52%	-0.01	34.8	3.03%	0	3.1	59	0
8	Nov_21_2008	82.05	72.97	73.16	73.94	74.12	75.32	78.85(7.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	51	120	55	40	30.47	53%	-0.17	5.9	3.02%	0	3.4	65	0
9	Nov_20_2008	82.19	72.61	72.46	72.83	72.98	73.26	73.45(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	30	8	8	13.59	49%	-0.24	-36.2	2.9%	0	0.7	56	0
10	Nov_19_2008	82.39	72.47	72.32	72.57	73.01	72.92	72.26(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	10	14	5	13.97	50%	-0.24	-75.8	2.89%	0	-0.2	50	0

11	Nov_18_2008	82.59	72.45	72.37	72.12	72.44	72.69	72.51(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	40	-1	-12	8.15	51%	-0.23	-108.8	2.9%	0	0	46	0
12	Nov_17_2008	82.78	72.61	72.64	72.03	71.98	73.09	72.65(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	110	15	-3	7.71	51%	-0.23	-97.3	2.91%	0	0	47	0
13	Nov_14_2008	82.97	72.87	72.5	72.22	71.84	72.19	73.3(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	20	22	0	12.81	49%	-0.22	-93	2.92%	0	0.2	53	0
14	Nov_13_2008	83.15	73.04	72.31	72.06	72	70.87	72.15(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-110	-15	-20	16.83	49%	-0.18	-91.7	2.93%	0	-0.4	51	0
15	Nov_12_2008	83.3	73.37	72.36	72.07	72.4	71.49	70(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-70	-40	-24	10.04	47%	-0.22	-84.5	2.91%	0	-1	51	0

16	Nov_11_2008	83.48	74	72.77	72.63	73.03	73.14	72.05(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	30	-13	1	8.36	45%	-0.18	-80.8	2.89%	0	-0.5	52	0
17	Nov_10_2008	83.63	74.48	72.95	73.32	73.4	73.31	73.58(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10	11	16	6.1	45%	-0.19	-76.4	2.91%	0	-0.2	44	0
18	Nov_7_2008	83.79	74.87	72.81	72.82	73.46	72.93	72.5(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-5	-14	6.05	45%	-0.19	-75.9	2.92%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Nov_6_2008	83.95	75.38	72.79	72.59	73.19	73.49	72.22(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	50	-6	-31	10.7	45%	-0.19	-63.4	2.91%	0	-0.6	39	0
20	Nov_5_2008	84.11	76.21	72.66	72.69	72.82	73.98	72.8(-3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	120	16	-43	10.32	44%	-0.17	-51.4	2.92%	0	-0.6	36	0

21	Nov_4_2008	84.25	76.99	72.55	72.93	72.84	72.88	75.48(6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	0	23	-66	11.44	44%	-0.14	-45.9	2.9%	0	-0.2	34	0
22	Nov_3_2008	84.37	77.54	72.54	72.59	72.96	71.66	71.1(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-110	-27	-111	6.81	41%	-0.18	-45.4	2.79%	0	-1	26	0
23	Oct_31_2008	84.52	78.2	73.24	72.8	73.36	72.8	71.34(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-30	-28	-118	9.52	41%	-0.17	-49.7	2.79%	0	-1.1	27	0
24	Oct_30_2008	84.66	78.79	73.81	72.98	73.37	74.25	72.71(-1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	100	17	-113	10.9	41%	-0.18	-54	2.79%	0	-1	27	0
25	Oct_29_2008	84.81	79.29	74.43	72.57	72.72	73.92	74(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	120	42	-135	16.12	41%		-59.6	2.78%	0	-0.9	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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