Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $78.8500 (7.35%) ($75.4500 - $79.0000) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $78.8500(7.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(27%)    LQD(26%)    EEM(18%)    TLT(18%)    VWO(17%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(3%)    XLY(5%)    XLK(6%)    QQQ(6%)    XLP(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.94(6.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.16(7.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.97(8.06%)
To recent high   -12.3%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2008	82.05	72.97	73.16	73.94	74.12	75.32	78.85(7.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	51	120	55	40	30.47	53%	-0.17	5.9	3.02%	0	3.4	65	NAN
2	Nov_20_2008	82.19	72.61	72.46	72.83	72.98	73.26	73.45(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	30	8	8	13.59	49%	-0.24	-36.2	2.9%	0	0.7	56	NAN
3	Nov_19_2008	82.39	72.47	72.32	72.57	73.01	72.92	72.26(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	10	14	5	13.97	50%	-0.24	-75.8	2.89%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
4	Nov_18_2008	82.59	72.45	72.37	72.12	72.44	72.69	72.51(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	40	-1	-12	8.15	51%	-0.23	-108.8	2.9%	0	0	46	NAN
5	Nov_17_2008	82.78	72.61	72.64	72.03	71.98	73.09	72.65(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	110	15	-3	7.71	51%	-0.23	-97.3	2.91%	0	0	47	NAN

6	Nov_14_2008	82.97	72.87	72.5	72.22	71.84	72.19	73.3(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	20	22	0	12.81	49%	-0.22	-93	2.92%	0	0.2	53	NAN
7	Nov_13_2008	83.15	73.04	72.31	72.06	72	70.87	72.15(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-110	-15	-20	16.83	49%	-0.18	-91.7	2.93%	0	-0.4	51	NAN
8	Nov_12_2008	83.3	73.37	72.36	72.07	72.4	71.49	70(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-70	-40	-24	10.04	47%	-0.22	-84.5	2.91%	0	-1	51	NAN
9	Nov_11_2008	83.48	74	72.77	72.63	73.03	73.14	72.05(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	30	-13	1	8.36	45%	-0.18	-80.8	2.89%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
10	Nov_10_2008	83.63	74.48	72.95	73.32	73.4	73.31	73.58(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10	11	16	6.1	45%	-0.19	-76.4	2.91%	0	-0.2	44	NAN

11	Nov_7_2008	83.79	74.87	72.81	72.82	73.46	72.93	72.5(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-5	-14	6.05	45%	-0.19	-75.9	2.92%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
12	Nov_6_2008	83.95	75.38	72.79	72.59	73.19	73.49	72.22(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	50	-6	-31	10.7	45%	-0.19	-63.4	2.91%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
13	Nov_5_2008	84.11	76.21	72.66	72.69	72.82	73.98	72.8(-3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	120	16	-43	10.32	44%	-0.17	-51.4	2.92%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
14	Nov_4_2008	84.25	76.99	72.55	72.93	72.84	72.88	75.48(6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	0	23	-66	11.44	44%	-0.14	-45.9	2.9%	0	-0.2	34	NAN
15	Nov_3_2008	84.37	77.54	72.54	72.59	72.96	71.66	71.1(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-110	-27	-111	6.81	41%	-0.18	-45.4	2.79%	0	-1	26	NAN

16	Oct_31_2008	84.52	78.2	73.24	72.8	73.36	72.8	71.34(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-30	-28	-118	9.52	41%	-0.17	-49.7	2.79%	0	-1.1	27	NAN
17	Oct_30_2008	84.66	78.79	73.81	72.98	73.37	74.25	72.71(-1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	100	17	-113	10.9	41%	-0.18	-54	2.79%	0	-1	27	NAN
18	Oct_29_2008	84.81	79.29	74.43	72.57	72.72	73.92	74(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	120	42	-135	16.12	41%	-0.14	-59.6	2.78%	0	-0.9	21	NAN
19	Oct_28_2008	84.93	79.89	75.28	72.11	71.65	72.5	73.79(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-29	60	17	-166	8.47	41%	-0.16	-63.3	2.79%	0	-1.1	22	NAN
20	Oct_27_2008	85.07	80.46	76.08	72.56	71.3	71.52	72.18(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-54	-30	-10	-184	12.16	41%	-0.2	-63.1	2.77%	0	-1.4	24	NAN

21	Oct_24_2008	85.24	81.33	77.05	73.82	72.3	70.81	72.21(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-71	-210	-33	-183	22.47	41%	-0.16	-60.7	2.77%	0	-1.6	32	NAN
22	Oct_23_2008	85.38	82.08	78.16	74.82	74.03	71.07	70.65(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-112	-310	-85	-192	16.66	40%	-0.19	-60	2.75%	0	-2.2	33	NAN
23	Oct_22_2008	85.54	82.92	80.06	76.55	75.79	73.8	71.71(-5.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-116	-210	-102	-158	23.29	39%	-0.19	-56.2	2.77%	0	-2.4	35	NAN
24	Oct_21_2008	85.7	83.72	81.85	78.87	77.96	76.98	76.03(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-120	-46	-98	10.86	41%	-0.14	-49.9	2.7%	0	-2	35	NAN
25	Oct_20_2008	85.82	84.36	82.99	80.1	79.73	77.78	78.5(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-190	-40	-74	9.33	43%		-31.9	2.68%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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