Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 23, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $70.6500 (-1.48%) ($69.5000 - $72.1900) on Thu. Oct. 23, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $70.6500(-1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(27%)    LQD(25%)    EEM(19%)    VWO(19%)    EWY(17%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(4%)    XLY(5%)    XLP(7%)    XLK(7%)    QQQ(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $64.58(-8.59%)
Resistance Level   $82.08
5 Day Moving Average   $74.82(-5.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.16(-9.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.08(-13.93%)
To recent high   -23%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 6.43% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.73%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.87%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.79%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -11.62%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 0.12%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.9%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2008	85.38	82.08	78.16	74.82	74.03	71.07	70.65(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-112	-310	-85	-192	16.66	40%	-0.19	-60	2.75%	0	-2.2	33	NAN
2	Oct_22_2008	85.54	82.92	80.06	76.55	75.79	73.8	71.71(-5.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-116	-210	-102	-158	23.29	39%	-0.19	-56.2	2.77%	0	-2.4	35	NAN
3	Oct_21_2008	85.7	83.72	81.85	78.87	77.96	76.98	76.03(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-120	-46	-98	10.86	41%	-0.14	-49.9	2.7%	0	-2	35	NAN
4	Oct_20_2008	85.82	84.36	82.99	80.1	79.73	77.78	78.5(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-190	-40	-74	9.33	43%	-0.1	-31.9	2.68%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
5	Oct_17_2008	85.91	84.9	83.62	80.8	80.81	78.94	77.21(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-80	-160	-76	-92	15.34	43%	-0.1	-13.6	2.67%	0	-2.3	32	NAN

6	Oct_16_2008	86	85.38	84.25	82	82.08	81.67	79.29(-4.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-30	-55	-77	30.65	42%	-0.12	11.4	2.65%	0	-2.1	41	NAN
7	Oct_15_2008	86.1	85.6	84.63	84.12	83.55	82.69	83.31(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-90	-23	-45	16.91	44%	-0.07	53.8	2.59%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
8	Oct_14_2008	86.16	85.73	84.9	85.35	84.95	82.49	82.2(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-63	-220	-68	-47	12.39	44%	-0.05	72.2	2.59%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
9	Oct_13_2008	86.2	85.52	85.22	86.36	86.79	84.42	81.99(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-180	-74	-42	17.03	44%	-0.12	74.8	2.59%	0	-1	40	NAN
10	Oct_10_2008	86.3	85.36	85.97	86.82	87.87	87.4	83.22(-7.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-0	-30	-17	45.07	46%	-0.09	68	2.6%	0	-0.5	41	NAN

11	Oct_9_2008	86.38	85.04	86.34	86.69	87.61	89.16	89.9(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	160	51	15	20.01	50%	-0.02	54.2	2.45%	0	1	57	NAN
12	Oct_8_2008	86.4	84.24	85.95	85.18	85.99	88.34	89.42(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	220	73	8	31.21	50%	-0.01	37.9	2.45%	0	1	63	NAN
13	Oct_7_2008	86.41	83.5	85.63	84.49	84.37	86.06	87.27(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	40	140	56	-7	20.29	49%	-0.03	29.9	2.43%	0	0.7	54	NAN
14	Oct_6_2008	86.44	82.97	85.69	84.05	84.23	83.64	84.28(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-40	7	-5	21.68	47%	-0.05	25.4	2.39%	0	0.3	65	NAN
15	Oct_3_2008	86.48	82.71	86.17	85.11	84.43	82.69	82.59(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-53	-170	-74	11	24.06	47%	-0.06	28.8	2.39%	0	-0	61	NAN

16	Oct_2_2008	86.53	82.55	86.55	85.92	86.13	84.83	82.33(-4.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-22	-100	-50	64	22.65	47%	-0.03	30.4	2.39%	0	-0	64	NAN
17	Oct_1_2008	86.56	82.37	86.69	86.74	87.21	86.17	85.97(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-70	-29	120	16.79	49%	0.01	32.5	2.34%	0	0.7	73	NAN
18	Sep_30_2008	86.55	82.01	86.66	86.89	87.27	87.44	85.07(-5.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	30	-29	159	20.44	49%	-0.02	31.9	2.34%	0	0.6	69	NAN
19	Sep_29_2008	86.57	81.71	85.95	87.54	87.7	88.25	89.57(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	50	28	208	40.57	52%	0.02	33.9	2.26%	0	1.5	70	NAN
20	Sep_26_2008	86.55	81.27	84.78	87.46	87.54	87.1	86.64(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	50	-30	-1	202	21.99	53%	-0.01	36.7	2.22%	0	1.1	62	NAN

21	Sep_25_2008	86.56	81.01	83.74	87.33	87.66	87.15	86.45(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	42	-30	-7	189	20.69	53%	0.01	37.3	2.27%	0	1.2	62	NAN
22	Sep_24_2008	86.55	80.72	82.47	86.6	87.39	87.98	86.71(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	70	7	169	17.25	53%	0	35.8	2.27%	0	1.3	63	NAN
23	Sep_23_2008	86.55	80.41	81.24	86.35	86.77	88.17	88.32(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	130	78	184	22.36	51%	0.02	37.2	2.26%	0	1.8	64	NAN
24	Sep_22_2008	86.53	79.99	80.01	84.04	85.04	86.8	89.18(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	106	180	94	140	35.32	51%	0.06	27	2.27%	0	2.4	65	NAN
25	Sep_19_2008	86.48	79.52	78.87	81.72	82.21	85.37	85.98(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	97	290	99	91	25.54	49%		17.1	2.22%	0	2	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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