Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 9, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $89.9000 (0.54%) ($86.5400 - $90.5800) on Thu. Oct. 9, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $89.9000(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(27%)    LQD(23%)    EEM(17%)    PCY(17%)    TLT(17%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(3%)    XLY(4%)    XLP(5%)    XLK(6%)    QQQ(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.69(3.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.34(4.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.04(5.71%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 5.57% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2008	86.38	85.04	86.34	86.69	87.61	89.16	89.9(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	160	51	15	20.01	50%	-0.02	54.2	2.45%	0	1	57	NAN
2	Oct_8_2008	86.4	84.24	85.95	85.18	85.99	88.34	89.42(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	220	73	8	31.21	50%	-0.01	37.9	2.45%	0	1	63	NAN
3	Oct_7_2008	86.41	83.5	85.63	84.49	84.37	86.06	87.27(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	40	140	56	-7	20.29	49%	-0.03	29.9	2.43%	0	0.7	54	NAN
4	Oct_6_2008	86.44	82.97	85.69	84.05	84.23	83.64	84.28(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-40	7	-5	21.68	47%	-0.05	25.4	2.39%	0	0.3	65	NAN
5	Oct_3_2008	86.48	82.71	86.17	85.11	84.43	82.69	82.59(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-53	-170	-74	11	24.06	47%	-0.06	28.8	2.39%	0	-0	61	NAN

6	Oct_2_2008	86.53	82.55	86.55	85.92	86.13	84.83	82.33(-4.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-22	-100	-50	64	22.65	47%	-0.03	30.4	2.39%	0	-0	64	NAN
7	Oct_1_2008	86.56	82.37	86.69	86.74	87.21	86.17	85.97(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-70	-29	120	16.79	49%	0.01	32.5	2.34%	0	0.7	73	NAN
8	Sep_30_2008	86.55	82.01	86.66	86.89	87.27	87.44	85.07(-5.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	30	-29	159	20.44	49%	-0.02	31.9	2.34%	0	0.6	69	NAN
9	Sep_29_2008	86.57	81.71	85.95	87.54	87.7	88.25	89.57(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	50	28	208	40.57	52%	0.02	33.9	2.26%	0	1.5	70	NAN
10	Sep_26_2008	86.55	81.27	84.78	87.46	87.54	87.1	86.64(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	50	-30	-1	202	21.99	53%	-0.01	36.7	2.22%	0	1.1	62	NAN

11	Sep_25_2008	86.56	81.01	83.74	87.33	87.66	87.15	86.45(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	42	-30	-7	189	20.69	53%	0.01	37.3	2.27%	0	1.2	62	NAN
12	Sep_24_2008	86.55	80.72	82.47	86.6	87.39	87.98	86.71(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	70	7	169	17.25	53%	0	35.8	2.27%	0	1.3	63	NAN
13	Sep_23_2008	86.55	80.41	81.24	86.35	86.77	88.17	88.32(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	130	78	184	22.36	51%	0.02	37.2	2.26%	0	1.8	64	NAN
14	Sep_22_2008	86.53	79.99	80.01	84.04	85.04	86.8	89.18(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	106	180	94	140	35.32	51%	0.06	27	2.27%	0	2.4	65	NAN
15	Sep_19_2008	86.48	79.52	78.87	81.72	82.21	85.37	85.98(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	97	290	99	91	25.54	49%	0.02	17.1	2.22%	0	2	55	NAN

16	Sep_18_2008	86.46	79.29	78.08	79.63	80.08	83.28	82.8(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	134	300	157	64	60.59	46%	-0.05	3.7	2.17%	0	1.2	50	NAN
17	Sep_17_2008	86.5	79.13	77.58	77.69	77.45	79.04	85.46(11.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.6	79	130	106	-4	65.77	48%	0	-16.7	2.14%	0	2.2	56	NAN
18	Sep_16_2008	86.5	78.83	76.81	75.44	75.44	76.88	76.79(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	130	39	-117	17.19	37%	-0.14	-43.4	1.6%	0	-0.8	36	NAN
19	Sep_15_2008	86.62	78.95	77.03	75.38	75.44	75.85	77.56(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	60	53	-122	17	37%	-0.1	-49.1	1.61%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
20	Sep_12_2008	86.71	78.97	77.4	75.64	75.13	74	75.55(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-75	-130	-47	-159	17.6	34%	-0.14	-58.8	1.57%	0	-1.4	31	NAN

21	Sep_11_2008	86.83	79.18	78.04	76.33	76.31	74.41	73.08(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-126	-180	-110	-174	23.78	32%	-0.2	-66.7	1.51%	0	-2.5	15	NAN
22	Sep_10_2008	87	79.62	78.9	77.39	77.83	76.26	74.22(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-107	-120	-97	-135	29.37	31%	-0.18	-78	1.52%	0	-2.7	32	NAN
23	Sep_9_2008	87.16	79.97	79.63	78.32	78.7	78.22	76.49(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-30	-58	-92	20.2	33%	-0.16	-100.5	1.52%	0	-2.2	36	NAN
24	Sep_8_2008	87.3	80.21	80.11	78.86	79.21	79.41	78.86(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	30	1	-47	10.02	35%	-0.14	-129.3	1.48%	0	-1	53	NAN
25	Sep_5_2008	87.42	80.48	80.33	79.43	79.05	79.19	78.98(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-0	-18	-24	10.74	39%		-115.3	1.54%	0	-0.9	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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