Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 4, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $87.2500 (0.28%) ($86.7000 - $87.5200) on Tue. Jun. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $87.2500(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(27%)    LQD(17%)    TLT(17%)    USO(16%)    EEM(14%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-0%)    XLY(1%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $87.94
5 Day Moving Average   $86.54(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.83(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.94(-0.78%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2008	90.47	87.94	86.83	86.54	86.41	87.32	87.25(0.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	19	70	28	-10	5.29	40%	-0.06	-12.8	1.66%	0	-0.4	44	NAN
2	Jun_16_2008	90.52	88.05	86.78	86.2	86.33	86.58	87.01(1.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	22	20	37	-24	7	40%	-0.03	-11.8	1.66%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
3	Jun_13_2008	90.55	88.15	86.87	86.4	85.92	85.49	85.83(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-50	-40	-63	8.43	42%	-0.04	-5.5	1.65%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
4	Jun_12_2008	90.59	88.23	87.04	87.04	86.63	86.09	85.6(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-60	-23	-55	9.83	42%	-0.03	3.3	1.66%	0	-1.4	34	NAN
5	Jun_11_2008	90.62	88.24	87.15	87.21	87.37	86.34	87.02(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-80	-21	-72	10.16	42%	-0.01	4.6	1.66%	0	-0.6	34	NAN

6	Jun_10_2008	90.63	88.19	87.34	87.14	87.24	87.16	85.55(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-0	-46	-92	13.91	40%	-0.06	0.4	1.64%	0	-1.3	34	NAN
7	Jun_9_2008	90.68	88.28	87.73	87.41	87.49	88.4	87.99(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	80	41	-54	9.17	42%	0.01	6.5	1.61%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
8	Jun_6_2008	90.67	88.26	88.01	87.4	87.1	87.31	89.06(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	10	10	30	-52	17.43	42%	0.02	12.8	1.6%	0	0.4	50	NAN
9	Jun_5_2008	90.65	88.17	88.16	87.08	86.96	86.58	86.45(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-30	-16	-66	14.13	41%	0	16	1.56%	0	-0.9	51	NAN
10	Jun_4_2008	90.65	88.16	88.7	87.09	87.25	86.89	86.65(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-20	-21	-42	7.16	40%	-0.01	14.3	1.6%	0	-0.8	58	NAN

11	Jun_3_2008	90.66	88.17	89.13	87.59	87.21	87.35	86.88(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-0	-24	-11	8.4	40%	-0.03	23.3	1.62%	0	-0.7	58	NAN
12	Jun_2_2008	90.69	88.16	89.41	88.08	87.7	87.61	87.96(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-20	-0	19	5.28	40%	-0.01	27	1.62%	0	-0.1	55	NAN
13	May_30_2008	90.7	88.01	89.41	88.74	88.12	87.07	87.45(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-32	-100	-50	21	4.94	40%	-0.01	28.5	1.63%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
14	May_29_2008	90.71	87.86	89.55	89.44	89.13	87.79	86.51(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-51	-120	-77	27	12.7	40%	0	29	1.63%	0	-0.6	50	NAN
15	May_28_2008	90.71	87.88	89.5	90.53	90.2	89.18	89.14(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-27	-90	-57	62	8.1	42%	0.03	37.8	1.59%	0	0.5	64	NAN

16	May_27_2008	90.68	87.72	89.17	90.53	90.83	90.47	89.36(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-30	-27	80	7.61	42%	0.11	33.5	1.6%	0	0.7	60	NAN
17	May_23_2008	90.58	87.62	88.95	90.89	91.02	91.23	91.23(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	16	104	6.06	44%	0.07	30	1.57%	0	1.6	68	NAN
18	May_22_2008	90.52	87.4	88.55	90.47	90.52	91.2	90.98(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	50	34	114	8.87	44%	0.07	19.5	1.59%	0	1.7	72	NAN
19	May_21_2008	90.46	87.19	88.16	89.67	89.94	90.82	91.96(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	85	80	71	125	11.35	44%	0.02	-3.1	1.58%	0	2.5	78	NAN
20	May_20_2008	90.44	87.02	87.52	88.32	88.85	89.85	90.9(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	70	100	64	88	10.69	45%	0.09	-35	1.57%	0	2.2	61	NAN

21	May_19_2008	90.36	86.95	87.06	87.22	87.64	89.06	89.39(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	64	130	64	64	5.93	46%	0.08	-57.4	1.58%	0	1.4	61	NAN
22	May_16_2008	90.29	86.96	86.73	86.74	86.64	87.86	89.1(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	59	100	63	47	12.08	46%	0.09	-64.7	1.61%	0	1.2	52	NAN
23	May_15_2008	90.21	87	86.27	86.4	86.23	86.23	87(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10	24	13	9.44	44%	0.06	-62.2	1.6%	0	0	49	NAN
24	May_14_2008	90.16	87.25	85.98	86.45	86.25	85.43	85.2(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-70	-35	-22	8.65	42%	-0.06	-51.6	1.57%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
25	May_13_2008	90.21	87.64	86.13	86.57	86.62	86.24	85.39(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-30	-31	-28	7.37	42%		-47.8	1.57%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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