Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 27, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $93.4600 (-0.36%) ($92.9500 - $94.0900) on Thu. Mar. 27, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $93.4600(-0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(28%)    LQD(17%)    TLT(17%)    USO(16%)    SHY(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(-1%)    PEJ(-1%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(2%)    QQQ(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $88.4(-5.41%)
Resistance Level   $95.39
5 Day Moving Average   $92(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.43(-1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.39(-2.02%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2008	87	95.39	94.43	92	92.42	93.5	93.46(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	100	39	-81	7.57	56%	0.14	-21.6	1.47%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
2	Mar_26_2008	86.88	95.47	94.77	91.92	91.68	92.84	93.8(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	80	39	-88	12.39	57%	0.15	-20.4	1.46%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
3	Mar_25_2008	86.75	95.49	95	92.46	91.88	91.34	92.73(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-60	-20	-97	15.85	57%	0.16	-10.8	1.47%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
4	Mar_24_2008	86.61	95.52	95.33	93.74	93.31	90.52	90.1(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-133	-220	-136	-122	14.33	55%	0.22	10.4	1.44%	0	-2.2	33	NAN
5	Mar_20_2008	86.42	95.73	95.99	95.47	95.5	92.41	89.91(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-171	-230	-193	-105	28.83	56%	0.14	40.9	1.45%	0	-2.6	37	NAN

6	Mar_19_2008	86.3	95.94	96.72	97.15	97.51	96.11	93.04(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-101	-90	-123	-34	37.59	61%	0.19	82.9	1.38%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
7	Mar_18_2008	86.14	95.98	97.22	97.95	98.51	98.58	96.5(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	20	-4	50	20.97	68%	0.23	99.1	1.28%	0	0.3	58	NAN
8	Mar_17_2008	85.94	95.75	97.12	97.84	98.23	98.9	99.17(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	60	48	78	26.52	73%	0.26	97.7	1.23%	0	1.7	71	NAN
9	Mar_14_2008	85.72	95.27	96.9	97.18	97.47	98.45	98.71(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	69	80	63	87	17.57	73%	0.28	74.9	1.23%	0	1.5	72	NAN
10	Mar_13_2008	85.48	94.82	96.63	96.66	96.71	97.56	98.34(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	68	60	62	86	14.68	68%	0.27	65.3	1.24%	0	1.4	68	NAN

11	Mar_12_2008	85.25	94.38	96.38	96.29	96.19	96.49	97.01(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	20	24	72	8.18	69%	0.27	60.4	1.28%	0	1	66	NAN
12	Mar_11_2008	85.02	94.01	96.16	96.43	96.12	95.85	95.99(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-30	-4	72	14.35	67%	0.26	62.7	1.3%	0	0.7	63	NAN
13	Mar_10_2008	84.8	93.78	95.96	96.27	96.32	95.9	95.87(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-30	-26	69	10.87	68%	0.25	65.4	1.32%	0	0.8	68	NAN
14	Mar_7_2008	84.59	93.54	95.68	96.55	96.46	96.39	96.09(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-19	97	10.07	68%	0.25	71.5	1.33%	0	0.9	75	NAN
15	Mar_6_2008	84.38	93.23	95.43	96.56	96.71	96.74	96.5(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	10	13	130	18.55	68%	0.27	69.2	1.33%	0	1.2	74	NAN

16	Mar_5_2008	84.15	92.85	95.11	96.46	96.55	96.53	97.72(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	0	12	148	15.36	68%	0.29	63.1	1.32%	0	1.8	79	NAN
17	Mar_4_2008	83.91	92.35	94.65	95.87	96.15	96.69	95.18(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	53	50	18	158	21.36	67%	0.25	52.9	1.3%	0	1	76	NAN
18	Mar_3_2008	83.7	92.04	94.31	95.58	95.77	96.58	97.24(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	104	70	78	182	11.49	71%	0.28	45.9	1.27%	0	1.9	71	NAN
19	Feb_29_2008	83.47	91.63	93.51	94.68	94.72	95.62	96.18(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	70	52	140	9.35	68%	0.28	39.2	1.27%	0	1.8	70	NAN
20	Feb_28_2008	83.24	91.36	92.87	94.12	94.02	94.96	95.99(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	81	70	65	129	11.21	68%	0.29	39.3	1.3%	0	2.1	73	NAN

21	Feb_27_2008	83	91.13	92.21	93.57	93.49	93.82	94.78(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	20	40	108	9.93	65%	0.28	46.9	1.3%	0	1.9	73	NAN
22	Feb_26_2008	82.77	90.93	91.66	93.27	93.22	93.07	93.71(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10	10	97	8.45	65%	0.27	56	1.31%	0	1.6	75	NAN
23	Feb_25_2008	82.55	90.81	91.4	92.84	92.96	93.16	92.74(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	20	13	99	11.96	65%	0.24	64.8	1.31%	0	1.2	64	NAN
24	Feb_22_2008	82.35	90.68	91.21	92.12	92.55	93.37	93.39(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	80	55	103	7.58	67%	0.26	65.9	1.33%	0	1.7	65	NAN
25	Feb_21_2008	82.14	90.5	90.84	91.39	91.64	92.76	93.25(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	76	90	73	84	12.96	67%		69.2	1.34%	0	1.9	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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