Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 8, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $91.0000 (1.28%) ($89.9900 - $91.0000) on Fri. Feb. 8, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $91.0000(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(27%)    LQD(17%)    TLT(17%)    USO(17%)    SHY(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(-1%)    PEJ(-1%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(2%)    QQQ(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.32(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.18(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.32(1.88%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.67%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.2%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2008	80.53	89.32	90.18	89.32	89.22	89.94	91(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	50	37	22	9.13	60%	0.24	43.1	1.5%	0	1	64	NAN
2	Feb_7_2008	80.34	89.18	90.1	88.99	88.79	89.24	89.85(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	30	15	20	8.97	60%	0.24	46.6	1.49%	0	0.4	64	NAN
3	Feb_6_2008	80.15	89.02	90.13	89.3	89.08	88.49	88.95(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-50	-15	30	8.79	61%	0.21	54.3	1.49%	0	-0	61	NAN
4	Feb_5_2008	79.98	88.93	90.06	89.92	89.6	88.34	87.68(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-48	-110	-72	24	11.17	61%	0.23	74.5	1.5%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
5	Feb_4_2008	79.8	88.81	90.16	90.61	90.49	89.67	89.1(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-35	-70	-60	42	10.29	63%	0.24	82.6	1.49%	0	0.1	49	NAN

6	Feb_1_2008	79.61	88.63	90.03	91.14	91.11	90.86	89.35(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-20	-22	67	19.64	65%	0.25	92.4	1.51%	0	0.3	53	NAN
7	Jan_31_2008	79.41	88.45	89.79	91.33	91.31	91.32	91.4(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	0	6	79	7.79	69%	0.28	101.2	1.48%	0	1.4	62	NAN
8	Jan_30_2008	79.19	88.12	89.32	91.07	91.13	91.36	92.06(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	20	23	81	14.38	68%	0.28	108.9	1.49%	0	1.8	70	NAN
9	Jan_29_2008	78.97	87.65	88.89	90.23	90.71	91.3	91.15(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	60	41	74	9.1	68%	0.28	112.2	1.49%	0	1.7	67	NAN
10	Jan_28_2008	78.75	87.24	88.7	89.64	89.8	90.9	91.75(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	90	60	87	8.54	68%	0.29	106	1.49%	0	2.1	75	NAN

11	Jan_25_2008	78.52	86.74	88.34	88.77	88.75	90.12	90.3(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	78	110	75	86	9.71	68%	0.28	103.3	1.5%	0	1.7	70	NAN
12	Jan_24_2008	78.3	86.3	88.12	88.01	87.92	88.7	90.08(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	60	68	76	10.63	68%	0.31	92.8	1.5%	0	1.7	67	NAN
13	Jan_23_2008	78.06	85.81	87.75	87.34	87.25	87.37	87.89(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	8	44	14.29	66%	0.27	86.5	1.47%	0	0.9	64	NAN
14	Jan_22_2008	77.85	85.44	87.65	87.36	87.21	87.14	88.17(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	4	-10	-13	55	20.68	65%	0.28	90.3	1.47%	0	1.2	73	NAN
15	Jan_18_2008	77.63	84.98	87.33	87.63	87.67	87.13	87.42(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-40	-21	69	9.09	66%	0.28	79.8	1.48%	0	0.9	68	NAN

16	Jan_17_2008	77.41	84.59	87.12	87.86	88.26	87.29	86.5(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-60	-42	83	13.6	66%	0.27	73.4	1.49%	0	0.6	70	NAN
17	Jan_16_2008	77.2	84.24	87.05	88.21	88.55	88.21	86.7(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-20	-33	116	26.92	66%	0.29	73.7	1.5%	0	0.7	71	NAN
18	Jan_15_2008	76.98	83.83	86.89	88.18	88.53	89.22	87.99(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	70	26	165	23.86	66%	0.3	68.9	1.48%	0	1.2	80	NAN
19	Jan_14_2008	76.75	83.36	86.37	87.94	87.96	88.9	89.54(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	98	80	66	192	10.09	68%	0.31	65.9	1.46%	0	1.8	88	NAN
20	Jan_11_2008	76.51	82.79	85.71	86.99	87.23	87.85	88.58(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	89	60	56	186	6.98	69%	0.31	60.1	1.46%	0	1.7	89	NAN

21	Jan_10_2008	76.27	82.36	85.01	86.3	86.4	87.02	88.25(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	50	34	173	12.92	69%	0.3	60.2	1.46%	0	1.8	84	NAN
22	Jan_9_2008	76.04	81.87	84.33	85.76	85.83	86.62	86.55(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	70	42	177	10.09	67%	0.3	61.4	1.45%	0	1.6	82	NAN
23	Jan_8_2008	75.81	81.53	83.7	85.42	85.48	85.77	86.78(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	30	51	185	9.57	66%	0.29	64.8	1.45%	0	1.9	85	NAN
24	Jan_7_2008	75.59	81.1	83.03	84.56	84.89	85.04	84.77(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	20	14	159	6.95	64%	0.27	65.4	1.43%	0	1.5	79	NAN
25	Jan_4_2008	75.39	80.82	82.44	84.2	84.28	85.18	85.13(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	80	40	164	8.4	65%		66.6	1.43%	0	1.8	81	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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