Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $87.9900 (-1.73%) ($87.9100 - $90.3500) on Tue. Jan. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $87.9900(-1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(27%)    LQD(17%)    USO(17%)    TLT(16%)    SHY(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(-1%)    PEJ(-1%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(2%)    QQQ(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.18(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.89(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.83(4.96%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.09% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.37%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.36%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.89%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2008	76.98	83.83	86.89	88.18	88.53	89.22	87.99(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	70	26	165	23.86	66%	0.3	68.9	1.48%	0	1.2	80	0
2	Jan_14_2008	76.75	83.36	86.37	87.94	87.96	88.9	89.54(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	98	80	66	192	10.09	68%	0.31	65.9	1.46%	0	1.8	88	0
3	Jan_11_2008	76.51	82.79	85.71	86.99	87.23	87.85	88.58(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	89	60	56	186	6.98	69%	0.31	60.1	1.46%	0	1.7	89	0
4	Jan_10_2008	76.27	82.36	85.01	86.3	86.4	87.02	88.25(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	50	34	173	12.92	69%	0.3	60.2	1.46%	0	1.8	84	0
5	Jan_9_2008	76.04	81.87	84.33	85.76	85.83	86.62	86.55(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	70	42	177	10.09	67%	0.3	61.4	1.45%	0	1.6	82	0

6	Jan_8_2008	75.81	81.53	83.7	85.42	85.48	85.77	86.78(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	30	51	185	9.57	66%	0.29	64.8	1.45%	0	1.9	85	0
7	Jan_7_2008	75.59	81.1	83.03	84.56	84.89	85.04	84.77(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	20	14	159	6.95	64%	0.27	65.4	1.43%	0	1.5	79	0
8	Jan_4_2008	75.39	80.82	82.44	84.2	84.28	85.18	85.13(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	80	40	164	8.4	65%	0.28	66.6	1.43%	0	1.8	81	0
9	Jan_3_2008	75.18	80.48	81.84	83.49	83.67	84.75	85.57(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	99	100	80	156	9.55	65%	0.27	62.7	1.43%	0	2.4	68	0
10	Jan_2_2008	74.98	80.14	81.19	82.68	82.8	83.38	84.86(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	76	50	58	128	12.29	63%	0.37	60.4	1.44%	0	2.7	71	0

11	Dec_31_2007	74.7	79.8	80.5	81.74	82.06	82.6	82.46(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	60	33	84	3.82	61%	0.21	48.9	1.43%	0	1.9	59	0
12	Dec_28_2007	74.54	79.54	80.1	81.26	81.51	82.22	83(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	60	70	53	80	5.13	62%	0.24	28.1	1.42%	0	2.6	66	0
13	Dec_27_2007	74.36	79.29	79.63	80.4	80.87	81.53	81.56(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	70	50	49	5.05	61%	0.2	8.1	1.41%	0	2.1	58	0
14	Dec_26_2007	74.21	79.17	79.49	79.93	80.12	80.8	81.52(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	40	70	40	41	5.9	61%	0.31	-4.2	1.42%	0	2.5	61	0
15	Dec_24_2007	73.98	79.08	79.2	79.48	79.61	80.2	80.14(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	60	40	25	2.86	60%	0.19	-4.3	1.4%	0	1.2	53	0

16	Dec_21_2007	73.84	79.12	79.17	79.08	79.36	79.44	80.1(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	20	31	18	4.6	60%	0.19	0.8	1.4%	0	1	57	0
17	Dec_20_2007	73.7	79.16	79.01	78.76	78.89	79.01	78.67(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	20	-7	-1	6.35	60%	0.18	7	1.38%	0	-0.5	57	0
18	Dec_19_2007	73.57	79.2	79.08	78.73	78.78	79.28	79.24(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	50	15	12	5.64	60%	0.19	1.6	1.39%	0	0	54	0
19	Dec_18_2007	73.43	79.21	79.08	78.98	78.72	78.76	79.25(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	14	15	6.76	60%	0.18	10.3	1.4%	0	0	49	0
20	Dec_17_2007	73.3	79.12	79.03	78.9	78.97	78.27	78.13(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-60	-28	-7	6.5	60%	0.18	3.6	1.39%	0	-0.9	43	0

21	Dec_14_2007	73.17	79.11	79.07	79.27	79.28	78.67	78.52(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-50	-44	-17	6.83	60%	0.18	-5	1.4%	0	-0.5	40	0
22	Dec_13_2007	73.04	79.09	78.97	79.29	79.61	79.68	78.5(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	20	-10	-22	9.56	60%	0.16	-21.5	1.4%	0	-0.5	40	0
23	Dec_12_2007	72.92	79.18	78.96	79.46	79.57	79.89	80.49(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	30	29	-7	9.7	63%	0.18	-24.5	1.36%	0	1.1	54	0
24	Dec_11_2007	72.79	79.11	78.84	79.09	79.15	79.54	78.84(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	40	12	-26	9.58	63%	0.17	-44.4	1.34%	0	-0.2	48	0
25	Dec_10_2007	72.67	79.08	78.96	79.2	79	79.25	80(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	21	10	28	-2	4.85	65%		-47.6	1.33%	0	0.8	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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