Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 25, 2007

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $76.0300 (0.68%) ($75.0600 - $76.6200) on Thu. Oct. 25, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $76.0300(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(26%)    USO(18%)    LQD(16%)    TLT(16%)    EEM(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(-0%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.42(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.26(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.23(2.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.26%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.07%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2007	68.21	74.23	75.26	75.42	75.12	75.55	76.03(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	30	26	101	6.49	64%	0.13	63.5	0.93%	0	1.5	65	0
2	Oct_24_2007	68.12	74.06	75.05	75.41	75.05	75.12	75.52(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10	24	109	5.66	64%	0.15	64.1	0.94%	0	1.2	66	0
3	Oct_23_2007	68.02	73.88	74.85	75.21	75.18	74.69	75.23(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-50	-14	98	3.1	64%	0.12	63	0.94%	0	1.1	70	0
4	Oct_22_2007	67.94	73.74	74.65	75.18	75.15	74.99	74.6(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-20	-43	94	8.64	64%	0.13	65.5	0.94%	0	0.7	64	0
5	Oct_19_2007	67.85	73.62	74.46	75.29	75.27	75.66	75.7(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	40	31	123	9.51	68%	0.15	73.5	0.92%	0	1.7	58	0

6	Oct_18_2007	67.75	73.45	74.22	75.07	75.1	75.31	76(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	66	20	48	120	5.65	69%	0.16	84.4	0.92%	0	2.3	61	0
7	Oct_17_2007	67.64	73.28	73.9	74.65	74.73	75.31	74.5(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	20	15	92	9.36	67%	0.15	93	0.9%	0	1.2	60	0
8	Oct_16_2007	67.54	73.12	73.65	74.42	74.48	74.88	75.12(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	40	41	93	6.62	67%	0.12	92.9	0.89%	0	1.9	67	0
9	Oct_15_2007	67.46	72.95	73.37	74.02	74.12	74.59	75.14(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	50	64	82	6.71	67%	0.15	89.9	0.89%	0	2.2	64	0
10	Oct_12_2007	67.36	72.74	73.22	73.5	73.54	74.08	74.59(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	50	45	62	3.6	68%	0.15	79.7	0.89%	0	1.8	63	0

11	Oct_11_2007	67.26	72.51	73.09	73.26	73.14	73.65	73.91(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	40	51	63	10.29	67%	0.13	75.3	0.89%	0	1.3	59	0
12	Oct_10_2007	67.17	72.32	72.96	73.05	72.88	73.01	73.36(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	10	39	49	4.62	67%	0.12	75	0.89%	0	1	54	0
13	Oct_9_2007	67.09	72.18	72.83	72.76	72.61	72.63	73.09(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-0	3	24	7.42	67%	0.1	78.3	0.89%	0	0.8	60	0
14	Oct_8_2007	67.02	72.06	72.76	72.61	72.45	72.76	72.53(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	20	4	22	3.45	67%	0.12	82.3	0.89%	0	0.4	56	0
15	Oct_5_2007	66.94	71.92	72.74	72.88	72.37	72.59	73.4(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	0	18	55	10.6	70%	0.12	93.3	0.87%	0	1.1	65	0

16	Oct_4_2007	66.86	71.72	72.63	72.91	72.56	72.14	72.87(1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-50	-9	67	9.18	70%	0.1	101.6	0.88%	0	0.8	68	0
17	Oct_3_2007	66.79	71.53	72.61	72.87	72.82	72.16	71.9(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-21	-70	-52	73	8.19	68%	0.09	97.3	0.87%	0	0.2	64	0
18	Oct_2_2007	66.73	71.33	72.58	72.87	72.96	72.97	72.35(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	0	-30	94	10.72	69%	0.09	93.1	0.87%	0	0.6	64	0
19	Oct_1_2007	66.67	71.1	72.53	72.89	72.95	73.49	73.9(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	50	57	147	4.82	75%	0.12	97.2	0.83%	0	1.6	75	0
20	Sep_28_2007	66.59	70.74	72.23	72.56	72.56	72.95	73.51(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	40	49	141	8.84	76%	0.11	88.1	0.83%	0	1.5	78	0

21	Sep_27_2007	66.52	70.36	71.89	72.56	72.31	72.42	72.7(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	10	16	124	5.73	75%	0.09	80.4	0.83%	0	1.1	76	0
22	Sep_26_2007	66.46	70.04	71.63	72.33	72.26	72.18	72(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10	-0	133	9.42	70%	0.06	78.9	0.82%	0	0.9	77	0
23	Sep_25_2007	66.42	69.73	71.48	72.22	72.32	72.21	72.33(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	39	-10	1	154	5.5	70%	0.06	74.2	0.84%	0	1.1	84	0
24	Sep_24_2007	66.38	69.41	71.3	72.09	72.18	72.35	72.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	20	13	184	6.48	70%	0.06	74.4	0.84%	0	1.2	84	0
25	Sep_21_2007	66.34	69.1	71.04	71.83	71.93	72.42	72.34(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	96	50	54	220	9.94	70%		74.4	0.84%	0	1.4	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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