Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 11, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $65.4400 (-0.26%) ($65.3400 - $65.8200) on Wed. Jul. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $65.4400(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(26%)    USO(18%)    LQD(16%)    TLT(16%)    EEM(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(-0%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.16(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.81(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.72(1.11%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.77%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.26%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.57%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2007	65.81	64.72	64.81	65.16	65.25	65.62	65.44(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	40	24	54	3.65	39%	0	14.6	0.86%	0	1.4	56	0
2	Jul_10_2007	65.81	64.65	64.63	65.02	64.99	65.45	65.61(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	50	44	36	4.02	39%	0	-11.4	0.86%	0	1.9	49	0
3	Jul_9_2007	65.81	64.6	64.5	64.9	64.8	64.88	65.38(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	0	31	19	5.28	39%	-0.02	-38	0.87%	0	1.7	52	0
4	Jul_6_2007	65.82	64.54	64.43	64.68	64.69	64.54	64.96(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-20	-4	-10	8.08	39%	-0.03	-76.5	0.86%	0	1	50	0
5	Jul_5_2007	65.84	64.55	64.38	64.54	64.65	64.72	64.42(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	10	2	-17	4.33	39%	-0.03	-87.1	0.86%	0	-0.3	49	0

6	Jul_3_2007	65.86	64.64	64.41	64.39	64.54	64.84	64.74(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	40	33	-11	1.84	42%	0	-52.3	0.88%	0	0.1	52	0
7	Jul_2_2007	65.86	64.71	64.47	64.17	64.23	64.58	65.02(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	21	40	32	-13	2.71	42%	-0.03	-47.5	0.87%	0	0.4	59	0
8	Jun_29_2007	65.88	64.78	64.45	64.05	63.99	64.24	64.27(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	20	16	-25	2.76	40%	-0.02	-39.1	0.85%	0	-0.6	46	0
9	Jun_28_2007	65.89	64.88	64.5	64.15	64.02	63.88	64.26(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-20	-0	-20	4.23	40%	0	-27.8	0.86%	0	-0.7	51	0
10	Jun_27_2007	65.89	64.95	64.54	64.21	64.18	63.75	63.67(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-50	-41	-39	4.69	37%	-0.02	-26.7	0.85%	0	-1.5	37	0

11	Jun_26_2007	65.9	65.01	64.64	64.42	64.43	64.17	63.62(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-30	-50	-49	8.28	37%	-0.02	-23.6	0.85%	0	-1.7	30	0
12	Jun_25_2007	65.91	65.09	64.7	64.79	64.73	64.62	64.43(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10	-14	-35	3.42	39%	0	-15.7	0.85%	0	-0.9	34	0
13	Jun_22_2007	65.91	65.09	64.73	64.9	64.9	64.69	64.78(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-20	-12	-46	1.89	39%	0	-15.8	0.85%	0	-0.5	34	0
14	Jun_21_2007	65.91	65.12	64.68	64.91	64.97	64.84	64.56(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10	-16	-69	2.71	39%	-0.02	-16.7	0.85%	0	-0.8	33	0
15	Jun_20_2007	65.92	65.17	64.75	64.92	64.98	64.84	64.71(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	20	7	-63	2.59	39%	0.02	-17.9	0.86%	0	-0.6	44	0

16	Jun_19_2007	65.91	65.2	64.9	64.88	64.81	65.1	65.48(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	30	32	-41	2.7	42%	0.03	-27.3	0.85%	0	0.4	56	0
17	Jun_18_2007	65.89	65.21	64.97	64.61	64.59	64.85	64.95(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	30	28	-48	1.79	42%	0	-42	0.85%	0	-0.4	50	0
18	Jun_15_2007	65.89	65.23	65.11	64.56	64.39	64.52	64.85(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	10	17	-41	3.03	42%	0.02	-49.1	0.86%	0	-0.5	50	0
19	Jun_14_2007	65.88	65.25	65.26	64.43	64.37	64.32	64.6(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10	-2	-40	2.77	42%	0.02	-61.8	0.85%	0	-0.9	51	0
20	Jun_13_2007	65.87	65.3	65.36	64.56	64.39	64.26	64.53(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-20	-36	-46	2.8	42%	0	-68.8	0.86%	0	-1.1	44	0

21	Jun_12_2007	65.87	65.4	65.4	64.94	64.77	64.41	64.1(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-50	-39	-31	4.07	42%	0.02	-61.6	0.86%	0	-1.8	44	0
22	Jun_11_2007	65.86	65.51	65.52	65.39	65.26	64.51	64.7(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-55	-90	-66	-20	4.61	44%	0.03	-61	0.85%	0	-1.2	44	0
23	Jun_8_2007	65.84	65.6	65.56	65.76	65.74	65.12	64.22(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-68	-70	-87	-12	7.31	44%	0.03	-58.1	0.85%	0	-2	42	0
24	Jun_7_2007	65.82	65.69	65.63	66.2	66.27	66.01	65.26(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-11	-20	-27	38	6.39	48%	0.05	-56.4	0.83%	0	-0.7	53	0
25	Jun_6_2007	65.79	65.8	65.67	66.26	66.35	66.37	66.41(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	10	12	60	3.6	58%		-42.2	0.8%	0	0.8	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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