Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 21, 2007

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 12, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $65.8200 (0.84%) ($65.1200 - $65.9000) on Wed. Mar. 21, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $65.8200(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(26%)    USO(18%)    LQD(16%)    TLT(16%)    EEM(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(0%)    PEJ(-0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.89(1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.55(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65(1.26%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.11%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.78%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2007	63.45	65	64.55	64.89	65.05	65.38	65.82(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	40	36	45	5.06	52%	0.09	-23.9	1.21%	0	0.6	47	0
2	Mar_20_2007	63.39	65	64.38	64.51	64.67	64.98	65.27(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	40	28	10	4.42	52%	0.09	-27.1	1.21%	0	0.1	40	0
3	Mar_19_2007	63.33	65.06	64.26	64.2	64.28	64.72	64.74(0.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	12	50	21	-14	2.99	54%	0.08	-33.6	1.21%	0	-0.2	45	0
4	Mar_16_2007	63.28	65.14	64.09	64.13	64.1	64.36	64.62(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	30	25	-52	5.04	54%	0.09	-34.1	1.21%	0	-0.4	33	0
5	Mar_15_2007	63.22	65.22	63.99	64.05	64.04	63.85	63.98(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-20	-5	-96	7.04	51%	0.08	-32.9	1.21%	0	-0.8	32	0

6	Mar_14_2007	63.17	65.34	64.16	64.15	64.17	63.84	63.94(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-40	-24	-108	7.42	51%	0.1	-26.7	1.24%	0	-1	36	0
7	Mar_13_2007	63.11	65.45	64.39	64.22	64.44	64.24	63.72(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10	-14	-108	4.33	51%	0.11	-22.7	1.24%	0	-1.2	34	0
8	Mar_12_2007	63.04	65.55	64.56	64.31	64.46	64.51	64.37(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	10	5	-99	4.56	51%	0.1	-18	1.23%	0	-0.9	48	0
9	Mar_9_2007	62.98	65.64	64.9	64.02	64.34	64.65	64.25(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	50	21	-96	9.03	51%	0.08	-18.4	1.22%	0	-1	43	0
10	Mar_8_2007	62.93	65.72	65.23	63.91	63.97	64.42	64.48(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	50	12	-96	4.23	51%	0.1	-20.6	1.23%	0	-0.9	44	0

11	Mar_7_2007	62.87	65.74	65.49	64.18	63.84	64.03	64.3(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	0	-2	-86	6.13	51%	0.1	-15.7	1.24%	0	-1.1	43	0
12	Mar_6_2007	62.81	65.78	65.78	64.62	64.32	63.51	64.15(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-100	-27	-71	6.99	49%	0.08	-4.6	1.24%	0	-1.3	45	0
13	Mar_5_2007	62.76	65.8	65.93	64.87	64.95	63.64	62.93(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-104	-140	-106	-96	9.84	46%	0.08	3.1	1.24%	0	-2.3	41	0
14	Mar_2_2007	62.71	65.89	66.3	65.9	65.8	65.13	63.71(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-79	-80	-90	-47	13.73	46%	0.1	29.1	1.22%	0	-1.9	42	0
15	Mar_1_2007	62.65	65.99	66.6	66.71	66.76	66.26	65.82(-0.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-16	-50	-27	19	7.11	50%	0.16	59.1	1.15%	0	-0.2	53	0

16	Feb_28_2007	62.55	65.94	66.67	66.97	67.15	66.48	66.48(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-23	-60	-43	37	8.93	53%	0.16	67.9	1.16%	0	0.5	61	0
17	Feb_27_2007	62.45	65.83	66.62	67.13	67.37	67.26	65.41(-3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-2	-0	-23	62	15.22	51%	0.13	69.4	1.14%	0	-0.4	56	0
18	Feb_26_2007	62.37	65.77	66.67	67.11	67.33	67.83	68.1(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	61	60	45	109	5.25	58%	0.19	69.2	1.02%	0	1.9	76	0
19	Feb_23_2007	62.25	65.56	66.45	66.76	66.74	67.48	67.72(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	80	50	110	8.13	60%	0.18	70.2	1.03%	0	1.9	75	0
20	Feb_22_2007	62.14	65.37	66.23	66.5	66.35	66.83	67.15(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	40	52	102	6.57	60%	0.19	77.4	1.04%	0	1.7	62	0

21	Feb_21_2007	62.02	65.22	65.98	66.35	66.08	66	67.28(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-20	15	80	11.08	60%	0.16	88.4	1.04%	0	2.1	65	0
22	Feb_20_2007	61.92	65.06	65.73	66.06	66.07	65.87	65.31(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-20	-20	63	4.81	56%	0.15	103.1	0.97%	0	0.3	60	0
23	Feb_16_2007	61.83	64.95	65.64	66.13	66.15	66.17	66.36(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	0	-1	83	3.2	59%	0.11	90	0.94%	0	1.4	72	0
24	Feb_15_2007	61.76	64.78	65.44	66.08	66.07	66.26	66.41(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	20	16	90	7.67	59%	0.11	94.2	0.95%	0	1.5	68	0
25	Feb_14_2007	61.69	64.57	65.31	65.9	65.95	66.14	66.37(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	20	33	99	4.18	59%		97.1	0.95%	0	1.6	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.