Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $62.5700 (0.84%) ($62.0700 - $62.6000) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $62.5700(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(18%)    EEM(16%)    LQD(16%)    VWO(16%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    QQQ(3%)    XLK(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $62.82
5 Day Moving Average   $62.77(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.29(-1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.82(-0.4%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2006	60.95	62.82	63.29	62.77	62.59	62.47	62.57(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-20	-23	-15	3.16	45%	0.02	16.4	1.14%	0	-0.3	59	NAN
2	Dec_8_2006	60.94	62.81	63.41	63.08	62.99	62.56	62.05(-1.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-16	-50	-25	12	6.08	45%	0	27.4	1.22%	0	-0.8	56	NAN
3	Dec_7_2006	60.94	62.86	63.41	63.49	63.33	62.71	62.73(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-80	-48	37	5.39	41%	-0.03	45.5	1.22%	0	-0.1	66	NAN
4	Dec_6_2006	60.96	62.79	63.57	63.83	63.75	63.42	62.69(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-40	-32	61	6.39	41%	0	51.3	1.26%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
5	Dec_5_2006	60.96	62.76	63.55	63.92	64.08	63.96	63.81(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10	0	85	5.26	47%	0	61.6	1.25%	0	1.1	71	NAN

6	Dec_4_2006	60.96	62.66	63.36	63.87	63.91	64.09	64.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	21	20	1	82	3.47	47%	-0.03	71.8	1.27%	0	1.5	66	NAN
7	Dec_1_2006	60.98	62.57	63.13	63.79	63.77	64.21	64.12(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	50	26	84	6.36	47%	-0.02	89.1	1.28%	0	1.7	62	NAN
8	Nov_30_2006	60.99	62.45	62.85	63.66	63.61	63.72	64.39(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	10	28	71	6.37	47%	-0.02	107.4	1.28%	0	2.3	59	NAN
9	Nov_29_2006	61	62.29	62.59	63.29	63.43	63.34	63.16(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-0	2	51	4.01	44%	0	125	1.26%	0	1.2	65	NAN
10	Nov_28_2006	61	62.15	62.44	63.11	63.27	63.49	63.57(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	30	15	47	6.06	44%	0.02	117.8	1.26%	0	1.7	59	NAN

11	Nov_27_2006	60.99	61.97	62.29	62.75	62.98	63.52	63.7(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	70	38	44	5.25	44%	0.02	111	1.27%	0	1.9	61	NAN
12	Nov_24_2006	60.98	61.76	62.14	62.36	62.57	63.05	63.5(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	60	46	32	6.89	44%	-0.02	96.8	1.27%	0	1.8	56	NAN
13	Nov_22_2006	60.99	61.55	62.06	61.93	62.09	62.44	62.5(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	50	23	12	4.86	41%	0.03	70.1	1.24%	0	0.8	54	NAN
14	Nov_21_2006	60.97	61.37	61.93	61.79	61.88	62.09	62.27(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	30	21	3	2.93	45%	0	60.4	1.24%	0	0.7	57	NAN
15	Nov_20_2006	60.97	61.18	61.9	61.67	61.72	61.74	61.77(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	0	0	2	2.95	45%	0	50	1.27%	0	0.4	62	NAN

16	Nov_17_2006	60.97	60.99	61.92	61.75	61.74	61.67	61.78(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10	-7	17	3.39	42%	0.05	46.2	1.27%	0	0.5	64	NAN
17	Nov_16_2006	60.94	60.85	61.97	61.89	61.85	61.69	61.31(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-20	-17	38	4.35	42%	0.07	49.4	1.3%	0	0.3	64	NAN
18	Nov_15_2006	60.9	60.76	62.04	62.22	62.04	61.8	61.84(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-40	-10	74	3.76	42%	0.07	59.9	1.3%	0	0.7	69	NAN
19	Nov_14_2006	60.86	60.6	62	62.07	62.27	62.01	61.63(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-10	88	5.71	42%	0.05	61.8	1.3%	0	0.6	71	NAN
20	Nov_13_2006	60.83	60.45	61.88	62.16	62.15	62.28	62.19(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	10	-9	109	3.41	42%	0.07	69.2	1.3%	0	1.1	77	NAN

21	Nov_10_2006	60.79	60.3	61.67	62.1	62.19	62.53	62.49(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	40	23	137	4.44	39%	0.08	75.1	1.3%	0	1.4	81	NAN
22	Nov_9_2006	60.74	60.1	61.37	62.06	62.08	62.02	62.95(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	-10	14	137	6.64	39%	0.08	79.7	1.33%	0	1.8	73	NAN
23	Nov_8_2006	60.69	59.82	61	61.85	61.96	61.86	61.11(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10	-14	125	5.32	34%	0.07	80.2	1.28%	0	0.8	61	NAN
24	Nov_7_2006	60.65	59.62	60.79	61.9	62.03	62.14	62.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	20	19	146	5.33	35%	0.08	80.2	1.27%	0	1.5	72	NAN
25	Nov_6_2006	60.6	59.36	60.41	61.54	61.76	62.06	61.89(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	40	29	133	4.08	35%		76.7	1.27%	0	1.6	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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