Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $62.5000 (0.37%) ($62.2500 - $63.0700) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $62.5000(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(18%)    EEM(16%)    LQD(16%)    VWO(16%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.93(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.06(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.55(1.54%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.16%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.02%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2006	60.99	61.55	62.06	61.93	62.09	62.44	62.5(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	50	23	12	4.86	41%	0.03	70.1	1.24%	0	0.8	54	0
2	Nov_21_2006	60.97	61.37	61.93	61.79	61.88	62.09	62.27(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	30	21	3	2.93	45%	0	60.4	1.24%	0	0.7	57	0
3	Nov_20_2006	60.97	61.18	61.9	61.67	61.72	61.74	61.77(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	0	0	2	2.95	45%	0	50	1.27%	0	0.4	62	0
4	Nov_17_2006	60.97	60.99	61.92	61.75	61.74	61.67	61.78(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10	-7	17	3.39	42%	0.05	46.2	1.27%	0	0.5	64	0
5	Nov_16_2006	60.94	60.85	61.97	61.89	61.85	61.69	61.31(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-20	-17	38	4.35	42%	0.07	49.4	1.3%	0	0.3	64	0

6	Nov_15_2006	60.9	60.76	62.04	62.22	62.04	61.8	61.84(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-40	-10	74	3.76	42%	0.07	59.9	1.3%	0	0.7	69	0
7	Nov_14_2006	60.86	60.6	62	62.07	62.27	62.01	61.63(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-10	88	5.71	42%	0.05	61.8	1.3%	0	0.6	71	0
8	Nov_13_2006	60.83	60.45	61.88	62.16	62.15	62.28	62.19(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	10	-9	109	3.41	42%	0.07	69.2	1.3%	0	1.1	77	0
9	Nov_10_2006	60.79	60.3	61.67	62.1	62.19	62.53	62.49(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	40	23	137	4.44	39%	0.08	75.1	1.3%	0	1.4	81	0
10	Nov_9_2006	60.74	60.1	61.37	62.06	62.08	62.02	62.95(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	-10	14	137	6.64	39%	0.08	79.7	1.33%	0	1.8	73	0

11	Nov_8_2006	60.69	59.82	61	61.85	61.96	61.86	61.11(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10	-14	125	5.32	34%	0.07	80.2	1.28%	0	0.8	61	0
12	Nov_7_2006	60.65	59.62	60.79	61.9	62.03	62.14	62.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	20	19	146	5.33	35%	0.08	80.2	1.27%	0	1.5	72	0
13	Nov_6_2006	60.6	59.36	60.41	61.54	61.76	62.06	61.89(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	40	29	133	4.08	35%	0.08	76.7	1.27%	0	1.6	70	0
14	Nov_3_2006	60.55	59.13	60	61.14	61.23	61.91	62.3(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	80	44	114	7.36	35%	0.08	66.9	1.27%	0	2.1	68	0
15	Nov_2_2006	60.5	58.85	59.63	60.56	60.74	61.46	61.92(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	73	90	64	100	6.68	35%	0.1	54.3	1.27%	0	2.2	69	0

16	Nov_1_2006	60.44	58.59	59.35	60.04	60.14	60.55	61.36(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	50	46	84	8.17	35%	0.1	37.7	1.27%	0	2.2	72	0
17	Oct_31_2006	60.38	58.34	59.06	59.52	59.65	60.03	60.24(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	50	33	69	4.6	31%	0	16.3	1.27%	0	1.7	72	0
18	Oct_30_2006	60.38	58.18	58.89	59.1	59.22	59.74	59.9(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	70	45	69	4.68	31%	-0.02	-1.1	1.26%	0	1.7	69	0
19	Oct_27_2006	60.39	58.12	58.8	58.68	58.6	59.27	59.4(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	80	35	61	3.08	31%	-0.02	-9.9	1.26%	0	1.3	65	0
20	Oct_26_2006	60.4	58.11	58.71	58.55	58.22	58.71	59.29(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	40	30	66	5.24	31%	-0.05	-9	1.27%	0	1.1	66	0

21	Oct_25_2006	60.43	58.12	58.54	58.58	58.2	57.93	58.76(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-50	3	62	4.38	31%	-0.07	-0.5	1.27%	0	0.6	65	0
22	Oct_24_2006	60.47	58.16	58.36	58.54	58.46	57.73	58.17(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-90	-38	50	3.56	31%	-0.08	9.3	1.27%	0	0	65	0
23	Oct_23_2006	60.52	58.19	58.26	58.64	58.72	58.46	57.76(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-17	-30	-41	54	3.52	31%	-0.1	19.8	1.27%	0	-0.4	56	0
24	Oct_20_2006	60.58	58.22	58.22	58.92	58.94	59.19	58.78(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	30	10	75	3.19	31%	-0.07	28.6	1.26%	0	0.5	46	0
25	Oct_19_2006	60.62	58.21	58.05	58.88	58.92	58.98	59.41(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	10	27	61	2.95	31%		32.4	1.29%	0	1.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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