Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $58.5000 (-3.53%) ($57.9100 - $59.2500) on Mon. Sep. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $58.5000(-3.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(18%)    EEM(16%)    LQD(16%)    VWO(16%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(0%)    PEJ(-0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $61.63
5 Day Moving Average   $61.32(-4.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.42(-4.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.63(-5.08%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.46%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2006	62.93	61.63	61.42	61.32	60.95	59.59	58.5(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-70	-170	-76	-50	10.58	40%	-0.06	-58.6	1.71%	0	-3.1	29	NAN
2	Sep_8_2006	62.97	61.86	61.77	62.05	62.12	61.03	60.64(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-42	-120	-51	-13	3.69	41%	-0.02	-65.2	1.66%	0	-1.7	50	NAN
3	Sep_7_2006	62.98	61.99	61.9	62.38	62.47	62.31	61.25(-2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-20	-10	-30	10	5.4	41%	-0.03	-57.8	1.67%	0	-1	54	NAN
4	Sep_6_2006	63	62.15	61.97	62.41	62.62	63.21	62.86(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	80	33	34	3.21	44%	0.02	-46.2	1.64%	0	0.8	51	NAN
5	Sep_5_2006	62.99	62.19	61.87	62.03	62.19	62.64	63.36(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	60	39	24	4.22	44%	0.03	-56.4	1.65%	0	1.2	57	NAN

6	Sep_1_2006	62.97	62.23	61.76	61.56	61.57	62.02	62.14(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	50	13	-1	3.21	38%	0.05	-55.6	1.63%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
7	Aug_31_2006	62.94	62.32	61.65	61.48	61.42	61.75	62.29(1.42%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	14	30	22	-9	4.84	38%	0.05	-50.8	1.66%	0	-0	46	NAN
8	Aug_30_2006	62.91	62.41	61.52	61.38	61.35	61.13	61.42(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-30	-2	-34	2.9	38%	0.03	-45.4	1.66%	0	-0.8	36	NAN
9	Aug_29_2006	62.89	62.57	61.62	61.46	61.45	61.1	60.94(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-40	-25	-52	3.61	38%	0.03	-34.1	1.65%	0	-1.3	25	NAN
10	Aug_28_2006	62.87	62.74	61.73	61.68	61.8	61.58	61(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-20	-15	-52	3.59	38%	0.03	-21.2	1.67%	0	-1.4	32	NAN

11	Aug_25_2006	62.85	62.85	61.86	61.97	61.95	61.81	61.77(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-20	-5	-51	2.13	38%	0.05	-8.1	1.66%	0	-0.9	32	NAN
12	Aug_24_2006	62.82	62.93	61.95	61.82	62.05	62.01	61.75(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	10	4	-61	2.2	35%	0.05	-6.6	1.67%	0	-1	34	NAN
13	Aug_23_2006	62.79	62.99	62.09	61.68	61.87	62.01	61.83(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	30	0	-70	3.57	35%	0.05	-8.9	1.72%	0	-1	36	NAN
14	Aug_22_2006	62.76	63.01	62.35	61.81	61.73	62.09	62.05(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	40	11	-64	4.07	35%	0.06	-13.1	1.73%	0	-0.8	34	NAN
15	Aug_21_2006	62.72	63	62.53	61.8	61.88	61.64	62.44(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-20	10	-67	3.6	35%	0.06	-17.9	1.73%	0	-0.5	39	NAN

16	Aug_18_2006	62.68	62.95	62.71	61.76	61.82	61.37	61.04(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-50	-33	-80	6.42	29%	0.05	-28.9	1.74%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
17	Aug_17_2006	62.65	63	63.05	62.1	62.15	62.11	61.03(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-0	-19	-60	4.22	29%	0.06	-38.8	1.74%	0	-1.7	40	NAN
18	Aug_16_2006	62.61	63.09	63.37	62.54	62.52	62.27	62.49(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-30	-10	-39	3.33	34%	0.1	-42.2	1.72%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
19	Aug_15_2006	62.55	63.17	63.59	62.97	62.8	62.18	62.01(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-80	-36	-23	4.83	30%	0.1	-36.3	1.74%	0	-1.1	54	NAN
20	Aug_14_2006	62.49	63.22	63.84	63.36	63.47	62.77	62.25(-0.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-23	-70	-32	3	3.53	30%	0.11	-31	1.85%	0	-0.9	59	NAN

21	Aug_11_2006	62.42	63.31	63.96	63.81	63.9	63.41	62.71(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-50	-31	26	6.96	30%	0.13	-10.3	1.85%	0	-0.5	64	NAN
22	Aug_10_2006	62.34	63.45	64.02	64.13	64.23	64.17	63.25(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-0	-12	50	6.87	30%	0.14	8.6	1.85%	0	-0.2	62	NAN
23	Aug_9_2006	62.25	63.45	64	64.3	64.45	64.39	64.63(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	0	5	66	4.37	36%	0.16	21.4	1.84%	0	0.8	64	NAN
24	Aug_8_2006	62.15	63.56	63.75	64.32	64.28	64.3	63.97(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	0	-10	51	5.58	36%	0.15	31.3	1.88%	0	0.3	48	NAN
25	Aug_7_2006	62.06	63.55	63.53	64.39	64.45	64.52	64.5(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	14	58	2.49	36%		37.6	1.88%	0	0.7	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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