Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $61.7500 (-0.13%) ($61.4500 - $62.0600) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $61.7500(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(19%)    EEM(16%)    LQD(16%)    VWO(16%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(0%)    PEJ(-0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $62.93
5 Day Moving Average   $61.82(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.95(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.93(-1.88%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2006	62.82	62.93	61.95	61.82	62.05	62.01	61.75(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	10	4	-61	2.2	35%	0.05	-6.6	1.67%	0	-1	34	NAN
2	Aug_23_2006	62.79	62.99	62.09	61.68	61.87	62.01	61.83(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	30	0	-70	3.57	35%	0.05	-8.9	1.72%	0	-1	36	NAN
3	Aug_22_2006	62.76	63.01	62.35	61.81	61.73	62.09	62.05(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	40	11	-64	4.07	35%	0.06	-13.1	1.73%	0	-0.8	34	NAN
4	Aug_21_2006	62.72	63	62.53	61.8	61.88	61.64	62.44(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-20	10	-67	3.6	35%	0.06	-17.9	1.73%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
5	Aug_18_2006	62.68	62.95	62.71	61.76	61.82	61.37	61.04(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-50	-33	-80	6.42	29%	0.05	-28.9	1.74%	0	-1.6	40	NAN

6	Aug_17_2006	62.65	63	63.05	62.1	62.15	62.11	61.03(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-0	-19	-60	4.22	29%	0.06	-38.8	1.74%	0	-1.7	40	NAN
7	Aug_16_2006	62.61	63.09	63.37	62.54	62.52	62.27	62.49(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-30	-10	-39	3.33	34%	0.1	-42.2	1.72%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
8	Aug_15_2006	62.55	63.17	63.59	62.97	62.8	62.18	62.01(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-80	-36	-23	4.83	30%	0.1	-36.3	1.74%	0	-1.1	54	NAN
9	Aug_14_2006	62.49	63.22	63.84	63.36	63.47	62.77	62.25(-0.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-23	-70	-32	3	3.53	30%	0.11	-31	1.85%	0	-0.9	59	NAN
10	Aug_11_2006	62.42	63.31	63.96	63.81	63.9	63.41	62.71(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-50	-31	26	6.96	30%	0.13	-10.3	1.85%	0	-0.5	64	NAN

11	Aug_10_2006	62.34	63.45	64.02	64.13	64.23	64.17	63.25(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-0	-12	50	6.87	30%	0.14	8.6	1.85%	0	-0.2	62	NAN
12	Aug_9_2006	62.25	63.45	64	64.3	64.45	64.39	64.63(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	0	5	66	4.37	36%	0.16	21.4	1.84%	0	0.8	64	NAN
13	Aug_8_2006	62.15	63.56	63.75	64.32	64.28	64.3	63.97(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	0	-10	51	5.58	36%	0.15	31.3	1.88%	0	0.3	48	NAN
14	Aug_7_2006	62.06	63.55	63.53	64.39	64.45	64.52	64.5(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	14	58	2.49	36%	0.15	37.6	1.88%	0	0.7	58	NAN
15	Aug_4_2006	61.97	63.42	63.2	64.13	64.24	64.27	64.28(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	10	7	36	4.81	36%	0.15	35.5	1.88%	0	0.7	50	NAN

16	Aug_3_2006	61.88	63.34	62.95	63.89	63.86	64.39	64.12(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	60	12	12	3.84	36%	0.16	42.1	1.89%	0	0.6	40	NAN
17	Aug_2_2006	61.78	63.28	62.78	63.65	63.61	64.22	64.75(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	70	39	3	5.05	39%	0.16	56.4	1.88%	0	1.1	44	NAN
18	Aug_1_2006	61.68	63.17	62.67	63.1	63.2	63.34	64.32(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	20	26	-22	4.67	39%	0.16	63.3	1.9%	0	0.9	46	NAN
19	Jul_31_2006	61.58	63.06	62.5	62.54	62.71	63.01	63.16(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	40	12	-48	3.42	39%	0.15	66.2	1.9%	0	0.1	47	NAN
20	Jul_28_2006	61.49	62.97	62.56	62.14	62.27	63.07	63.11(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	100	32	-44	3.14	43%	0.15	66.3	1.9%	0	0.1	56	NAN

21	Jul_27_2006	61.4	62.81	62.8	61.86	61.69	62.4	62.9(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	70	28	-39	4.7	43%	0.15	58.8	1.95%	0	0.1	52	NAN
22	Jul_26_2006	61.31	62.57	63.03	61.79	61.49	61.46	62(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-20	-0	-42	3.38	43%	0.13	44.1	1.94%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
23	Jul_25_2006	61.23	62.38	63.32	62.19	61.85	60.99	61.55(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-110	-26	-31	4.74	44%	0.1	45.4	1.95%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
24	Jul_24_2006	61.17	62.24	63.57	62.46	62.36	61.52	61.14(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-100	-51	-27	7.28	43%	0.08	49.7	1.96%	0	-0.5	48	NAN
25	Jul_21_2006	61.12	62.11	63.7	63.03	63.11	62.71	61.71(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-40	-33	-2	6.95	46%		54.1	1.98%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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