Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Jun. 6, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $61.0300 (-2.34%) ($60.9600 - $62.3500) on Thu. Aug. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $61.0300(-2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(19%)    EEM(16%)    LQD(16%)    VWO(16%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLY(0%)    PEJ(-0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $63
5 Day Moving Average   $62.1(-1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.05(-3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63(-3.13%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2006	62.65	63	63.05	62.1	62.15	62.11	61.03(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-0	-19	-60	4.22	29%	0.06	-38.8	1.74%	0	-1.7	40	0
2	Aug_16_2006	62.61	63.09	63.37	62.54	62.52	62.27	62.49(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-30	-10	-39	3.33	34%	0.1	-42.2	1.72%	0	-0.6	49	0
3	Aug_15_2006	62.55	63.17	63.59	62.97	62.8	62.18	62.01(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-80	-36	-23	4.83	30%	0.1	-36.3	1.74%	0	-1.1	54	0
4	Aug_14_2006	62.49	63.22	63.84	63.36	63.47	62.77	62.25(-0.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-23	-70	-32	3	3.53	30%	0.11	-31	1.85%	0	-0.9	59	0
5	Aug_11_2006	62.42	63.31	63.96	63.81	63.9	63.41	62.71(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-50	-31	26	6.96	30%	0.13	-10.3	1.85%	0	-0.5	64	0

6	Aug_10_2006	62.34	63.45	64.02	64.13	64.23	64.17	63.25(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-0	-12	50	6.87	30%	0.14	8.6	1.85%	0	-0.2	62	0
7	Aug_9_2006	62.25	63.45	64	64.3	64.45	64.39	64.63(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	0	5	66	4.37	36%	0.16	21.4	1.84%	0	0.8	64	0
8	Aug_8_2006	62.15	63.56	63.75	64.32	64.28	64.3	63.97(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	0	-10	51	5.58	36%	0.15	31.3	1.88%	0	0.3	48	0
9	Aug_7_2006	62.06	63.55	63.53	64.39	64.45	64.52	64.5(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	14	58	2.49	36%	0.15	37.6	1.88%	0	0.7	58	0
10	Aug_4_2006	61.97	63.42	63.2	64.13	64.24	64.27	64.28(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	10	7	36	4.81	36%	0.15	35.5	1.88%	0	0.7	50	0

11	Aug_3_2006	61.88	63.34	62.95	63.89	63.86	64.39	64.12(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	60	12	12	3.84	36%	0.16	42.1	1.89%	0	0.6	40	0
12	Aug_2_2006	61.78	63.28	62.78	63.65	63.61	64.22	64.75(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	70	39	3	5.05	39%	0.16	56.4	1.88%	0	1.1	44	0
13	Aug_1_2006	61.68	63.17	62.67	63.1	63.2	63.34	64.32(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	20	26	-22	4.67	39%	0.16	63.3	1.9%	0	0.9	46	0
14	Jul_31_2006	61.58	63.06	62.5	62.54	62.71	63.01	63.16(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	40	12	-48	3.42	39%	0.15	66.2	1.9%	0	0.1	47	0
15	Jul_28_2006	61.49	62.97	62.56	62.14	62.27	63.07	63.11(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	100	32	-44	3.14	43%	0.15	66.3	1.9%	0	0.1	56	0

16	Jul_27_2006	61.4	62.81	62.8	61.86	61.69	62.4	62.9(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	70	28	-39	4.7	43%	0.15	58.8	1.95%	0	0.1	52	0
17	Jul_26_2006	61.31	62.57	63.03	61.79	61.49	61.46	62(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-20	-0	-42	3.38	43%	0.13	44.1	1.94%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Jul_25_2006	61.23	62.38	63.32	62.19	61.85	60.99	61.55(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-110	-26	-31	4.74	44%	0.1	45.4	1.95%	0	-0.4	48	0
19	Jul_24_2006	61.17	62.24	63.57	62.46	62.36	61.52	61.14(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-100	-51	-27	7.28	43%	0.08	49.7	1.96%	0	-0.5	48	0
20	Jul_21_2006	61.12	62.11	63.7	63.03	63.11	62.71	61.71(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-40	-33	-2	6.95	46%	0.08	54.1	1.98%	0	-0.2	55	0

21	Jul_20_2006	61.07	61.94	63.83	63.85	63.63	63.2	62.54(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-60	-28	35	6.4	43%	0.11	61	2.03%	0	0.2	65	0
22	Jul_19_2006	61	61.74	63.9	64.46	64.35	63.51	64.03(1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-100	-22	77	7.26	47%	0.13	70.6	2.08%	0	0.8	76	0
23	Jul_18_2006	60.92	61.41	63.76	64.63	64.79	64.05	62.9(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-70	-33	100	7.64	47%	0.13	73.4	2.1%	0	0.5	73	0
24	Jul_17_2006	60.84	61.1	63.71	64.82	64.98	65.19	63.95(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	30	1	138	9.91	49%	0.13	66.4	2.1%	0	0.9	74	0
25	Jul_14_2006	60.76	60.79	63.46	64.43	64.71	65.54	65.85(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	100	41	163	10.04	51%		59	2.09%	0	1.7	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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