Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 28, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $63.1100 (0.33%) ($62.7500 - $63.3400) on Fri. Jul. 28, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $63.1100(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(19%)    EEM(16%)    VWO(16%)    LQD(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(-0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.14(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.56(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.97(0.22%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060828

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2006	61.49	62.97	62.56	62.14	62.27	63.07	63.11(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	100	32	-44	3.14	43%	0.15	66.3	1.9%	0	0.1	56	NAN
2	Jul_27_2006	61.4	62.81	62.8	61.86	61.69	62.4	62.9(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	70	28	-39	4.7	43%	0.15	58.8	1.95%	0	0.1	52	NAN
3	Jul_26_2006	61.31	62.57	63.03	61.79	61.49	61.46	62(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-20	-0	-42	3.38	43%	0.13	44.1	1.94%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
4	Jul_25_2006	61.23	62.38	63.32	62.19	61.85	60.99	61.55(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-110	-26	-31	4.74	44%	0.1	45.4	1.95%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
5	Jul_24_2006	61.17	62.24	63.57	62.46	62.36	61.52	61.14(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-100	-51	-27	7.28	43%	0.08	49.7	1.96%	0	-0.5	48	NAN

6	Jul_21_2006	61.12	62.11	63.7	63.03	63.11	62.71	61.71(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-40	-33	-2	6.95	46%	0.08	54.1	1.98%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
7	Jul_20_2006	61.07	61.94	63.83	63.85	63.63	63.2	62.54(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-60	-28	35	6.4	43%	0.11	61	2.03%	0	0.2	65	NAN
8	Jul_19_2006	61	61.74	63.9	64.46	64.35	63.51	64.03(1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-100	-22	77	7.26	47%	0.13	70.6	2.08%	0	0.8	76	NAN
9	Jul_18_2006	60.92	61.41	63.76	64.63	64.79	64.05	62.9(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-70	-33	100	7.64	47%	0.13	73.4	2.1%	0	0.5	73	NAN
10	Jul_17_2006	60.84	61.1	63.71	64.82	64.98	65.19	63.95(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	30	1	138	9.91	49%	0.13	66.4	2.1%	0	0.9	74	NAN

11	Jul_14_2006	60.76	60.79	63.46	64.43	64.71	65.54	65.85(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	100	41	163	10.04	51%	0.2	59	2.09%	0	1.7	84	NAN
12	Jul_13_2006	60.64	60.35	62.83	63.79	63.76	64.78	65.55(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	110	37	155	12.23	51%	0.17	50.5	2.11%	0	1.8	84	NAN
13	Jul_12_2006	60.54	59.84	62.05	63.28	63.17	63.89	64.92(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	70	41	144	9.45	51%	0.17	36.5	2.1%	0	1.9	78	NAN
14	Jul_11_2006	60.44	59.38	61.33	62.8	62.73	62.75	63.81(2.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-0	16	127	5.79	51%	0.07	22	2.09%	0	1.7	79	NAN
15	Jul_10_2006	60.4	59.16	60.78	62.47	62.46	62.45	62.02(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-0	-4	124	3.51	50%	0.12	13.9	2.07%	0	1.2	78	NAN

16	Jul_7_2006	60.33	59.06	60.38	62.31	62.45	62.71	62.63(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	40	22	135	5.33	50%	0.13	6.5	2.07%	0	1.6	71	NAN
17	Jul_6_2006	60.25	58.94	59.89	61.69	62.02	62.47	63.02(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	70	38	128	5.69	50%	0.17	-4.6	2.08%	0	1.9	74	NAN
18	Jul_5_2006	60.15	58.86	59.4	60.59	61.05	62.18	62.5(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	63	150	46	115	8.18	50%	0.23	-23.7	2.08%	0	1.7	77	NAN
19	Jul_3_2006	60.01	58.83	58.86	59.63	59.94	61.57	62.18(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	76	210	66	106	3.08	50%	0.13	-39	2.06%	0	1.5	74	NAN
20	Jun_30_2006	59.93	58.84	58.26	58.85	59	59.93	61.23(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	120	61	66	7.77	52%	0.08	-49.9	2.04%	0	1	51	NAN

21	Jun_29_2006	59.88	58.92	57.87	58.2	58.26	58.32	59.52(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	10	16	18	10.75	52%	0.08	-58.3	2.04%	0	0.2	45	NAN
22	Jun_28_2006	59.83	59.05	57.64	57.84	57.98	58.07	57.54(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	20	-7	-18	2.9	49%	0.05	-59.8	2.01%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
23	Jun_27_2006	59.8	59.36	57.46	58	58.04	58.2	57.68(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	20	12	-37	6.52	49%	0.02	-57.5	2.01%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
24	Jun_26_2006	59.79	59.72	57.3	57.93	57.85	57.89	58.28(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	0	11	-71	3.42	49%	0.03	-58.5	2.01%	0	-0.5	33	NAN
25	Jun_23_2006	59.77	60.04	57.44	57.54	57.56	57.88	57.99(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	40	7	-98	6.11	50%		-59.5	2.02%	0	-0.7	30	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.