Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 8, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $60.9100 (-2.2%) ($60.4300 - $61.5300) on Thu. Jun. 8, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $60.9100(-2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(19%)    EEM(16%)    VWO(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $55.8(-8.39%)
Resistance Level   $65.3
5 Day Moving Average   $62.51(-2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.35(-3.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.3(-6.72%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.69%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.78%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.53%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2006	59.59	65.3	63.35	62.51	62.3	61.55	60.91(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-90	-35	-101	14.23	54%	0.12	-56.2	1.74%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
2	Jun_7_2006	59.52	65.78	63.69	62.84	62.82	62.25	62.28(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-60	-32	-111	10.17	57%	0.12	-47.7	1.73%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
3	Jun_6_2006	59.45	66.15	64.09	63.23	62.91	63.05	62.55(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	0	-29	-110	7.18	55%	0.05	-39.7	1.73%	0	-1.3	25	NAN
4	Jun_5_2006	59.42	66.41	64.37	63.74	63.47	63.39	63.29(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-20	3	-94	6.02	55%	0.13	-32.6	1.74%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
5	Jun_2_2006	59.34	66.66	64.6	64.1	63.92	62.78	63.5(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-130	-33	-125	6.96	55%	0.17	-25	1.74%	0	-1.3	26	NAN

6	Jun_1_2006	59.24	66.88	64.98	64.34	64.31	63.55	62.56(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-79	-80	-57	-146	11.75	55%	0.14	-15.3	1.74%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
7	May_31_2006	59.16	67.1	65.54	64.64	64.8	63.55	64.23(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	40	-6	-129	7.57	57%	0.17	-7.2	1.73%	0	-1.3	29	NAN
8	May_30_2006	59.06	67.24	65.97	65.07	64.7	65.06	65.11(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	20	10	-117	8.24	57%	0.29	6.6	1.73%	0	-1	34	NAN
9	May_26_2006	58.89	67.26	66.2	65.11	64.7	64.54	65.1(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-27	-50	5	-124	5.27	59%	0.22	15.2	1.7%	0	-1.1	44	NAN
10	May_25_2006	58.76	67.29	66.76	65.2	64.94	64.33	64.7(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-80	-44	-127	6.51	59%	0.19	19.4	1.72%	0	-1.2	42	NAN

11	May_24_2006	58.65	67.24	67.38	65.76	65.23	65.34	64.06(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-10	-37	-94	11.07	60%	0.19	30.1	1.73%	0	-1.4	42	NAN
12	May_23_2006	58.54	67.25	68.03	66.57	66.19	65.55	66.38(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-80	-7	-44	10.51	64%	0.14	39	1.67%	0	-0.4	52	NAN
13	May_22_2006	58.46	67.1	68.36	67.02	66.85	65.13	65.3(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-67	-190	-75	-44	11.98	64%	0.26	42.2	1.67%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
14	May_19_2006	58.31	66.96	68.64	67.44	67.77	66.84	65.58(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-68	-80	-83	-24	18.69	64%	0.24	46.7	1.66%	0	-0.5	55	NAN
15	May_18_2006	58.17	66.86	68.92	68.55	68.43	68.56	67.46(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	10	-32	45	12.72	68%	0.29	59.8	1.62%	0	0.2	63	NAN

16	May_17_2006	58	66.56	68.96	69.26	69.23	68.7	68.15(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-50	-7	101	16.42	68%	0.31	69.2	1.63%	0	0.5	72	NAN
17	May_16_2006	57.82	66.35	68.82	69.71	69.87	68.3	68.61(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-150	-56	114	12.22	69%	0.19	79.1	1.62%	0	0.7	70	NAN
18	May_15_2006	57.71	66.02	68.64	69.92	70.23	69.77	67.41(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-30	-57	144	18.39	68%	0.31	82.6	1.62%	0	0.4	70	NAN
19	May_12_2006	57.53	65.72	68.46	69.95	70.46	71.45	71.12(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	102	120	58	232	20.64	73%	0.38	86.3	1.48%	0	1.7	90	NAN
20	May_11_2006	57.31	65.14	67.86	69.33	69.44	70.7	71.03(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	114	130	74	233	17.79	73%	0.39	82.2	1.49%	0	1.8	77	NAN

21	May_10_2006	57.09	64.55	67.06	68.62	68.47	69.48	70.38(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	111	100	73	224	10.32	70%	0.4	80.3	1.5%	0	1.9	81	NAN
22	May_9_2006	56.86	63.97	66.38	67.83	67.76	68.19	69.68(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	40	48	186	12.06	71%	0.35	77.7	1.54%	0	1.9	65	NAN
23	May_8_2006	56.66	63.46	65.68	67.21	67.12	67.46	67.56(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	30	19	164	6.54	69%	0.32	79.1	1.53%	0	1.4	66	NAN
24	May_5_2006	56.48	63.01	65.1	66.73	66.82	67.34	67.99(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	60	39	158	9.27	64%	0.32	75.9	1.58%	0	1.7	69	NAN
25	May_4_2006	56.3	62.56	64.6	66.15	66.26	66.78	67.48(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	60	45	164	14.13	64%		76	1.59%	0	1.8	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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