Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 12, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $71.1200 (0.13%) ($70.2000 - $72.2600) on Fri. May. 12, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $71.1200(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(19%)    VWO(17%)    EEM(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.95(1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.46(3.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.72(8.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 4.98% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2006	57.53	65.72	68.46	69.95	70.46	71.45	71.12(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	102	120	58	232	20.64	73%	0.38	86.3	1.48%	0	1.7	90	0
2	May_11_2006	57.31	65.14	67.86	69.33	69.44	70.7	71.03(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	114	130	74	233	17.79	73%	0.39	82.2	1.49%	0	1.8	77	0
3	May_10_2006	57.09	64.55	67.06	68.62	68.47	69.48	70.38(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	111	100	73	224	10.32	70%	0.4	80.3	1.5%	0	1.9	81	0
4	May_9_2006	56.86	63.97	66.38	67.83	67.76	68.19	69.68(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	40	48	186	12.06	71%	0.35	77.7	1.54%	0	1.9	65	0
5	May_8_2006	56.66	63.46	65.68	67.21	67.12	67.46	67.56(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	30	19	164	6.54	69%	0.32	79.1	1.53%	0	1.4	66	0

6	May_5_2006	56.48	63.01	65.1	66.73	66.82	67.34	67.99(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	60	39	158	9.27	64%	0.32	75.9	1.58%	0	1.7	69	0
7	May_4_2006	56.3	62.56	64.6	66.15	66.26	66.78	67.48(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	60	45	164	14.13	64%	0.32	76	1.59%	0	1.8	72	0
8	May_3_2006	56.12	62.11	63.95	65.24	65.63	66.29	66.46(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	90	38	142	11.56	64%	0.29	73.8	1.6%	0	1.7	71	0
9	May_2_2006	55.96	61.7	63.65	64.68	65.12	65.74	66.55(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	90	51	158	6.2	64%	0.25	75.6	1.6%	0	2	72	0
10	May_1_2006	55.82	61.28	63.16	63.93	64.44	64.97	65.16(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	80	42	145	7.56	63%	0.25	77.7	1.59%	0	1.7	67	0

11	Apr_28_2006	55.68	60.92	62.75	63.22	63.78	64.49	65.08(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	100	38	138	8.38	64%	0.23	78.2	1.57%	0	2	69	0
12	Apr_27_2006	55.55	60.58	62.19	62.85	63.16	63.92	62.96(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	100	45	135	6.42	62%	0.22	90.6	1.54%	0	1.2	62	0
13	Apr_26_2006	55.43	60.29	61.86	62.45	62.71	63.07	63.65(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	50	28	122	5.8	62%	0.25	89.3	1.53%	0	1.7	66	0
14	Apr_25_2006	55.29	59.92	61.4	62.47	62.38	62.39	62.78(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-0	4	120	5.61	62%	0.22	92.5	1.53%	0	1.4	66	0
15	Apr_24_2006	55.17	59.6	61.08	62.28	62.42	62.36	61.65(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	0	4	125	7.39	60%	0.22	93.2	1.51%	0	1	62	0

16	Apr_21_2006	55.05	59.31	60.79	62.17	62.29	62.38	63.2(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	20	23	139	7.53	63%	0.25	89.6	1.47%	0	1.8	70	0
17	Apr_20_2006	54.91	58.88	60.38	61.43	61.8	62.48	60.96(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	55	100	31	125	12.98	60%	0.22	78.8	1.41%	0	1	61	0
18	Apr_19_2006	54.79	58.58	60.16	61.12	61.11	62.21	63.75(3.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	104	130	86	158	11.29	70%	0.27	71	1.29%	0	2.3	81	0
19	Apr_18_2006	54.64	58.12	59.59	60.18	60.24	61.13	61.85(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	83	110	68	128	5.13	63%	0.22	66.1	1.28%	0	1.9	80	0
20	Apr_17_2006	54.52	57.78	59.24	59.73	59.7	60.01	61.09(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	30	45	115	6.07	63%	0.22	66	1.31%	0	1.8	75	0

21	Apr_13_2006	54.4	57.48	58.92	59.23	59.37	59.36	59.5(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	10	4	99	2.81	63%	0.2	65	1.27%	0	1.1	74	0
22	Apr_12_2006	54.29	57.27	58.83	59.18	59.19	59.39	59.43(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	20	6	128	3.71	63%	0.2	68.6	1.29%	0	1.2	77	0
23	Apr_11_2006	54.18	57.05	58.6	59.03	59.11	59.38	59.01(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	40	23	148	5.02	63%	0.18	70.7	1.29%	0	1.1	76	0
24	Apr_10_2006	54.08	56.84	58.33	58.89	58.9	59	59.6(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	10	18	154	3.68	63%	0.22	68.7	1.28%	0	1.6	79	0
25	Apr_7_2006	53.96	56.57	58.01	58.67	58.65	58.84	58.59(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	20	4	151	3.43	62%		64.8	1.28%	0	1.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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