Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $65.1600 (0.12%) ($64.9800 - $65.8300) on Mon. May. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $65.1600(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    USO(19%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.93(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.16(3.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.28(6.33%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.5%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.31%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.02%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 9.34%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2006	55.82	61.28	63.16	63.93	64.44	64.97	65.16(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	80	42	145	7.56	63%	0.25	77.7	1.59%	0	1.7	67	0
2	Apr_28_2006	55.68	60.92	62.75	63.22	63.78	64.49	65.08(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	100	38	138	8.38	64%	0.23	78.2	1.57%	0	2	69	0
3	Apr_27_2006	55.55	60.58	62.19	62.85	63.16	63.92	62.96(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	100	45	135	6.42	62%	0.22	90.6	1.54%	0	1.2	62	0
4	Apr_26_2006	55.43	60.29	61.86	62.45	62.71	63.07	63.65(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	50	28	122	5.8	62%	0.25	89.3	1.53%	0	1.7	66	0
5	Apr_25_2006	55.29	59.92	61.4	62.47	62.38	62.39	62.78(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-0	4	120	5.61	62%	0.22	92.5	1.53%	0	1.4	66	0

6	Apr_24_2006	55.17	59.6	61.08	62.28	62.42	62.36	61.65(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	0	4	125	7.39	60%	0.22	93.2	1.51%	0	1	62	0
7	Apr_21_2006	55.05	59.31	60.79	62.17	62.29	62.38	63.2(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	20	23	139	7.53	63%	0.25	89.6	1.47%	0	1.8	70	0
8	Apr_20_2006	54.91	58.88	60.38	61.43	61.8	62.48	60.96(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	55	100	31	125	12.98	60%	0.22	78.8	1.41%	0	1	61	0
9	Apr_19_2006	54.79	58.58	60.16	61.12	61.11	62.21	63.75(3.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	104	130	86	158	11.29	70%	0.27	71	1.29%	0	2.3	81	0
10	Apr_18_2006	54.64	58.12	59.59	60.18	60.24	61.13	61.85(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	83	110	68	128	5.13	63%	0.22	66.1	1.28%	0	1.9	80	0

11	Apr_17_2006	54.52	57.78	59.24	59.73	59.7	60.01	61.09(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	30	45	115	6.07	63%	0.22	66	1.31%	0	1.8	75	0
12	Apr_13_2006	54.4	57.48	58.92	59.23	59.37	59.36	59.5(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	10	4	99	2.81	63%	0.2	65	1.27%	0	1.1	74	0
13	Apr_12_2006	54.29	57.27	58.83	59.18	59.19	59.39	59.43(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	20	6	128	3.71	63%	0.2	68.6	1.29%	0	1.2	77	0
14	Apr_11_2006	54.18	57.05	58.6	59.03	59.11	59.38	59.01(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	40	23	148	5.02	63%	0.18	70.7	1.29%	0	1.1	76	0
15	Apr_10_2006	54.08	56.84	58.33	58.89	58.9	59	59.6(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	10	18	154	3.68	63%	0.22	68.7	1.28%	0	1.6	79	0

16	Apr_7_2006	53.96	56.57	58.01	58.67	58.65	58.84	58.59(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	20	4	151	3.43	62%	0.19	64.8	1.28%	0	1.2	73	0
17	Apr_6_2006	53.86	56.34	57.74	58.57	58.66	58.81	59.28(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	20	23	163	5.64	65%	0.22	57.9	1.28%	0	1.7	79	0
18	Apr_5_2006	53.74	56.08	57.29	58.43	58.39	58.47	58.66(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	10	8	147	6.66	62%	0.24	52.3	1.31%	0	1.6	74	0
19	Apr_4_2006	53.61	55.84	56.9	58.11	58.33	58.52	58.33(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	30	29	138	5.09	62%	0.22	44.2	1.34%	0	1.7	74	0
20	Apr_3_2006	53.49	55.66	56.56	57.66	57.9	58.31	58.47(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	60	30	122	4.94	65%	0.22	35.4	1.33%	0	2.1	77	0

21	Mar_31_2006	53.37	55.48	56.21	57.24	57.32	58.14	58.1(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	100	45	114	5.08	65%	0.23	30.2	1.38%	0	2.1	78	0
22	Mar_30_2006	53.25	55.37	55.9	56.77	56.9	57.49	58.6(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	82	80	71	114	5.88	65%	0.24	24.3	1.38%	0	2.9	85	0
23	Mar_29_2006	53.12	55.25	55.55	55.99	56.19	56.5	57.07(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	50	32	75	5.54	62%	0.21	17.2	1.35%	0	2.1	74	0
24	Mar_28_2006	53.01	55.19	55.34	55.52	55.65	56.31	56.06(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	90	31	64	3.42	62%	0.21	6.2	1.33%	0	1.1	71	0
25	Mar_27_2006	52.9	55.18	55.21	55.28	55.27	55.89	56.39(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	52	80	49	60	4.08	63%		3.5	1.34%	0	1.6	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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