Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $59.0100 (-0.99%) ($59.0000 - $59.8500) on Tue. Apr. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $59.0100(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    EWG(15%)    LQD(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(-3%)    REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.03(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.6(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.05(3.44%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.19%(33%) Average negative next day return: -3.08%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.44%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.11%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.87%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2006	54.18	57.05	58.6	59.03	59.11	59.38	59.01(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	40	23	148	5.02	63%	0.18	70.7	1.29%	0	1.1	76	0
2	Apr_10_2006	54.08	56.84	58.33	58.89	58.9	59	59.6(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	10	18	154	3.68	63%	0.22	68.7	1.28%	0	1.6	79	0
3	Apr_7_2006	53.96	56.57	58.01	58.67	58.65	58.84	58.59(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	20	4	151	3.43	62%	0.19	64.8	1.28%	0	1.2	73	0
4	Apr_6_2006	53.86	56.34	57.74	58.57	58.66	58.81	59.28(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	20	23	163	5.64	65%	0.22	57.9	1.28%	0	1.7	79	0
5	Apr_5_2006	53.74	56.08	57.29	58.43	58.39	58.47	58.66(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	10	8	147	6.66	62%	0.24	52.3	1.31%	0	1.6	74	0

6	Apr_4_2006	53.61	55.84	56.9	58.11	58.33	58.52	58.33(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	30	29	138	5.09	62%	0.22	44.2	1.34%	0	1.7	74	0
7	Apr_3_2006	53.49	55.66	56.56	57.66	57.9	58.31	58.47(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	60	30	122	4.94	65%	0.22	35.4	1.33%	0	2.1	77	0
8	Mar_31_2006	53.37	55.48	56.21	57.24	57.32	58.14	58.1(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	100	45	114	5.08	65%	0.23	30.2	1.38%	0	2.1	78	0
9	Mar_30_2006	53.25	55.37	55.9	56.77	56.9	57.49	58.6(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	82	80	71	114	5.88	65%	0.24	24.3	1.38%	0	2.9	85	0
10	Mar_29_2006	53.12	55.25	55.55	55.99	56.19	56.5	57.07(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	50	32	75	5.54	62%	0.21	17.2	1.35%	0	2.1	74	0

11	Mar_28_2006	53.01	55.19	55.34	55.52	55.65	56.31	56.06(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	90	31	64	3.42	62%	0.21	6.2	1.33%	0	1.1	71	0
12	Mar_27_2006	52.9	55.18	55.21	55.28	55.27	55.89	56.39(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	52	80	49	60	4.08	63%	0.21	3.5	1.34%	0	1.6	60	0
13	Mar_24_2006	52.79	55.11	55	55.03	54.89	54.99	55.71(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	10	18	31	3.79	63%	0.21	-3.7	1.34%	0	0.8	52	0
14	Mar_23_2006	52.68	55.11	54.82	54.91	54.81	54.65	54.7(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-30	-12	-4	4	62%	0.15	-1.5	1.33%	0	-0.5	34	0
15	Mar_22_2006	52.6	55.1	54.78	55.04	54.97	54.78	54.75(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-11	-16	1.08	63%	0.19	8.3	1.33%	0	-0.5	31	0

16	Mar_21_2006	52.5	55.13	54.78	55.04	55.05	54.97	54.83(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10	-9	-28	4.52	63%	0.17	16.8	1.34%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	Mar_20_2006	52.41	55.15	54.78	55.12	55.16	55.15	55.17(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	0	9	-29	1.88	60%	0.15	25.4	1.34%	0	0	41	0
18	Mar_17_2006	52.33	55.14	54.71	54.95	55.01	55.12	55.12(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	20	11	-36	2.24	60%	0.15	20.1	1.37%	0	-0	49	0
19	Mar_16_2006	52.25	55.11	54.8	54.69	54.77	55.16	55.34(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	50	23	-39	3.34	60%	0.17	0.7	1.38%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Mar_15_2006	52.16	55.04	54.92	54.47	54.39	54.91	55.12(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	60	29	-32	4.71	60%	0.15	-12.9	1.38%	0	0.1	54	0

21	Mar_14_2006	52.08	55.01	55	54.24	54.19	54.39	54.87(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	20	22	-40	2.67	56%	0.17	-20.8	1.38%	0	-0.2	48	0
22	Mar_13_2006	51.99	54.96	55.12	54.26	54.04	53.87	54.31(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-30	-14	-47	2.43	54%	0.15	-35.3	1.42%	0	-0.8	46	0
23	Mar_10_2006	51.91	54.99	55.22	54.44	54.26	53.99	53.83(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-40	-32	-45	6.49	54%	0.15	-38.7	1.42%	0	-1.4	45	0
24	Mar_9_2006	51.83	55.11	55.41	54.93	54.81	54.22	54.24(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-80	-33	-18	3.8	55%	0.17	-27.9	1.43%	0	-1	51	0
25	Mar_8_2006	51.74	55.14	55.47	55.43	55.3	54.52	53.97(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-40	-110	-54	1	6.71	56%		-21.9	1.43%	0	-1.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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