Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $55.1700 (0.09%) ($54.9800 - $55.4000) on Mon. Mar. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $55.1700(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    EWG(15%)    LQD(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.12(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.71(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.15(0.04%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2006	52.41	55.15		55.12	55.16	55.15	55.17(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	0	9	-29	1.88	60%	0.15	25.4	1.34%	0	0	41	0
2	Mar_17_2006	52.33	55.14	54.71	54.95	55.01	55.12	55.12(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	20	11	-36	2.24	60%	0.15	20.1	1.37%	0	-0	49	0
3	Mar_16_2006	52.25	55.11	54.8	54.69	54.77	55.16	55.34(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	50	23	-39	3.34	60%	0.17	0.7	1.38%	0	0.3	47	0
4	Mar_15_2006	52.16	55.04	54.92	54.47	54.39	54.91	55.12(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	60	29	-32	4.71	60%	0.15	-12.9	1.38%	0	0.1	54	0
5	Mar_14_2006	52.08	55.01	55	54.24	54.19	54.39	54.87(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	20	22	-40	2.67	56%	0.17	-20.8	1.38%	0	-0.2	48	0

6	Mar_13_2006	51.99	54.96	55.12	54.26	54.04	53.87	54.31(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-30	-14	-47	2.43	54%	0.15	-35.3	1.42%	0	-0.8	46	0
7	Mar_10_2006	51.91	54.99	55.22	54.44	54.26	53.99	53.83(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-40	-32	-45	6.49	54%	0.15	-38.7	1.42%	0	-1.4	45	0
8	Mar_9_2006	51.83	55.11	55.41	54.93	54.81	54.22	54.24(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-80	-33	-18	3.8	55%	0.17	-27.9	1.43%	0	-1	51	0
9	Mar_8_2006	51.74	55.14	55.47	55.43	55.3	54.52	53.97(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-40	-110	-54	1	6.71	56%	0.14	-21.9	1.43%	0	-1.4	55	0
10	Mar_7_2006	51.67	55.19	55.63	55.86	55.9	55.4	54.95(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-18	-60	-35	34	4.39	58%	0.16	-20.3	1.42%	0	-0.3	55	0

11	Mar_6_2006	51.59	55.27	55.66	55.86	56.17	56.07	55.23(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-10	-11	64	5.43	58%	0.17	-11.5	1.42%	0	-0	61	0
12	Mar_3_2006	51.5	55.32	55.64	56.08	56.16	56.4	56.28(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	30	14	78	3.1	61%	0.18	-6.7	1.39%	0	1.1	58	0
13	Mar_2_2006	51.41	55.34	55.47	55.95	55.87	56.27	56.74(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	50	29	69	3.86	61%	0.21	-5.2	1.39%	0	1.5	51	0
14	Mar_1_2006	51.3	55.33	55.17	55.53	55.61	55.92	56.1(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	40	27	43	4.27	63%	0.18	-15.1	1.39%	0	0.8	56	0
15	Feb_28_2006	51.21	55.35	55.01	55.38	55.29	55.46	56.07(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	20	14	30	3.43	61%	0.18	-14.7	1.4%	0	0.7	57	0

16	Feb_27_2006	51.12	55.37	54.77	55.19	55.14	55.3	55.22(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	20	8	-1	2.29	60%	0.16	-15.4	1.39%	0	-0.1	43	0
17	Feb_24_2006	51.04	55.37	54.72	55.14	55.13	55.12	55.64(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-0	13	-14	4.93	60%	0.18	-15.4	1.39%	0	0.2	45	0
18	Feb_23_2006	50.95	55.39	54.75	54.92	55	54.99	54.64(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	0	4	-33	2.43	59%	0.16	-20.1	1.38%	0	-0.7	39	0
19	Feb_22_2006	50.87	55.47	54.77	54.74	54.78	55.14	55.34(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	50	16	-51	3.84	59%	0.2	-16.5	1.37%	0	-0.1	43	0
20	Feb_21_2006	50.77	55.49	54.69	54.57	54.48	55	55.12(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	60	34	-67	3.35	60%	0.26	-19.2	1.37%	0	-0.4	42	0

21	Feb_17_2006	50.64	55.52	54.83	54.29	54.23	54.42	54.96(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	20	22	-85	3.93	61%	0.16	-25.8	1.37%	0	-0.6	41	0
22	Feb_16_2006	50.56	55.54	54.96	54.26	54.07	53.95	54.52(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-30	-18	-98	5.59	62%	0.16	-23.9	1.37%	0	-1	46	0
23	Feb_15_2006	50.48	55.6	55.2	54.59	54.36	54.04	53.76(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-50	-22	-79	4.81	61%	0.16	-9.4	1.39%	0	-1.8	41	0
24	Feb_14_2006	50.4	55.63	55.49	54.8	54.88	54.18	54.49(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-80	-22	-67	3.61	61%	0.16	-4.2	1.38%	0	-1.2	42	0
25	Feb_13_2006	50.32	55.68	55.72	54.82	55.03	54.69	53.72(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-30	-53	-73	5.12	60%		0	1.37%	0	-2.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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