Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $56.7400 (1.14%) ($55.9900 - $56.8200) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $56.7400(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    EWG(15%)    LQD(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.95(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.47(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.34(2.53%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2006	51.41	55.34	55.47	55.95	55.87	56.27	56.74(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	50	29	69	3.86	61%	0.21	-5.2	1.39%	0	1.5	51	0
2	Mar_1_2006	51.3	55.33	55.17	55.53	55.61	55.92	56.1(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	40	27	43	4.27	63%	0.18	-15.1	1.39%	0	0.8	56	0
3	Feb_28_2006	51.21	55.35	55.01	55.38	55.29	55.46	56.07(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	20	14	30	3.43	61%	0.18	-14.7	1.4%	0	0.7	57	0
4	Feb_27_2006	51.12	55.37	54.77	55.19	55.14	55.3	55.22(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	20	8	-1	2.29	60%	0.16	-15.4	1.39%	0	-0.1	43	0
5	Feb_24_2006	51.04	55.37	54.72	55.14	55.13	55.12	55.64(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-0	13	-14	4.93	60%	0.18	-15.4	1.39%	0	0.2	45	0

6	Feb_23_2006	50.95	55.39	54.75	54.92	55	54.99	54.64(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	0	4	-33	2.43	59%	0.16	-20.1	1.38%	0	-0.7	39	0
7	Feb_22_2006	50.87	55.47	54.77	54.74	54.78	55.14	55.34(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	50	16	-51	3.84	59%	0.2	-16.5	1.37%	0	-0.1	43	0
8	Feb_21_2006	50.77	55.49	54.69	54.57	54.48	55	55.12(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	60	34	-67	3.35	60%	0.26	-19.2	1.37%	0	-0.4	42	0
9	Feb_17_2006	50.64	55.52	54.83	54.29	54.23	54.42	54.96(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	20	22	-85	3.93	61%	0.16	-25.8	1.37%	0	-0.6	41	0
10	Feb_16_2006	50.56	55.54	54.96	54.26	54.07	53.95	54.52(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-30	-18	-98	5.59	62%	0.16	-23.9	1.37%	0	-1	46	0

11	Feb_15_2006	50.48	55.6	55.2	54.59	54.36	54.04	53.76(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-50	-22	-79	4.81	61%	0.16	-9.4	1.39%	0	-1.8	41	0
12	Feb_14_2006	50.4	55.63	55.49	54.8	54.88	54.18	54.49(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-80	-22	-67	3.61	61%	0.16	-4.2	1.38%	0	-1.2	42	0
13	Feb_13_2006	50.32	55.68	55.72	54.82	55.03	54.69	53.72(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-30	-53	-73	5.12	60%	0.14	0	1.37%	0	-2.2	41	0
14	Feb_10_2006	50.25	55.68	56.03	55.42	55.27	55.57	54.79(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	30	-11	-25	4.33	63%	0.18	31	1.34%	0	-1.3	46	0
15	Feb_9_2006	50.16	55.78	56.13	55.77	55.68	55.37	56.18(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-40	6	-1	5.3	67%	0.2	53.7	1.3%	0	0.5	58	0

16	Feb_8_2006	50.06	55.7	56.1	55.93	55.88	54.97	54.83(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-53	-120	-64	-20	5.38	65%	0.16	63.6	1.28%	0	-1	46	0
17	Feb_7_2006	49.98	55.67	56.25	56.3	56.44	56	54.6(-3.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-34	-50	-51	19	10.2	65%	0.18	77.3	1.28%	0	-1.2	58	0
18	Feb_6_2006	49.89	55.68	56.39	56.72	56.8	56.79	56.72(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	0	-3	69	3.46	71%	0.22	106.7	1.17%	0	1.1	61	0
19	Feb_3_2006	49.78	55.54	56.29	56.71	56.77	56.88	56.5(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	20	11	78	5.05	70%	0.24	112.7	1.18%	0	1	58	0
20	Feb_2_2006	49.66	55.34	56.17	56.54	56.66	56.81	56.98(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	20	81	5.11	70%	0.24	94.2	1.18%	0	1.4	67	0

21	Feb_1_2006	49.54	55.16	56.03	56.32	56.37	56.67	56.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	32	40	16	79	4.7	68%	0.26	100	1.18%	0	1.3	65	0
22	Jan_31_2006	49.41	54.98	55.78	56.21	56.13	56.52	56.7(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	28	78	5.01	65%	0.24	109.4	1.2%	0	1.5	68	0
23	Jan_30_2006	49.29	54.73	55.63	56.01	55.99	56.07	56.68(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	10	23	72	3.97	65%	0.24	116.6	1.23%	0	1.7	62	0
24	Jan_27_2006	49.17	54.47	55.49	55.83	55.8	55.74	55.63(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-3	69	4.29	64%	0.22	109.6	1.21%	0	0.9	63	0
25	Jan_26_2006	49.06	54.27	55.38	55.74	55.75	55.9	55.88(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	3	86	4.31	64%		105	1.21%	0	1.2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.