Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 4, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $54.6000 (-3.74%) ($54.3300 - $55.9200) on Tue. Feb. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $54.6000(-3.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $55.67
5 Day Moving Average   $56.3(-3.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.25(-2.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.67(-1.92%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.39%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.55%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2006	49.98	55.67	56.25	56.3	56.44	56	54.6(-3.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-34	-50	-51	19	10.2	65%	0.18	77.3	1.28%	0	-1.2	58	NAN
2	Feb_6_2006	49.89	55.68	56.39	56.72	56.8	56.79	56.72(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	0	-3	69	3.46	71%	0.22	106.7	1.17%	0	1.1	61	NAN
3	Feb_3_2006	49.78	55.54	56.29	56.71	56.77	56.88	56.5(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	20	11	78	5.05	70%	0.24	112.7	1.18%	0	1	58	NAN
4	Feb_2_2006	49.66	55.34	56.17	56.54	56.66	56.81	56.98(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	20	81	5.11	70%	0.24	94.2	1.18%	0	1.4	67	NAN
5	Feb_1_2006	49.54	55.16	56.03	56.32	56.37	56.67	56.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	32	40	16	79	4.7	68%	0.26	100	1.18%	0	1.3	65	NAN

6	Jan_31_2006	49.41	54.98	55.78	56.21	56.13	56.52	56.7(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	28	78	5.01	65%	0.24	109.4	1.2%	0	1.5	68	NAN
7	Jan_30_2006	49.29	54.73	55.63	56.01	55.99	56.07	56.68(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	10	23	72	3.97	65%	0.24	116.6	1.23%	0	1.7	62	NAN
8	Jan_27_2006	49.17	54.47	55.49	55.83	55.8	55.74	55.63(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-3	69	4.29	64%	0.22	109.6	1.21%	0	0.9	63	NAN
9	Jan_26_2006	49.06	54.27	55.38	55.74	55.75	55.9	55.88(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	3	86	4.31	64%	0.25	105	1.21%	0	1.2	71	NAN
10	Jan_25_2006	48.94	54.02	55.25	55.69	55.77	55.86	56.14(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	20	29	107	10.01	65%	0.27	100.7	1.2%	0	1.4	65	NAN

11	Jan_24_2006	48.81	53.73	55.04	55.27	55.56	55.59	55.73(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	6	85	3.42	65%	0.14	87.5	1.21%	0	1.3	64	NAN
12	Jan_23_2006	48.74	53.45	54.92	55.18	55.26	55.68	55.77(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	60	10	110	4.97	65%	0.25	88	1.21%	0	1.5	70	NAN
13	Jan_20_2006	48.62	53.14	54.72	55.11	55.19	55.52	55.2(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	50	37	139	7.31	65%	0.23	78.8	1.21%	0	1.2	70	NAN
14	Jan_19_2006	48.51	52.84	54.45	54.96	55.01	54.83	55.59(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-20	11	130	5.29	63%	0.27	66.3	1.22%	0	1.6	72	NAN
15	Jan_18_2006	48.38	52.57	54.21	54.75	54.76	54.86	54.07(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	10	-13	140	4.62	61%	0.23	54.5	1.19%	0	0.8	71	NAN

16	Jan_17_2006	48.27	52.37	54.13	54.74	54.77	55.18	55.26(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	74	50	34	193	5.13	65%	0.35	45.6	1.16%	0	1.4	81	NAN
17	Jan_13_2006	48.1	52.11	53.77	54.61	54.45	54.67	55.44(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	20	31	204	4.35	65%	0.25	41.5	1.15%	0	1.7	82	NAN
18	Jan_12_2006	47.98	51.85	53.38	54.27	54.21	54.36	54.43(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	20	26	212	3.6	61%	0.23	36.8	1.13%	0	1.4	82	NAN
19	Jan_11_2006	47.87	51.69	53.09	53.85	53.99	54.22	54.53(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	40	27	213	4.21	61%	0.25	34.2	1.15%	0	1.6	84	NAN
20	Jan_10_2006	47.75	51.57	52.7	53.6	53.5	54.07	54.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	70	26	209	5.7	61%	0.21	38.1	1.14%	0	1.5	70	NAN

21	Jan_9_2006	47.65	51.47	52.32	53.42	53.25	53.77	54.6(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	106	60	67	223	5.39	61%	0.25	44	1.13%	0	2.1	74	NAN
22	Jan_6_2006	47.53	51.31	51.86	52.81	52.9	52.94	53.72(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	10	38	181	4.63	62%	0.21	42.9	1.12%	0	1.8	70	NAN
23	Jan_5_2006	47.43	51.18	51.43	52.36	52.4	52.73	52.34(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	50	7	138	7.66	59%	0.17	45.8	1.1%	0	1	64	NAN
24	Jan_4_2006	47.35	51.1	51.11	52.19	52.13	52.87	53.3(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	100	68	132	5.29	62%	0.19	47.6	1.07%	0	1.9	58	NAN
25	Jan_3_2006	47.26	50.97	50.78	51.66	51.73	52.06	53.12(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	50	68	77	4.61	62%		43.3	1.07%	0	2	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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