Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 5, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $55.2000 (-0.7%) ($55.0200 - $56.6000) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $55.2000(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.11(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.72(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.14(3.88%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2006	48.62	53.14	54.72	55.11	55.19	55.52	55.2(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	50	37	139	7.31	65%	0.23	78.8	1.21%	0	1.2	70	NAN
2	Jan_19_2006	48.51	52.84	54.45	54.96	55.01	54.83	55.59(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-20	11	130	5.29	63%	0.27	66.3	1.22%	0	1.6	72	NAN
3	Jan_18_2006	48.38	52.57	54.21	54.75	54.76	54.86	54.07(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	10	-13	140	4.62	61%	0.23	54.5	1.19%	0	0.8	71	NAN
4	Jan_17_2006	48.27	52.37	54.13	54.74	54.77	55.18	55.26(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	74	50	34	193	5.13	65%	0.35	45.6	1.16%	0	1.4	81	NAN
5	Jan_13_2006	48.1	52.11	53.77	54.61	54.45	54.67	55.44(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	20	31	204	4.35	65%	0.25	41.5	1.15%	0	1.7	82	NAN

6	Jan_12_2006	47.98	51.85	53.38	54.27	54.21	54.36	54.43(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	20	26	212	3.6	61%	0.23	36.8	1.13%	0	1.4	82	NAN
7	Jan_11_2006	47.87	51.69	53.09	53.85	53.99	54.22	54.53(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	40	27	213	4.21	61%	0.25	34.2	1.15%	0	1.6	84	NAN
8	Jan_10_2006	47.75	51.57	52.7	53.6	53.5	54.07	54.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	70	26	209	5.7	61%	0.21	38.1	1.14%	0	1.5	70	NAN
9	Jan_9_2006	47.65	51.47	52.32	53.42	53.25	53.77	54.6(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	106	60	67	223	5.39	61%	0.25	44	1.13%	0	2.1	74	NAN
10	Jan_6_2006	47.53	51.31	51.86	52.81	52.9	52.94	53.72(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	10	38	181	4.63	62%	0.21	42.9	1.12%	0	1.8	70	NAN

11	Jan_5_2006	47.43	51.18	51.43	52.36	52.4	52.73	52.34(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	50	7	138	7.66	59%	0.17	45.8	1.1%	0	1	64	NAN
12	Jan_4_2006	47.35	51.1	51.11	52.19	52.13	52.87	53.3(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	100	68	132	5.29	62%	0.19	47.6	1.07%	0	1.9	58	NAN
13	Jan_3_2006	47.26	50.97	50.78	51.66	51.73	52.06	53.12(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	50	68	77	4.61	62%	0.25	43.3	1.07%	0	2	49	NAN
14	Dec_30_2005	47.14	50.82	50.46	51.06	51.21	51.39	51.58(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	30	20	-2	2.64	57%	0.17	37	1.01%	0	0.8	41	NAN
15	Dec_29_2005	47.06	50.75	50.31	50.77	50.9	51.4	51.47(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	27	80	45	-29	3.28	57%	0.17	33.7	1.02%	0	0.8	45	NAN

16	Dec_28_2005	46.98	50.63	50.18	50.35	50.53	51.03	51.47(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	35	80	66	-59	5.06	59%	0.17	18.8	1.02%	0	0.9	50	NAN
17	Dec_27_2005	46.9	50.55	50.17	49.86	49.96	50.41	50.64(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	70	29	-100	4.4	57%	0.24	8.9	1.01%	0	0.1	48	NAN
18	Dec_23_2005	46.79	50.51	50.33	49.78	49.73	50.02	50.12(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	40	23	-91	2.88	56%	0.13	12.4	1.01%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
19	Dec_22_2005	46.73	50.48	50.54	49.77	49.79	49.52	50.14(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-40	0	-81	2.97	54%	0.15	16.5	1.01%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
20	Dec_21_2005	46.66	50.44	50.71	49.79	49.88	49.44	49.37(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-60	-48	-83	3.96	54%	0.13	22.3	1.01%	0	-1	47	NAN

21	Dec_20_2005	46.6	50.45	50.92	49.99	50.19	50.06	49.04(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10	-40	-45	4.32	54%	0.13	39.4	1.03%	0	-1.3	54	NAN
22	Dec_19_2005	46.54	50.46	51.13	50.51	50.44	50.33	50.22(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-22	-20	-31	4	2.08	58%	0.17	64.4	0.98%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
23	Dec_16_2005	46.46	50.38	51.2	50.98	50.87	50.32	50.09(-0.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-28	-80	-50	40	2.69	59%	0.15	79.5	0.99%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
24	Dec_15_2005	46.39	50.31	51.25	51.44	51.54	50.55	50.24(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-36	-130	-72	74	4.73	60%	0.17	94.1	0.99%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
25	Dec_14_2005	46.31	50.2	51.26	51.77	52.04	51.42	50.35(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-26	-70	-71	111	6.99	61%		98.5	0.99%	0	0.1	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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