Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $53.7200 (2.64%) ($53.0400 - $53.8700) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $53.7200(2.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.81(1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.86(3.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.31(4.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.5%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.88%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.91%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2006	47.53	51.31	51.86	52.81	52.9	52.94	53.72(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	10	38	181	4.63	62%	0.21	42.9	1.12%	0	1.8	70	NAN
2	Jan_5_2006	47.43	51.18	51.43	52.36	52.4	52.73	52.34(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	50	7	138	7.66	59%	0.17	45.8	1.1%	0	1	64	NAN
3	Jan_4_2006	47.35	51.1	51.11	52.19	52.13	52.87	53.3(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	100	68	132	5.29	62%	0.19	47.6	1.07%	0	1.9	58	NAN
4	Jan_3_2006	47.26	50.97	50.78	51.66	51.73	52.06	53.12(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	50	68	77	4.61	62%	0.25	43.3	1.07%	0	2	49	NAN
5	Dec_30_2005	47.14	50.82	50.46	51.06	51.21	51.39	51.58(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	30	20	-2	2.64	57%	0.17	37	1.01%	0	0.8	41	NAN

6	Dec_29_2005	47.06	50.75	50.31	50.77	50.9	51.4	51.47(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	27	80	45	-29	3.28	57%	0.17	33.7	1.02%	0	0.8	45	NAN
7	Dec_28_2005	46.98	50.63	50.18	50.35	50.53	51.03	51.47(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	35	80	66	-59	5.06	59%	0.17	18.8	1.02%	0	0.9	50	NAN
8	Dec_27_2005	46.9	50.55	50.17	49.86	49.96	50.41	50.64(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	70	29	-100	4.4	57%	0.24	8.9	1.01%	0	0.1	48	NAN
9	Dec_23_2005	46.79	50.51	50.33	49.78	49.73	50.02	50.12(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	40	23	-91	2.88	56%	0.13	12.4	1.01%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
10	Dec_22_2005	46.73	50.48	50.54	49.77	49.79	49.52	50.14(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-40	0	-81	2.97	54%	0.15	16.5	1.01%	0	-0.3	50	NAN

11	Dec_21_2005	46.66	50.44	50.71	49.79	49.88	49.44	49.37(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-60	-48	-83	3.96	54%	0.13	22.3	1.01%	0	-1	47	NAN
12	Dec_20_2005	46.6	50.45	50.92	49.99	50.19	50.06	49.04(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10	-40	-45	4.32	54%	0.13	39.4	1.03%	0	-1.3	54	NAN
13	Dec_19_2005	46.54	50.46	51.13	50.51	50.44	50.33	50.22(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-22	-20	-31	4	2.08	58%	0.17	64.4	0.98%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
14	Dec_16_2005	46.46	50.38	51.2	50.98	50.87	50.32	50.09(-0.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-28	-80	-50	40	2.69	59%	0.15	79.5	0.99%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
15	Dec_15_2005	46.39	50.31	51.25	51.44	51.54	50.55	50.24(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-36	-130	-72	74	4.73	60%	0.17	94.1	0.99%	0	-0.1	59	NAN

16	Dec_14_2005	46.31	50.2	51.26	51.77	52.04	51.42	50.35(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-26	-70	-71	111	6.99	61%	0.17	98.5	0.99%	0	0.1	62	NAN
17	Dec_13_2005	46.23	50.04	51.17	51.97	52.27	52.54	51.65(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	50	7	165	6.16	64%	0.2	92.8	0.94%	0	1.1	71	NAN
18	Dec_12_2005	46.14	49.79	50.99	51.81	52.06	52.66	52.56(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	102	100	70	198	7.51	67%	0.24	87.2	0.91%	0	1.7	82	NAN
19	Dec_9_2005	46.03	49.5	50.7	51.46	51.48	52.01	52.4(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	95	70	64	188	5.88	67%	0.22	87	0.91%	0	1.8	84	NAN
20	Dec_8_2005	45.93	49.21	50.39	51.04	51.02	51.45	51.9(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	83	60	54	169	3.05	66%	0.2	83.7	0.91%	0	1.7	82	NAN

21	Dec_7_2005	45.84	48.94	50.11	50.7	50.65	50.95	51.32(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	79	40	51	164	2.28	65%	0.22	81.2	0.9%	0	1.6	84	NAN
22	Dec_6_2005	45.74	48.67	49.9	50.25	50.31	50.59	50.89(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	40	34	160	2.49	65%	0.2	74.1	0.9%	0	1.4	86	NAN
23	Dec_5_2005	45.65	48.41	49.71	50.03	49.97	50.35	50.78(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	50	35	177	1.85	65%	0.2	67.7	0.9%	0	1.5	86	NAN
24	Dec_2_2005	45.56	48.15	49.48	49.83	49.74	50.02	50.32(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	75	30	37	187	1.65	64%	0.18	59.2	0.9%	0	1.4	82	NAN
25	Dec_1_2005	45.48	47.93	49.29	49.65	49.59	49.59	50.17(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	-0	19	196	2.56	66%		53.9	0.9%	0	1.5	83	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.