Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $53.3000 (0.34%) ($52.6200 - $53.3400) on Wed. Jan. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $53.3000(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.19(2.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.11(4.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.1(4.31%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.76%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.88%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.59%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2006	47.35	51.1	51.11	52.19	52.13	52.87	53.3(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	100	68	132	5.29	62%	0.19	47.6	1.07%	0	1.9	58	0
2	Jan_3_2006	47.26	50.97	50.78	51.66	51.73	52.06	53.12(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	50	68	77	4.61	62%	0.25	43.3	1.07%	0	2	49	0
3	Dec_30_2005	47.14	50.82	50.46	51.06	51.21	51.39	51.58(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	30	20	-2	2.64	57%	0.17	37	1.01%	0	0.8	41	0
4	Dec_29_2005	47.06	50.75	50.31	50.77	50.9	51.4	51.47(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	27	80	45	-29	3.28	57%	0.17	33.7	1.02%	0	0.8	45	0
5	Dec_28_2005	46.98	50.63	50.18	50.35	50.53	51.03	51.47(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	35	80	66	-59	5.06	59%	0.17	18.8	1.02%	0	0.9	50	0

6	Dec_27_2005	46.9	50.55	50.17	49.86	49.96	50.41	50.64(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	70	29	-100	4.4	57%	0.24	8.9	1.01%	0	0.1	48	0
7	Dec_23_2005	46.79	50.51	50.33	49.78	49.73	50.02	50.12(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	40	23	-91	2.88	56%	0.13	12.4	1.01%	0	-0.4	46	0
8	Dec_22_2005	46.73	50.48	50.54	49.77	49.79	49.52	50.14(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-40	0	-81	2.97	54%	0.15	16.5	1.01%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Dec_21_2005	46.66	50.44	50.71	49.79	49.88	49.44	49.37(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-60	-48	-83	3.96	54%	0.13	22.3	1.01%	0	-1	47	0
10	Dec_20_2005	46.6	50.45	50.92	49.99	50.19	50.06	49.04(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10	-40	-45	4.32	54%	0.13	39.4	1.03%	0	-1.3	54	0

11	Dec_19_2005	46.54	50.46	51.13	50.51	50.44	50.33	50.22(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-22	-20	-31	4	2.08	58%	0.17	64.4	0.98%	0	-0.2	55	0
12	Dec_16_2005	46.46	50.38	51.2	50.98	50.87	50.32	50.09(-0.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-28	-80	-50	40	2.69	59%	0.15	79.5	0.99%	0	-0.3	55	0
13	Dec_15_2005	46.39	50.31	51.25	51.44	51.54	50.55	50.24(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-36	-130	-72	74	4.73	60%	0.17	94.1	0.99%	0	-0.1	59	0
14	Dec_14_2005	46.31	50.2	51.26	51.77	52.04	51.42	50.35(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-26	-70	-71	111	6.99	61%	0.17	98.5	0.99%	0	0.1	62	0
15	Dec_13_2005	46.23	50.04	51.17	51.97	52.27	52.54	51.65(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	50	7	165	6.16	64%	0.2	92.8	0.94%	0	1.1	71	0

16	Dec_12_2005	46.14	49.79	50.99	51.81	52.06	52.66	52.56(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	102	100	70	198	7.51	67%	0.24	87.2	0.91%	0	1.7	82	0
17	Dec_9_2005	46.03	49.5	50.7	51.46	51.48	52.01	52.4(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	95	70	64	188	5.88	67%	0.22	87	0.91%	0	1.8	84	0
18	Dec_8_2005	45.93	49.21	50.39	51.04	51.02	51.45	51.9(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	83	60	54	169	3.05	66%	0.2	83.7	0.91%	0	1.7	82	0
19	Dec_7_2005	45.84	48.94	50.11	50.7	50.65	50.95	51.32(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	79	40	51	164	2.28	65%	0.22	81.2	0.9%	0	1.6	84	0
20	Dec_6_2005	45.74	48.67	49.9	50.25	50.31	50.59	50.89(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	40	34	160	2.49	65%	0.2	74.1	0.9%	0	1.4	86	0

21	Dec_5_2005	45.65	48.41	49.71	50.03	49.97	50.35	50.78(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	50	35	177	1.85	65%	0.2	67.7	0.9%	0	1.5	86	0
22	Dec_2_2005	45.56	48.15	49.48	49.83	49.74	50.02	50.32(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	75	30	37	187	1.65	64%	0.18	59.2	0.9%	0	1.4	82	0
23	Dec_1_2005	45.48	47.93	49.29	49.65	49.59	49.59	50.17(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	-0	19	196	2.56	66%	0.18	53.9	0.9%	0	1.5	83	0
24	Nov_30_2005	45.4	47.72	49.06	49.44	49.5	49.47	49.1(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	44	-0	-6	192	1.83	63%	0.15	50.3	0.89%	0	0.9	78	0
25	Nov_29_2005	45.33	47.55	48.83	49.49	49.38	49.6	49.8(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	67	20	16	220	2.28	65%		47	0.89%	0	1.5	91	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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