Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 17, 2005

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $48.4800 (1.47%) ($48.1700 - $48.5800) on Thu. Nov. 17, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $48.4800(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.27(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.71(3.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.62(3.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2005	44.86	46.62	46.71	47.27	47.3	47.94	48.48(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	89	100	81	113	4.17	61%	0.11	25.3	0.88%	0	2.7	57	0
2	Nov_16_2005	44.81	46.48	46.44	46.87	46.87	47.11	47.78(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	47	40	45	51	2.36	61%	0.09	3.4	0.88%	0	2.4	52	0
3	Nov_15_2005	44.77	46.4	46.26	46.62	46.65	46.67	46.66(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	0	13	8	1.33	56%	0.07	-14.2	0.84%	0	0.5	46	0
4	Nov_14_2005	44.74	46.42	46.17	46.47	46.56	46.64	46.62(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	20	16	-22	0.71	56%	0.07	-25	0.85%	0	0.4	44	0
5	Nov_11_2005	44.71	46.42	46.14	46.3	46.38	46.63	46.8(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	40	30	-32	1.47	59%	0.07	-35.7	0.85%	0	0.7	54	0

6	Nov_10_2005	44.68	46.44	46.16	46.05	46.14	46.48	46.48(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	60	34	-42	0.81	60%	0.07	-53.5	0.87%	0	0.1	49	0
7	Nov_9_2005	44.65	46.46	46.22	45.94	45.91	46.13	46.56(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	10	30	26	-39	1.38	60%	0.04	-61.4	0.87%	0	0.2	56	0
8	Nov_8_2005	44.63	46.48	46.24	45.86	45.82	45.8	45.91(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10	7	-47	0.58	58%	0.07	-57.7	0.86%	0	-1	47	0
9	Nov_7_2005	44.6	46.55	46.35	45.82	45.85	45.69	45.77(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-20	-17	-60	0.84	58%	0.04	-53.3	0.86%	0	-1.4	39	0
10	Nov_4_2005	44.58	46.63	46.42	45.95	45.9	45.84	45.51(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-10	-36	-70	1.81	58%	0.04	-40.8	0.86%	0	-2	35	0

11	Nov_3_2005	44.56	46.72	46.54	46.29	46.15	46.01	45.96(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-30	-19	-40	1.7	61%	0.07	-20.2	0.85%	0	-1.5	43	0
12	Nov_2_2005	44.53	46.79	46.55	46.53	46.42	45.97	46.13(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-70	-37	-41	1.01	61%	0.09	-6.8	0.86%	0	-1.4	42	0
13	Nov_1_2005	44.49	46.81	46.58	46.69	46.72	46.29	45.73(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-55	-60	-58	-44	3.48	60%	0.07	-2	0.85%	0	-2.3	41	0
14	Oct_31_2005	44.46	46.85	46.71	46.69	47.01	46.87	46.4(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-20	-20	-12	2.33	63%	0.07	18.2	0.83%	0	-1.1	40	0
15	Oct_28_2005	44.43	46.86	46.8	46.96	47.09	47.16	47.22(0.08%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	20	13	-1	1.44	68%	0.11	17.6	0.8%	0	0.9	47	0

16	Oct_27_2005	44.38	46.83	46.75	46.82	46.95	47.15	47.18(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	40	30	-14	2.46	68%	0.11	11.8	0.8%	0	0.9	46	0
17	Oct_26_2005	44.33	46.82	46.72	46.58	46.7	47.03	46.93(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	60	33	-38	2.25	68%	0.11	3.6	0.8%	0	0.3	46	0
18	Oct_25_2005	44.28	46.81	46.71	46.46	46.47	46.74	47.06(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	12	40	30	-44	3.29	68%	0.11	-6.8	0.8%	0	0.6	58	0
19	Oct_24_2005	44.23	46.78	46.74	46.45	46.3	46.37	46.39(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	0	-4	-47	2.05	66%	0.09	-8	0.79%	0	-1	51	0
20	Oct_21_2005	44.19	46.79	46.83	46.62	46.45	46.2	46.52(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-50	-15	-23	1.41	67%	0.09	8	0.79%	0	-0.7	53	0

21	Oct_20_2005	44.15	46.78	46.91	46.68	46.7	46.24	45.98(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-40	-70	-46	-21	1.68	66%	0.11	16.7	0.78%	0	-1.9	43	0
22	Oct_19_2005	44.1	46.81	47.05	46.88	46.83	46.7	46.34(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-30	-20	-41	2	2.96	68%	0.11	43.4	0.77%	0	-1.2	42	0
23	Oct_18_2005	44.05	46.84	47.06	46.99	46.96	47.16	47(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	30	8	26	1.24	72%	0.07	75.9	0.75%	0	0.4	53	0
24	Oct_17_2005	44.02	46.81	47.02	47.06	47	46.95	47.26(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10	9	37	1.78	72%	0.11	96.6	0.75%	0	1.1	63	0
25	Oct_14_2005	43.97	46.76	46.93	47.09	47.05	46.76	46.8(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-19	-50	-33	22	2.44	68%		106.4	0.74%	0	0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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