Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 13, 2005

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $44.5600 (-0.74%) ($44.3600 - $44.6200) on Tue. Sep. 13, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $44.5600(-0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    PEJ(0%)    XLP(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.64(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.27(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.03(1.2%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2005	42.99	44.03	44.27	44.64	44.68	44.66	44.56(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-0	-3	101	0.95	57%	0.02	36	0.69%	0	1.1	62	0
2	Sep_12_2005	42.98	44	44.17	44.59	44.64	44.77	44.89(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	20	18	103	0.75	59%	0.02	41.4	0.69%	0	1.8	68	0
3	Sep_9_2005	42.97	43.98	44.04	44.46	44.53	44.7	44.84(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	30	28	96	1.39	61%	0.05	44.8	0.69%	0	1.9	69	0
4	Sep_8_2005	42.95	43.95	43.92	44.33	44.4	44.51	44.6(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	20	33	84	1.06	61%	0.02	48	0.69%	0	1.5	61	0
5	Sep_7_2005	42.94	43.9	43.82	44.09	44.26	44.35	44.33(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	30	35	53	1.3	61%	0.02	37.4	0.69%	0	1.1	56	0

6	Sep_6_2005	42.93	43.85	43.75	43.83	43.97	44.28	44.27(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	60	32	8	0.82	62%	0.05	20.2	0.69%	0	1	43	0
7	Sep_2_2005	42.91	43.8	43.69	43.69	43.63	44.17	44.25(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	36	80	50	-8	1.41	64%	0.05	14.3	0.69%	0	1.1	50	0
8	Sep_1_2005	42.89	43.77	43.62	43.56	43.51	43.67	44.22(1.89%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.7	29	20	51	-36	2.5	64%	0.05	14.6	0.71%	0	1.2	45	0
9	Aug_31_2005	42.87	43.74	43.57	43.46	43.41	43.1	43.4(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-50	-26	-94	2.42	61%	0	18.4	0.67%	0	-0.9	34	0
10	Aug_30_2005	42.87	43.75	43.62	43.5	43.53	43.34	43.01(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-30	-46	-95	2.2	59%	0	33	0.67%	0	-1.9	44	0

11	Aug_29_2005	42.87	43.76	43.77	43.65	43.72	43.34	43.57(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	0	-3	-41	1.59	63%	0.02	56.2	0.65%	0	-0.5	55	0
12	Aug_26_2005	42.86	43.75	43.83	43.65	43.74	43.71	43.61(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-0	-2	-24	1.3	63%	0.02	59.2	0.66%	0	-0.3	56	0
13	Aug_25_2005	42.85	43.71	43.91	43.68	43.76	43.73	43.73(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	0	-3	-8	1.65	63%	0.02	57.3	0.66%	0	0	53	0
14	Aug_24_2005	42.84	43.67	43.98	43.7	43.75	43.76	43.59(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	10	-10	6	0.89	63%	0.05	54.8	0.66%	0	-0.1	50	0
15	Aug_23_2005	42.82	43.62	44	43.76	43.8	43.8	43.76(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	0	-9	17	0.61	63%	0.02	53.6	0.65%	0	0.2	55	0

16	Aug_22_2005	42.81	43.55	43.96	43.92	43.86	43.74	43.7(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-17	37	0.88	63%	0.02	61.1	0.65%	0	0.2	59	0
17	Aug_19_2005	42.8	43.49	43.96	44	43.99	43.81	43.6(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-30	-32	45	0.81	61%	0.02	66	0.66%	0	0.2	59	0
18	Aug_18_2005	42.79	43.44	43.94	44.18	44.11	43.99	43.83(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-30	83	1.09	61%	0.02	73.6	0.66%	0	0.5	66	0
19	Aug_17_2005	42.78	43.37	43.93	44.31	44.26	44.18	43.91(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	32	-20	-1	130	1.99	61%	0.02	78.9	0.66%	0	0.7	68	0
20	Aug_16_2005	42.77	43.29	43.9	44.25	44.3	44.23	44.55(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10	18	161	1.88	65%	0.05	73.3	0.63%	0	1.6	81	0

21	Aug_15_2005	42.75	43.16	43.76	44.01	44.11	44.34	44.13(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	40	19	156	1.52	63%	0.05	62.5	0.62%	0	1.3	81	0
22	Aug_12_2005	42.73	43.05	43.66	43.86	43.9	44.37	44.49(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	92	80	65	171	2.43	62%	0.05	55.8	0.62%	0	1.9	80	0
23	Aug_11_2005	42.71	42.93	43.49	43.68	43.62	43.89	44.45(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	79	40	55	151	2.19	62%	0.05	51.6	0.64%	0	2.2	80	0
24	Aug_10_2005	42.69	42.79	43.31	43.52	43.48	43.42	43.65(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10	6	129	0.7	58%	0.02	49.3	0.6%	0	1.4	75	0
25	Aug_9_2005	42.68	42.73	43.2	43.5	43.52	43.35	43.34(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-30	-15	129	1.31	56%		52.7	0.59%	0	1.1	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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