Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 20, 2005

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $43.4000 (0.28%) ($43.1900 - $43.5200) on Wed. Apr. 20, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $43.4000(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.82(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.8(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.67(1.71%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2005	43.1	42.67	42.8	42.82	42.86	43.18	43.4(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	41	60	41	40	1.25	51%	-0.02	-56.1	0.71%	0	2.6	58	0
2	Apr_19_2005	43.11	42.63	42.71	42.72	42.61	42.84	43.28(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	29	30	30	26	3.15	51%	-0.07	-111.5	0.71%	0	3	60	0
3	Apr_18_2005	43.14	42.62	42.63	42.63	42.56	42.53	42.69(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10	7	5	0.91	47%	-0.05	-164.4	0.69%	0	0.4	53	0
4	Apr_15_2005	43.16	42.67	42.6	42.65	42.59	42.39	42.4(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-40	-23	-7	1.81	47%	-0.02	-100	0.68%	0	-0.8	48	0
5	Apr_14_2005	43.17	42.74	42.62	42.7	42.69	42.59	42.31(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	-20	-21	5	3.68	47%	-0.07	-84.4	0.69%	0	-1	50	0

6	Apr_13_2005	43.2	42.83	42.68	42.76	42.75	42.59	42.9(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	10	6	29	0.38	51%	-0.05	-62	0.67%	0	0.1	65	0
7	Apr_12_2005	43.22	42.88	42.64	42.7	42.71	42.79	42.84(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	10	13	26	2.1	53%	-0.05	-57.2	0.67%	0	-0.1	54	0
8	Apr_11_2005	43.24	42.94	42.61	42.62	42.67	42.71	42.78(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	10	15	8	0.51	53%	-0.05	-53.7	0.68%	0	-0.3	40	0
9	Apr_8_2005	43.26	43.01	42.59	42.55	42.58	42.71	42.69(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	10	4	-30	1	53%	-0.05	-44.8	0.68%	0	-0.5	26	0
10	Apr_7_2005	43.28	43.08	42.56	42.53	42.52	42.63	42.57(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	20	5	-59	2.85	53%	-0.02	-36.6	0.68%	0	-0.7	25	0

11	Apr_6_2005	43.29	43.16	42.56	42.53	42.5	42.52	42.63(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-0	5	-88	1.64	50%	0	-29.5	0.69%	0	-0.7	21	0
12	Apr_5_2005	43.29	43.22	42.55	42.58	42.56	42.42	42.45(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-20	-7	-119	0.89	50%	-0.02	-25.3	0.7%	0	-1	25	0
13	Apr_4_2005	43.3	43.28	42.61	42.6	42.6	42.47	42.4(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-20	-20	-141	1.89	50%	-0.02	-25.7	0.7%	0	-1.2	24	0
14	Apr_1_2005	43.31	43.33	42.74	42.63	42.66	42.69	42.62(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-33	10	1	-136	2.45	46%	-0.02	-26.8	0.73%	0	-1	22	0
15	Mar_31_2005	43.32	43.36	42.86	42.58	42.64	42.74	42.82(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	20	17	-141	1.36	46%	-0.02	-31.7	0.74%	0	-0.8	29	0

16	Mar_30_2005	43.33	43.38	42.99	42.5	42.55	42.62	42.61(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	20	7	-153	1.32	46%	0	-36.5	0.73%	0	-1.1	30	0
17	Mar_29_2005	43.33	43.42	43.13	42.51	42.51	42.54	42.56(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	0	-6	-158	1.2	42%	-0.02	-40.3	0.74%	0	-1.3	29	0
18	Mar_28_2005	43.34	43.47	43.28	42.62	42.59	42.47	42.54(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-20	-23	-144	0.58	42%	-0.02	-33.1	0.76%	0	-1.5	41	0
19	Mar_24_2005	43.35	43.52	43.46	42.89	42.74	42.48	42.39(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-50	-45	-112	1.47	42%	-0.02	-17.3	0.76%	0	-1.9	40	0
20	Mar_23_2005	43.36	43.58	43.65	43.17	43.07	42.71	42.42(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-59	-70	-56	-69	2.62	42%	-0.02	2.5	0.76%	0	-2.2	48	0

21	Mar_22_2005	43.37	43.64	43.82	43.55	43.41	43.01	42.65(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-48	-70	-57	-20	2.61	42%	-0.02	34.3	0.77%	0	-2.2	46	0
22	Mar_21_2005	43.38	43.69	43.98	43.83	43.75	43.43	43.09(-1.82%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.8	-29	-60	-47	26	3.81	44%	-0.02	69.1	0.76%	0	-1.5	51	0
23	Mar_18_2005	43.39	43.68	44.03	44.02	44.01	43.81	43.89(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-30	-29	56	1.21	48%	0.02	84.2	0.72%	0	0.5	56	0
24	Mar_17_2005	43.38	43.63	43.99	44.13	44.1	44.07	43.82(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10	-20	71	1.53	51%	0.02	94.5	0.72%	0	0.4	56	0
25	Mar_16_2005	43.37	43.56	43.91	44.21	44.24	44.2	44.31(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-0	11	88	2.22	54%		99.2	0.72%	0	1.4	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.