Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $43.3800 (0.95%) ($43.3100 - $43.5200) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $43.3800(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(25%)    EEM(17%)    OIH(16%)    EWG(15%)    LQD(15%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
REMX(-1%)    XLY(0%)    XLP(1%)    XLK(3%)    QQQ(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.27(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.29(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.67(1.66%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2005	43.3	42.67	43.29	43.27	43.21	43.2	43.38(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10	2	64	0.92	50%	0	36.4	0.8%	0	0.9	73	0
2	Mar_3_2005	43.3	42.58	43.23	43.29	43.27	43.11	42.97(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-30	-15	78	1.92	51%	0	31.6	0.79%	0	0.5	74	0
3	Mar_2_2005	43.3	42.54	43.2	43.36	43.37	43.23	43.25(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-20	-16	103	1.19	49%	0	31.6	0.81%	0	0.9	83	0
4	Mar_1_2005	43.3	42.48	43.13	43.4	43.41	43.43	43.22(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	0	-10	131	3.25	50%	0	33.3	0.82%	0	0.9	84	0
5	Feb_28_2005	43.3	42.43	43.07	43.47	43.44	43.52	43.52(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	57	10	18	175	0.76	49%	0	33.7	0.81%	0	1.4	90	0

6	Feb_25_2005	43.3	42.38	42.93	43.31	43.4	43.4	43.5(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	10	17	171	1.1	50%	0	29.7	0.82%	0	1.5	83	0
7	Feb_24_2005	43.3	42.33	42.76	43.16	43.23	43.36	43.33(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	30	14	161	1.22	51%	0	28	0.82%	0	1.5	76	0
8	Feb_23_2005	43.3	42.29	42.57	43	43.04	43.4	43.42(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	60	37	143	1.53	51%	0.02	26	0.83%	0	1.7	65	0
9	Feb_22_2005	43.29	42.22	42.35	42.83	42.81	43.09	43.57(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	63	40	44	119	3.38	52%	0	20	0.83%	0	2.3	68	0
10	Feb_18_2005	43.29	42.17	42.12	42.63	42.57	42.69	42.75(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	21	81	0.86	50%	-0.02	15.1	0.79%	0	1.1	57	0

11	Feb_17_2005	43.3	42.16	41.99	42.49	42.5	42.53	42.73(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	10	22	48	3.05	50%	-0.02	9.9	0.8%	0	1.1	47	0
12	Feb_16_2005	43.31	42.14	41.87	42.3	42.34	42.45	42.52(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	20	21	14	1.82	50%	-0.02	-3.4	0.8%	0	0.8	45	0
13	Feb_15_2005	43.32	42.12	41.83	42.05	42.15	42.47	42.58(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	29	60	42	-11	1.56	50%	-0.02	-17.2	0.81%	0	0.9	45	0
14	Feb_14_2005	43.33	42.1	41.77	41.79	41.82	42.23	42.55(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	30	70	52	-35	2.35	50%	-0.05	-29.3	0.81%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Feb_11_2005	43.35	42.09	41.72	41.53	41.51	41.82	42.08(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	50	38	-77	1.9	48%	-0.05	-39.7	0.81%	0	-0	39	0

16	Feb_10_2005	43.37	42.11	41.77	41.41	41.36	41.41	41.75(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	0	15	-100	7.77	48%	-0.07	-42	0.81%	0	-0.7	34	0
17	Feb_9_2005	43.4	42.15	41.85	41.4	41.33	41.2	41.31(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-30	-21	-113	3.48	46%	-0.07	-43.7	0.8%	0	-1.7	38	0
18	Feb_8_2005	43.43	42.2	41.98	41.57	41.44	41.31	41.26(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-30	-28	-94	1.3	46%	-0.09	-42.2	0.8%	0	-2	37	0
19	Feb_7_2005	43.47	42.25	42.09	41.74	41.67	41.46	41.27(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-38	-40	-24	-78	1.75	46%	-0.09	-48.5	0.81%	0	-2.4	36	0
20	Feb_4_2005	43.51	42.28	42.24	41.93	41.84	41.57	41.47(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-50	-40	-60	1.82	46%	-0.09	-67.5	0.82%	0	-2.3	38	0

21	Feb_3_2005	43.55	42.32	42.37	42.17	42.01	41.89	41.68(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-34	-30	-34	-33	2.45	46%	-0.09	-81.7	0.82%	0	-2.1	37	0
22	Feb_2_2005	43.59	42.37	42.44	42.36	42.26	42.11	42.16(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-30	-10	-11	0.96	48%	-0.07	-89.1	0.82%	0	-0.8	42	0
23	Feb_1_2005	43.62	42.4	42.46	42.46	42.36	42.12	42.1(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-50	-24	-6	1.09	48%	-0.07	-101.5	0.83%	0	-1.1	50	0
24	Jan_31_2005	43.65	42.45	42.48	42.49	42.5	42.41	42.22(-1.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-13	-10	-19	5	1.69	48%	-0.07	-114.1	0.83%	0	-0.8	57	0
25	Jan_28_2005	43.68	42.52	42.5	42.6	42.55	42.59	42.69(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	0	-2	30	1.15	50%		-80.8	0.83%	0	0.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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