Trading Signals: GILD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: GILD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Gilead Sciences)
GILD latest price $107.3305 (1.24%) ($106.2223 - $107.8440) on Thu. Jun. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $107.3305(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GILD advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GILD advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GILD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(60%)    XLV(55%)    SPY(45%)    VYM(45%)    IVE(44%)
Factors Impacting GILD price   GILD will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-15%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.37(2.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.52(3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.76(5.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.9%
Market Cap   $134.592b

Gilead Sciences, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the research, development, and commercialization of medicines in areas of unmet medical need. Its primary areas of focus include human immunodeficiency virus, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, liver diseases, hematology, oncology, and inflammation and respiratory diseases. It offers antiviral products under Harvoni, Genvoya, Epclusa, Truvada, Atripla, Descovy, Stribild, Viread, Odefsey, Complera/Eviplera, Sovaldi, and Vosevi brands. The company was founded by Michael L. Riordan on June 22, 1987 and is headquartered in Foster City, CA.

$. GILD price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.71%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.17%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2015	94.04	101.76	103.52	104.37	104.32	105.89	107.33(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	115	100	111	126	14.47	65%	0.16	109.6	1.4%	0	2.4	74	INF
2	Jun_10_2015	93.89	101.18	102.93	103.43	103.18	103.82	106.02(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	67	40	58	94	11.99	65%	0.13	110.3	1.39%	0	2.1	74	INF
3	Jun_9_2015	93.77	100.64	102.44	102.89	102.63	102.75	103.38(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	0	8	69	9.57	62%	0.11	106.5	1.4%	0	1.2	67	INF
4	Jun_8_2015	93.67	100.2	102.01	102.74	102.7	102.54	102.44(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10	1	60	10.74	62%	0.13	94.2	1.4%	0	0.9	62	INF
5	Jun_5_2015	93.55	99.78	101.84	102.81	102.7	102.51	102.67(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10	-8	67	8.44	62%	0.17	84.1	1.42%	0	1	68	INF

6	Jun_4_2015	93.39	99.25	101.6	102.5	102.66	102.87	102.65(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	20	11	78	8.64	62%	0.14	74.1	1.42%	0	1	70	INF
7	Jun_3_2015	93.26	98.74	101.27	102.31	102.38	102.8	103.29(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	30	26	94	7.41	62%	0.17	68.5	1.42%	0	1.3	78	INF
8	Jun_2_2015	93.1	98.22	100.89	101.92	101.95	102.46	102.65(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	40	40	110	10.19	62%	0.13	64.7	1.42%	0	1.3	79	INF
9	Jun_1_2015	92.98	97.84	100.61	101.16	101.4	101.95	102.78(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	50	38	115	11.42	62%	0.12	64.1	1.42%	0	1.5	80	INF
10	May_29_2015	92.87	97.41	100.17	100.74	100.71	101.44	101.15(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	50	29	124	11.34	60%	0.11	66.1	1.42%	0	1.2	80	INF

11	May_28_2015	92.77	96.9	99.86	100.55	100.43	100.85	101.67(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	74	30	47	153	8.25	60%	0.13	55.8	1.43%	0	1.4	85	INF
12	May_27_2015	92.65	96.42	99.3	100.07	100	99.97	101.32(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-0	10	144	11.72	60%	0.15	51.3	1.44%	0	1.5	82	INF
13	May_26_2015	92.51	96.01	98.69	99.72	99.66	99.97	98.9(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	34	20	-4	147	16.01	57%	0.21	49.4	1.41%	0	0.9	75	INF
14	May_22_2015	92.32	95.7	98.28	99.94	99.71	100.02	100.65(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	10	38	173	12.08	61%	0.09	56	1.38%	0	1.6	67	INF
15	May_21_2015	92.24	95.32	97.58	99.51	99.46	99.3	100.2(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10	10	150	8.37	61%	0.17	59.9	1.39%	0	1.7	68	INF

16	May_20_2015	92.08	95.02	96.76	99.06	99.15	99.4	99.26(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	20	11	147	10.34	61%	0.15	63.8	1.4%	0	1.6	75	INF
17	May_19_2015	91.94	94.73	96.06	98.38	98.71	99.62	99.61(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	83	70	60	153	8.68	61%	0.13	61.6	1.4%	0	2	69	INF
18	May_18_2015	91.82	94.46	95.36	97.48	97.72	98.9	100.01(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	96	90	82	138	13.72	61%	0.17	59.8	1.4%	0	2.3	65	INF
19	May_15_2015	91.66	93.98	94.82	96.35	96.49	97.8	98.47(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	92	100	82	122	13.42	58%	0.08	50.9	1.4%	0	2.2	64	INF
20	May_14_2015	91.59	93.61	94.39	95.37	95.44	96.54	97.97(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	92	80	88	105	12.76	58%	0.19	42.9	1.41%	0	2.5	60	INF

21	May_13_2015	91.42	93.34	93.64	94.12	94.44	95.18	95.85(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	70	66	48	10.81	54%	0.18	33.8	1.39%	0	1.7	52	INF
22	May_12_2015	91.26	93.22	93.26	93.37	93.32	94.34	95.1(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	70	40	12	9.55	54%	0.13	34	1.4%	0	1.4	53	INF
23	May_11_2015	91.14	93.06	93.07	92.91	92.85	93.7	94.36(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	36	60	49	-2	9.96	54%	-0.04	36.6	1.4%	0	1	48	INF
24	May_8_2015	91.18	92.95	92.9	93.08	92.77	92.31	93.56(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-40	-5	-11	9.65	54%	-0.02	54.6	1.4%	0	0.5	58	INF
25	May_7_2015	91.2	92.86	92.87	93.29	93.35	92.01	91.71(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-100	-54	-17	13.88	50%		69	1.39%	0	-0.9	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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