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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)

GDXJ latest price $49.1300 (2.14%) ($48.5500 - $49.4550) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Pop
Trend Narrative  Relative Oversold
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.82 (5.28% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.95% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.6% (StdDev 2.95%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.3%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.96%
Trend Strength  -3.3%
RSI   19
Momentum  1.8
Latest Price  $49.1300(2.14%)
Forecasted Low Price  47.85(-2.6%)
Forecasted High Price  49.47(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-2.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  4.4% ((51.3))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  6.5%
Hourly Trend   -1.5% [$48.51(-0.73), $49.88(-0.59)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  GDXJ declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GDXJ declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GDXJ decline at-1% a week (96% probability)
  GDX(98%)    SIL(97%)    SILJ(97%)    SLV(84%)    GLD(83%)  
Factors Impacting GDXJ price  GDXJ will advance at least 0.2% in a week (40% probabilities).
  UUP(-62%)    VIXM(-29%)    VXX(-26%)    UNG(-15%)    SHY(-11%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  There're alternative trades for faster decline
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.7
 
Relative Volatility   2.2 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.4% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV   -2.1 ()
Intraday Trend   0.9%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $49.49(0.74%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $45.21(-7.98%)
Resistance Level  $53.38
5 Day Moving Average  $50.05(-1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average  $51.6(-4.79%)
20 Day Moving Average  $53.38(-7.96%)
To recent high  -20.5%
To recent low  2.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 5.28% (three month std-dev: 2.95%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
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To High-Low
1Nov_25_202053.38 (-0.6%)51.6 (-1.2%)50.05 (-1%) 49.88 48.51(0%)49.13(2.14%)48.55-49.46-1.4(-1.5)-2.1 -1.3%-0.6%0%-0.96%-3.3%191.8 Downtrend Pop  Lower(-1.9%)2-1.71.4Relative Oversold 49.17(0.08%)46.6-51.278.48   -20.5%-2.1
2Nov_24_202053.55 (-0.6%)51.99 (-1.2%)50.55 (-1.9%) 50.47 49.24(0%)48.1(-2.95%)47.68-48.67-1.8(-2)-2 -3.1%-1.1%0%-0.96%-2.9%391.7 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.7%)2-2.21.5Growing Downtrend 47.25(-1.76%)46.4-48.9510.1   -22.2%-0
3Nov_23_202053.98 (-0.4%)52.61 (-1%)51.54 (-1.8%) 51.53 51.25(0%)49.56(-4.49%)49.49-51.37-1.6(-1.8)-2.4 -1.2%-1%0%-0.84%-2.5%381.5 Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)2-21.3Growing Downtrend 48.9(-1.33%)48.24-50.2210.5   -19.8%-0
4Nov_20_202054.28 (-0.4%)53.26 (-0.8%)52.47 (-1%) 52.25 51.69(0%)51.89(0.66%)51.57-52.76-0.8(-1.1)-2.3 -0.6%-1.1%0%-0.68%-1.9%451.4 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.7%)3-1.41.4Growing Downtrend 51.32(-1.1%)50.83-52.218.09   -16%-0.7
5Nov_19_202054.51 (-0.4%)53.99 (-0.4%)53.01 (-0.7%) 52.82 51.8(0%)51.55(-0.15%)50.72-51.97-1(-1.3)-1.7 -1.6%-1.2%0%-0.46%-1%491.4 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.7%)4-1.81.7Growing Downtrend 51.19(-0.69%)50.82-51.977.69   -16.6%-0
 
6Nov_18_202054.79 (-0.4%)54.77 (-0.2%)53.39 (-0.5%) 53.68 52.81(0%)51.63(-2.7%)51.55-53.11-1.3(-1.4)-1.8 -1.3%-0.6%0%-0.26%-0.1%511.4 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.6%)5-1.91.9Growing Downtrend 51.49(-0.28%)51.21-52.158.64   -16.5%-0
7Nov_17_202055.12 (-0.4%)55.07 (-0%)53.65 (-0.4%) 54.03 53.85(0%)53.06(-2.12%)52.84-53.75-0.8(-1)-1.6 -0.7%-0.5%0%-0.16%-0.1%561.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)6-1.81.8N/A 53.36(0.57%)52.6-53.997.08   -14.1%-2
8Nov_16_202055.34 (-0.4%)55.36 (-0%)53.84 (-0.7%) 53.97 54.55(0%)54.21(-0.68%)53.84-55.03-0.5(-0.5)-1.1 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.14%0%471.3 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)7-1.81.9N/A 54.34(0.24%)53.75-54.835.68   -12.3%-4.2% 
9Nov_13_202055.46 (-0.4%)55.45 (0%)54.2 (-1.8%) 54.14 54.22(0%)54.58(2.04%)54.16-55.13-0.4(-0.4)-0.4 0.2%0.1%0%-0.1%-0%501.3 Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.3%)7-1.61.1Growing Downtrend 54.42(-0.29%)54.27-54.745.86   -11.7%-4.9% 
10Nov_12_202055.61 (-0.4%)55.34 (0.2%)55.21 (-2.1%) 54.48 53.39(0%)53.49(1.13%)53.34-54.6-0.9(-1)-3.8 -1.9%-0.1%0%-0.02%-0.5%451.3 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-2%)6-20.7Growing Downtrend 53.44(-0.1%)53.28-53.866.46   -13.4%-2.8
 
11Nov_11_202055.86 (-0.2%)55.31 (0.2%)56.41 (-0.5%) 55.99 54.06(0%)52.89(-2.07%)52.6-53.54-1.3(-1.3)-2.6 -2.1%-0.1%0%0.1%-1%431.3 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-1.2%)6-2.81.3Uptrend Reversal 53.58(1.3%)53-53.967.52   -14.4%-1.7
12Nov_10_202056.19 (-0%)55.28 (0%)56.67 (-0.6%) 57.21 55.57(0%)54.01(-3.57%)53.94-56.2-0.9(-1)-1.2 -2.2%-0.4%0%0.02%-1.6%421.2 N/A  Range(-0.8%)6-2.60.7Range Bound 54.34(0.62%)54.75-54.019   -12.6%-3.8% 
13Nov_9_202056.4 (0%)55.5 (0.2%)57.03 (0.4%) 57.19 57.92(0%)56.01(-6.09%)54.79-56.82-0.2(-0.2)-0.2 -0.7%0%0%0.08%-1.6%481.2 Downtrend Reversal  Higher(2.3%)6-1.9-0.4Rebound 56.35(0.61%)56.12-56.4514.94   -9.4%-7.6% 
14Nov_6_202056.55 (0%)55.42 (0%)56.8 (2.3%) 57.1 58.86(0%)59.64(0.24%)58.94-60.291.2(1.3)1.9 3.2%0.5%0%0.02%-2%561.3 N/A  Higher(3.7%)51.31.9N/A 59.1(-0.9%)58-608   -6.3%-14.6% 
15Nov_5_202056.51 (-0%)55.04 (-0.2%)55.51 (2.5%) 55.73 56.47(0%)59.5(9.78%)56.3-59.741.2(1.4)3.1 2.2%0.5%0%-0.22%-2.6%531.2 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(2.7%)41.30.9N/A 58.7(-1.35%)57.93-59.3316.78   -7.1%-14.4% 
 
16Nov_4_202056.34 (-0.2%)54.73 (-0.6%)54.14 (0.8%) 54.48 55.34(0%)54.2(-2.85%)53.96-55.92-0.9(-1)0.3 0.9%-0.5%0%-0.48%-2.9%371.3 Downtrend Consolidation  Higher(1.8%)4-2.20.5Downtrend 53.88(-0.59%)53.59-54.569.32   -15.4%-4.2% 
17Nov_3_202056.42 (-0.2%)55.1 (-0.8%)53.7 (-0.2%) 53.76 54.99(0%)55.79(1.71%)55.14-56.35-0.3(-0.3)1.5 1.6%-0.1%0%-0.58%-2.3%381.2 Confirmed Rebound  Higher(1.5%)30.2-1.6Downtrend 55.31(-0.86%)55.06-55.897.02   -12.9%-7.2% 
18Nov_2_202056.37 (-0.2%)55.22 (-0.8%)53.78 (-0.2%) 53.13 53.61(0%)54.85(3.08%)53.22-54.96-0.6(-0.7)1.3 0.8%-0.3%0%-0.6%-2%401.3 Rebound  Range(0.5%)20.2-2.5After Bottom 54.72(-0.24%)53.62-55.6210.9   -14.4%-5.4% 
19Oct_30_202056.47 (-0.2%)55.4 (-0.8%)53.86 (-1.2%) 53.47 52.53(0%)53.21(1.1%)51.76-53.53-1.4(-1.6)-3.6 -0.8%-0.6%0%-0.66%-1.9%311.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.4%)1-0.8-2.2Downtrend 52.75(-0.86%)52.33-53.758.72   -16.9%-2.3
20Oct_29_202056.6 (-0.2%)55.86 (-0.8%)54.51 (-1.6%) 54.18 52.66(0%)52.63(1.15%)51.27-53.11-1.8(-2)-1.3 -2.6%-0.9%0%-0.58%-1.3%281.1 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.5%)1-2-2.4Relative Oversold 53.19(1.06%)51.54-54.536.67   -17.8%-1.2
 
21Oct_28_202056.81 (-0%)56.46 (-0.6%)55.41 (-2.2%) 55.31 54.41(0%)52.03(-7.4%)51.77-54.65-2.3(-2.7)-2.4 -2.1%-1.1%2%-0.4%-0.6%411 Oversold  Higher(2.5%)2-2.4-2.4Downtrend 51.91(-0.23%)51.54-52.7615.32   -18.8%-0
22Oct_27_202057.01 (0.2%)57.23 (-0.2%)56.64 (-0.4%) 56.25 55.7(0%)56.19(1.7%)54.89-56.29-0.5(-0.6)-1.8 -0.9%-0.3%0%-0.1%0.4%560.9 Downtrend Pop  Range(-1.2%)2-0.1-0.6Correction 55.5(-1.23%)55.34-56.129.64   -12.3%-5.8% 
23Oct_26_202057.02 (0.2%)57.44 (-0%)56.87 (-0.5%) 56.9 56.21(0%)55.25(-2.11%)55.15-56.85-1(-1.2)-3.9 -0.8%-0.5%0%-0%0.7%560.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)3-1.4-0.2Correction 54.69(-1.02%)54.54-55.257.64   -13.7%-4% 
24Oct_23_202057.04 (0.2%)57.84 (0%)57.16 (-0.4%) 57.21 56.8(0%)56.44(-1.19%)55.83-57.11-0.3(-0.4)-1.6 -0.9%-0.3%0%0.1%1.4%510.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.6%)4-1.40.8Uptrend Consolidation 56.56(0.22%)56.59-56.496.39   -11.9%-6.3% 
25Oct_22_202056.94 (0%)58.15 (0.2%)57.41 (-0.5%) 57.46 57.58(0%)57.12(-1.82%)56.14-57.450.1(0.1)-1.1 -0.3%0.1%0%0.2%2.1%580.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.7%)5-0.50.6Uptrend 57.22(0.17%)57.08-57.287.5   -10.8%-7.5% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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