Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $36.1360 (2.39%) ($35.7658 - $36.8289) on Mon. May. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.69% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $36.1360(2.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(24%)    SIL(23%)    VCIT(23%)    DIA(22%)    BND(21%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-35%)    TBT(-17%)    SPLV(-6%)    SDY(-6%)    XLF(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.845% (StdDev 3.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.25(2.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.73(4.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.14(5.85%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   67.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 4.72% (three month std-dev: 3.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.91%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.93%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.27%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2016	25.29	34.14	34.73	35.25	35.49	35.73	36.14(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	70	20	25	12.17	63%	0.44	72.9	3.69%	0	1.2	61	0
2	May_13_2016	25.18	33.88	34.68	34.64	34.86	35.3	35.29(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	110	2	20	7.84	63%	0.68	61.2	3.87%	0	0.8	63	0
3	May_12_2016	25.01	33.66	34.78	34.74	34.49	35.26	35(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	130	14	47	9.22	64%	0.68	63.1	3.9%	0	0.7	61	0
4	May_11_2016	24.84	33.41	34.74	34.53	34.47	34.42	35.5(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-20	20	52	13.67	66%	0.73	62.9	3.91%	0	1.1	58	0
5	May_10_2016	24.66	33.16	34.5	34	34.47	33.71	34.3(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-70	-12	30	14.35	66%	0.65	65.1	4.02%	0	0.6	59	0

6	May_9_2016	24.5	33	34.37	34.13	34.11	34.51	33.13(-7.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	80	-12	32	20.45	64%	0.66	78	4.01%	0	0.1	51	0
7	May_6_2016	24.34	32.89	34.26	34.71	34.57	34.5	35.79(5.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-30	6	60	19.34	69%	0.79	91.8	3.91%	0	1.4	65	0
8	May_5_2016	24.15	32.55	33.88	34.86	34.84	33.7	33.94(3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-230	-18	62	10.73	68%	0.67	94.5	3.9%	0	0.6	62	0
9	May_4_2016	23.99	32.25	33.78	34.98	35.39	34.64	32.85(-6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-110	-18	82	17.68	69%	0.63	90.8	3.92%	0	0.2	64	0
10	May_3_2016	23.84	31.98	33.72	35.02	35.46	35.97	34.95(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	140	10	105	12.41	73%	0.76	85.6	3.83%	0	1.1	66	0

11	May_2_2016	23.66	31.59	33.54	34.59	34.78	36.14	36.01(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	290	37	117	12.5	73%	0.77	77.3	3.82%	0	1.6	66	0
12	Apr_29_2016	23.48	31.09	33.02	33.71	33.76	34.95	36.56(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	250	43	98	21.41	73%	0.82	71.1	3.81%	0	2	69	0
13	Apr_28_2016	23.29	30.59	32.42	32.79	32.76	33.42	34.53(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	140	20	75	17.82	72%	0.74	68.3	3.77%	0	1.6	71	0
14	Apr_27_2016	23.12	30.19	31.93	32.45	32.33	32.56	33.04(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	40	9	72	8.1	71%	0.7	69.3	3.76%	0	1.2	72	0
15	Apr_26_2016	22.96	29.87	31.67	32.24	32.38	32.56	32.82(3.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-50	-2	80	13.78	72%	0.66	67.4	3.77%	0	1.2	73	0

16	Apr_25_2016	22.81	29.58	31.5	32.32	32.49	32.1	31.61(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-70	-7	105	7.39	71%	0.57	68.2	3.77%	0	0.8	72	0
17	Apr_22_2016	22.68	29.28	31.42	32.19	32.71	32.66	31.93(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	40	3	133	14.91	71%	0.62	64.5	3.76%	0	1.1	75	0
18	Apr_21_2016	22.54	28.97	31.12	31.97	32.39	32.89	32.86(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	150	19	148	15.5	71%	0.71	60.1	3.73%	0	1.6	74	0
19	Apr_20_2016	22.38	28.59	30.62	31.3	31.69	32.76	31.97(-3.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	270	23	140	16.78	71%	0.63	50.8	3.73%	0	1.4	73	0
20	Apr_19_2016	22.24	28.34	30.14	31	30.98	31.89	33.24(7.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	57	200	29	140	17.01	71%	0.72	54.9	3.68%	0	2.2	77	0

21	Apr_18_2016	22.08	28.01	29.49	30.59	30.46	30.62	30.92(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	20	8	122	5.91	69%	0.64	63.3	3.66%	0	1.5	69	0
22	Apr_15_2016	21.94	27.8	29.02	30.56	30.44	30.07	30.83(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-100	5	128	10.29	69%	0.41	70.8	3.69%	0	1.7	74	0
23	Apr_14_2016	21.85	27.56	28.62	30.15	30.41	30.29	29.55(-3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	-0	3	124	12.05	67%	0.55	69	3.67%	0	1.2	71	0
24	Apr_13_2016	21.73	27.43	28.32	29.78	30.01	30.81	30.47(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	210	23	129	10.33	67%	0.6	70.9	3.68%	0	1.9	77	0
25	Apr_12_2016	21.6	27.16	27.93	29.08	29.24	30.53	31.17(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	60	330	43	112	11.53	66%		60.5	3.66%	0	2.6	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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