Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $27.1186 (8.02%) ($24.4941 - $27.3142) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.58% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $27.1186(8.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(26%)    SIL(26%)    VCIT(23%)    BND(21%)    DIA(21%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-35%)    TBT(-17%)    XLF(-5%)    SDY(-5%)    IWC(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.79% (StdDev 3.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.88(4.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.92(4.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.97(8.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   67.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 5.05% (three month std-dev: 3.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(58%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 2.35%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.49%(45%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	19.92	24.97	25.92	25.88	25.57	25.36	27.12(8.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-90	10	58	16.1	59%	0.35	71.7	3.58%	0	1.7	60	INF
2	Mar_15_2016	19.85	24.74	25.64	25.56	25.66	25.09	25.11(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-140	-13	42	9.18	57%	0.2	68.7	3.48%	0	0.3	57	INF
3	Mar_14_2016	19.81	24.58	25.64	25.66	25.76	25.78	24.83(-3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	20	-18	47	11.09	55%	0.2	70.7	3.48%	0	0.2	59	INF
4	Mar_11_2016	19.77	24.52	25.53	25.66	26.03	26.23	25.77(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	50	6	86	13.73	57%	0.25	90.8	3.48%	0	0.9	64	INF
5	Mar_10_2016	19.72	24.37	25.33	26.08	26.14	25.75	26.6(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-100	2	89	14.03	57%	0.36	102.3	3.45%	0	1.6	65	INF

6	Mar_9_2016	19.65	24.1	25.11	25.95	26.12	25.83	25.48(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-60	-6	85	9.01	56%	0.2	102.3	3.42%	0	1	56	INF
7	Mar_8_2016	19.61	23.86	24.97	25.74	26.14	26.54	25.63(-4.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	150	16	98	15.5	56%	0.31	97.9	3.41%	0	1.1	65	INF
8	Mar_7_2016	19.55	23.66	24.75	25.36	25.55	26.41	26.95(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	260	26	102	15.58	56%	0.31	100.1	3.34%	0	2.1	74	INF
9	Mar_4_2016	19.49	23.34	24.35	24.9	24.98	25.74	25.73(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	220	30	83	19.96	56%	0.21	106.4	3.34%	0	1.6	58	INF
10	Mar_3_2016	19.45	23.05	24.11	24.48	24.49	24.7	25.98(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	60	18	66	16.87	56%	0.21	100.4	3.37%	0	1.9	62	INF

11	Mar_2_2016	19.41	22.71	23.91	24.18	24.49	24.21	24.4(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	20	1	72	10.17	53%	0.21	95.5	3.29%	0	1	65	INF
12	Mar_1_2016	19.37	22.41	23.74	24.09	24.14	24.29	23.73(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	50	5	86	13.02	53%	0.21	85.9	3.29%	0	0.7	65	INF
13	Feb_29_2016	19.33	22.17	23.55	24.02	24.11	24.07	24.65(4.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-0	11	90	9.88	55%	0.21	84.4	3.23%	0	1.3	63	INF
14	Feb_26_2016	19.29	21.85	23.43	23.71	23.91	23.99	23.64(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	50	1	97	9.37	53%	0.21	80.3	3.21%	0	0.9	64	INF
15	Feb_25_2016	19.25	21.57	23.35	23.67	23.69	24.15	24.46(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	140	7	125	8.41	55%	0.21	79.1	3.2%	0	1.3	70	INF

16	Feb_24_2016	19.21	21.25	23.01	23.63	23.57	23.83	23.97(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	70	19	149	13.68	55%	0.21	83.7	3.2%	0	1.3	71	INF
17	Feb_23_2016	19.17	20.94	22.69	23.34	23.34	23.23	23.38(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	48	-30	11	157	8.04	55%	0.21	84	3.2%	0	1.1	73	INF
18	Feb_22_2016	19.13	20.63	22.51	22.99	23.04	23.32	23.11(-1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	90	-3	162	7.6	55%	0.21	77.3	3.2%	0	1.1	69	INF
19	Feb_19_2016	19.09	20.32	22.27	23.1	22.84	23.45	23.44(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	150	16	203	10.27	54%	0.32	77.2	3.23%	0	1.4	72	INF
20	Feb_18_2016	19.03	19.98	21.91	22.97	22.65	22.76	24.23(7.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	79	-10	28	230	15.84	55%	0.32	73.6	3.2%	0	1.9	76	INF

21	Feb_17_2016	18.97	19.58	21.4	22.31	22.49	22.23	22.55(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	-60	10	211	9.98	50%	0.21	66	3.08%	0	1.4	71	INF
22	Feb_16_2016	18.93	19.27	20.98	21.93	22.08	22.54	21.61(-8.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	49	170	-1	197	17.99	48%	0.21	56.5	3.08%	0	1.1	70	INF
23	Feb_12_2016	18.89	19.03	20.7	21.92	21.86	22.75	23.64(3.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	97	280	43	257	10.83	52%	0.21	53	2.84%	0	2.2	83	INF
24	Feb_11_2016	18.85	18.69	20.14	21.33	21.53	21.63	22.79(8.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	90	60	39	244	18.13	50%	0.27	45.3	2.81%	0	2.2	82	INF
25	Feb_10_2016	18.8	18.42	19.63	20.72	20.88	20.98	20.95(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	63	60	8	229	8.66	45%		37.5	2.61%	0	1.6	80	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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