Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $23.6445 (3.75%) ($22.0879 - $23.6445) on Fri. Feb. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.84% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $23.6445(3.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ advances 11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(29%)    SIL(28%)    VCIT(23%)    GLD(22%)    BND(21%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-36%)    TBT(-17%)    XLF(-5%)    SDY(-5%)    IWD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.42% (StdDev 2.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.92(7.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.7(14.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.03(24.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   45.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 11.14% (three month std-dev: 2.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 4.1%(80%) Average negative next day return: -3.28%(20%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 12%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -6.68%(20%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 18.94%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.05%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2016	18.89	19.03	20.7	21.92	21.86	22.75	23.64(3.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	97	280	43	257	10.83	52%	0.21	53	2.84%	0	2.2	83	0
2	Feb_11_2016	18.85	18.69	20.14	21.33	21.53	21.63	22.79(8.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	90	60	39	244	18.13	50%	0.27	45.3	2.81%	0	2.2	82	0
3	Feb_10_2016	18.8	18.42	19.63	20.72	20.88	20.98	20.95(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	63	60	8	229	8.66	45%	0.11	37.5	2.61%	0	1.6	80	0
4	Feb_9_2016	18.78	18.26	19.34	20.35	20.67	21.42	20.65(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	300	38	240	12.55	45%	0.11	30.4	2.62%	0	1.6	79	0
5	Feb_8_2016	18.76	18.12	19.06	19.87	20.04	20.79	21.57(4.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	97	290	50	239	13.66	47%	0.11	21.5	2.57%	0	2.6	88	0

6	Feb_5_2016	18.74	17.97	18.59	19.29	19.24	19.92	20.69(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	78	240	38	197	11.06	42%	0	14.6	2.58%	0	2.5	74	0
7	Feb_4_2016	18.74	17.89	18.19	18.78	18.86	19.3	19.74(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	68	180	37	161	10.11	38%	0.05	8.1	2.53%	0	1.9	69	0
8	Feb_3_2016	18.73	17.85	17.87	18.38	18.38	18.57	19.09(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	70	14	110	10.08	35%	0.05	-0.6	2.5%	0	1.3	59	0
9	Feb_2_2016	18.72	17.82	17.62	18.19	18.15	18.42	18.24(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	100	10	82	5.76	30%	0	-4.4	2.43%	0	0.5	52	0
10	Feb_1_2016	18.72	17.84	17.42	18.11	18.04	18.18	18.68(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	40	24	55	5.83	30%	0	-8.1	2.41%	0	0.9	50	0

11	Jan_29_2016	18.72	17.84	17.24	17.78	17.8	17.89	18.12(1.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	11	40	15	-1	5.55	25%	0.05	-19.1	2.38%	0	0.3	39	0
12	Jan_28_2016	18.71	17.81	17.14	17.51	17.59	17.91	17.77(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	140	19	-51	4.85	25%	-0.05	-27.3	2.43%	0	-0	32	0
13	Jan_27_2016	18.72	17.85	17.13	17.28	17.29	17.72	18.15(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	180	29	-84	5.82	25%	0	-33.3	2.43%	0	0.3	39	0
14	Jan_26_2016	18.72	17.86	17.08	16.96	16.91	17.28	17.81(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	140	28	-122	8.59	25%	-0.05	-41.1	2.41%	0	-0.1	40	0
15	Jan_25_2016	18.73	17.92	17.11	16.96	16.64	16.85	17.05(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	90	8	-165	5.46	19%	-0.05	-43.9	2.35%	0	-0.9	33	0

16	Jan_22_2016	18.74	18	17.29	16.64	16.54	16.55	16.8(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10	-3	-160	7.87	19%	-0.11	-44.5	2.38%	0	-1.2	38	0
17	Jan_21_2016	18.76	18.08	17.56	16.71	16.72	16.42	16.57(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-120	-17	-146	3.88	19%	-0.11	-41.9	2.37%	0	-1.6	36	0
18	Jan_20_2016	18.78	18.18	17.81	16.95	16.95	16.54	16.55(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-170	-27	-127	6.1	24%	-0.11	-35.3	2.38%	0	-1.8	33	0
19	Jan_19_2016	18.8	18.27	18.05	17.22	17.3	17.01	16.22(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-100	-31	-104	11.78	22%	-0.16	-32.7	2.42%	0	-2.5	32	0
20	Jan_15_2016	18.83	18.36	18.32	17.64	17.61	17.37	17.04(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-100	-27	-75	5.98	24%	-0.11	-29	2.43%	0	-2.1	32	0

21	Jan_14_2016	18.85	18.45	18.46	18.04	17.94	17.6	17.18(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-150	-32	-53	6.86	32%	0	-10.2	2.43%	0	-2.3	40	0
22	Jan_13_2016	18.85	18.45	18.58	18.53	18.35	17.85	17.78(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-220	-25	-16	6.4	34%	0	13.5	2.59%	0	-1.5	47	0
23	Jan_12_2016	18.85	18.5	18.67	18.8	18.79	18.29	17.87(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-16	-190	-23	6	7.13	34%	-0.05	25.6	2.59%	0	-1.3	47	0
24	Jan_11_2016	18.86	18.5	18.74	19	19.09	18.86	18.35(-3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-70	-12	27	7.8	35%	-0.11	32.3	2.58%	0	-0.4	54	0
25	Jan_8_2016	18.88	18.54	18.81	19.08	19.13	19.29	19.04(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	70	7	56	10.45	42%		39	2.62%	0	1.1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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