Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Jun. 6, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $19.7433 (3.43%) ($19.6369 - $20.1800) on Thu. Feb. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $19.7433(3.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(29%)    SIL(28%)    VCIT(23%)    GLD(22%)    BND(21%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-35%)    TBT(-17%)    XLF(-5%)    SDY(-5%)    IVE(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.78(5.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.19(8.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.89(10.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 5.53% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.23%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.61%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2016	18.74	17.89	18.19	18.78	18.86	19.3	19.74(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	68	180	37	161	10.11	38%	0.05	8.1	2.53%	0	1.9	69	0
2	Feb_3_2016	18.73	17.85	17.87	18.38	18.38	18.57	19.09(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	70	14	110	10.08	35%	0.05	-0.6	2.5%	0	1.3	59	0
3	Feb_2_2016	18.72	17.82	17.62	18.19	18.15	18.42	18.24(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	100	10	82	5.76	30%	0	-4.4	2.43%	0	0.5	52	0
4	Feb_1_2016	18.72	17.84	17.42	18.11	18.04	18.18	18.68(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	40	24	55	5.83	30%	0	-8.1	2.41%	0	0.9	50	0
5	Jan_29_2016	18.72	17.84	17.24	17.78	17.8	17.89	18.12(1.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	11	40	15	-1	5.55	25%	0.05	-19.1	2.38%	0	0.3	39	0

6	Jan_28_2016	18.71	17.81	17.14	17.51	17.59	17.91	17.77(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	140	19	-51	4.85	25%	-0.05	-27.3	2.43%	0	-0	32	0
7	Jan_27_2016	18.72	17.85	17.13	17.28	17.29	17.72	18.15(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	180	29	-84	5.82	25%	0	-33.3	2.43%	0	0.3	39	0
8	Jan_26_2016	18.72	17.86	17.08	16.96	16.91	17.28	17.81(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	140	28	-122	8.59	25%	-0.05	-41.1	2.41%	0	-0.1	40	0
9	Jan_25_2016	18.73	17.92	17.11	16.96	16.64	16.85	17.05(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	90	8	-165	5.46	19%	-0.05	-43.9	2.35%	0	-0.9	33	0
10	Jan_22_2016	18.74	18	17.29	16.64	16.54	16.55	16.8(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10	-3	-160	7.87	19%	-0.11	-44.5	2.38%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Jan_21_2016	18.76	18.08	17.56	16.71	16.72	16.42	16.57(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-120	-17	-146	3.88	19%	-0.11	-41.9	2.37%	0	-1.6	36	0
12	Jan_20_2016	18.78	18.18	17.81	16.95	16.95	16.54	16.55(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-170	-27	-127	6.1	24%	-0.11	-35.3	2.38%	0	-1.8	33	0
13	Jan_19_2016	18.8	18.27	18.05	17.22	17.3	17.01	16.22(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-100	-31	-104	11.78	22%	-0.16	-32.7	2.42%	0	-2.5	32	0
14	Jan_15_2016	18.83	18.36	18.32	17.64	17.61	17.37	17.04(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-100	-27	-75	5.98	24%	-0.11	-29	2.43%	0	-2.1	32	0
15	Jan_14_2016	18.85	18.45	18.46	18.04	17.94	17.6	17.18(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-150	-32	-53	6.86	32%	0	-10.2	2.43%	0	-2.3	40	0

16	Jan_13_2016	18.85	18.45	18.58	18.53	18.35	17.85	17.78(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-220	-25	-16	6.4	34%	0	13.5	2.59%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	Jan_12_2016	18.85	18.5	18.67	18.8	18.79	18.29	17.87(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-16	-190	-23	6	7.13	34%	-0.05	25.6	2.59%	0	-1.3	47	0
18	Jan_11_2016	18.86	18.5	18.74	19	19.09	18.86	18.35(-3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-70	-12	27	7.8	35%	-0.11	32.3	2.58%	0	-0.4	54	0
19	Jan_8_2016	18.88	18.54	18.81	19.08	19.13	19.29	19.04(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	70	7	56	10.45	42%	-0.11	39	2.62%	0	1.1	66	0
20	Jan_7_2016	18.9	18.51	18.76	18.92	19.05	19.32	19.6(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	120	22	51	9.67	43%	-0.05	35.7	2.6%	0	2.4	57	0

21	Jan_6_2016	18.91	18.43	18.63	18.64	18.73	18.96	19.15(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	100	10	32	6.33	43%	0	21.8	2.59%	0	1.9	61	0
22	Jan_5_2016	18.91	18.43	18.55	18.54	18.51	18.79	18.83(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	100	10	32	2.62	43%	-0.11	22.2	2.6%	0	1.3	61	0
23	Jan_4_2016	18.93	18.39	18.48	18.46	18.46	18.49	18.79(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	10	4	21	7.44	43%	-0.05	35.6	2.61%	0	1.3	53	0
24	Dec_31_2015	18.94	18.36	18.38	18.51	18.41	18.22	18.23(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-90	-8	12	3.45	47%	-0.16	42.2	2.72%	0	-0.4	50	0
25	Dec_30_2015	18.97	18.34	18.43	18.57	18.58	18.43	18.19(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-50	-5	22	5.4	47%		43.5	2.73%	0	-0.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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