Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $38.6421 (-2.25%) ($38.6327 - $40.0124) on Tue. Jul. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $38.6421(-2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(42%)    SIL(41%)    GLD(32%)    TIP(22%)    LQD(21%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-34%)    XLF(-4%)    XLP(-1%)    SPY(-1%)    SMH(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.65(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.64(0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.67(5.38%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   24.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 7.55% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.14%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.08%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 9.37%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.6%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.69%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.94%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2014	35.85	36.67	38.64	38.65	38.62	38.9	38.64(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	50	16	74	8.09	65%	0.03	67.9	2.69%	0	0.7	64	INF
2	Jun_30_2014	35.84	36.32	38.4	38.4	38.34	38.45	39.53(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	20	3	73	9.3	65%	0.11	63.3	2.69%	0	1.1	69	INF
3	Jun_27_2014	35.8	35.91	38.08	38.35	38.35	38.33	37.92(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-0	-3	94	5.67	65%	0.11	61.1	2.64%	0	0.7	70	INF
4	Jun_26_2014	35.76	35.62	37.99	38.48	38.55	38.23	38.61(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-50	-12	122	2.73	60%	0.14	59.5	2.66%	0	1	72	INF
5	Jun_25_2014	35.71	35.25	37.83	38.82	38.75	38.37	38.53(2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-70	-9	163	7.97	60%	0.11	60.3	2.76%	0	1.1	73	INF

6	Jun_24_2014	35.67	34.88	37.5	38.64	39.12	38.86	37.42(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	52	-10	5	192	9.58	54%	0.14	56.7	2.74%	0	0.8	74	INF
7	Jun_23_2014	35.62	34.56	37.2	38.35	38.68	39.13	39.28(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	110	16	202	6.53	57%	0.17	51.8	2.81%	0	1.6	81	INF
8	Jun_20_2014	35.56	34.21	36.54	37.73	37.88	39.37	38.58(-4.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	290	33	203	12.37	57%	0.14	48.9	2.8%	0	1.5	80	INF
9	Jun_19_2014	35.51	33.91	35.96	37.4	37.25	38.23	40.29(7.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	94	170	54	214	13.96	56%	0.17	49.4	2.75%	0	2.4	83	INF
10	Jun_18_2014	35.45	33.51	35.13	36.75	36.52	36.39	37.63(4.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	-40	15	192	8.7	52%	0.14	50.2	2.69%	0	1.9	81	INF

11	Jun_17_2014	35.4	33.24	34.51	36.24	36.34	36.28	35.99(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-0	5	180	3.82	45%	0.11	48	2.64%	0	1.4	79	INF
12	Jun_16_2014	35.36	33.06	34.07	35.84	35.99	36.65	36.18(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	140	29	178	5.56	45%	0.06	44.1	2.7%	0	1.7	79	INF
13	Jun_13_2014	35.34	32.88	33.57	35.12	35.2	36.4	36.9(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	75	250	49	153	6.48	48%	0.08	36.2	2.69%	0	2.4	68	INF
14	Jun_12_2014	35.31	32.65	33.05	34.27	34.21	35.34	37.07(5.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	72	230	57	117	10	51%	0.09	26	2.73%	0	3.1	66	INF
15	Jun_11_2014	35.28	32.45	32.43	33.29	33.26	34	35.04(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	48	150	42	65	5.42	47%	-0.03	10.8	2.67%	0	2.5	60	INF

16	Jun_10_2014	35.29	32.32	32.01	32.55	32.61	33.08	34.03(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	110	28	21	6.74	44%	-0.03	-18.6	2.65%	0	2	58	INF
17	Jun_9_2014	35.3	32.27	31.7	32.05	32.1	32.51	32.55(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	90	18	-14	1.49	40%	-0.06	-46.7	2.6%	0	0.4	47	INF
18	Jun_6_2014	35.32	32.28	31.69	31.78	31.74	32.14	32.66(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	80	15	-28	3.78	40%	0.03	-64.5	2.61%	0	0.5	47	INF
19	Jun_5_2014	35.31	32.29	31.7	31.63	31.52	31.69	32.17(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	30	13	-34	4.08	40%	0	-70.2	2.62%	0	-0.1	43	INF
20	Jun_4_2014	35.31	32.34	31.75	31.44	31.38	31.69	31.36(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10	3	-51	1.53	40%	0	-80.3	2.61%	0	-1.2	30	INF

21	Jun_3_2014	35.31	32.48	31.87	31.36	31.3	31.34	31.5(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	0	2	-57	2.47	40%	-0.03	-79.2	2.61%	0	-1.1	38	INF
22	Jun_2_2014	35.32	32.64	31.99	31.28	31.2	31.42	31.21(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	40	-4	-66	4.47	40%	0.03	-72.1	2.61%	0	-1.5	34	INF
23	May_30_2014	35.31	32.79	32.16	31.57	31.22	31.26	31.91(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-20	-4	-56	4.61	40%	0.06	-68.9	2.62%	0	-0.9	43	INF
24	May_29_2014	35.29	32.86	32.25	31.79	31.56	30.98	31.24(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-150	-17	-54	4.53	40%	0.06	-65.1	2.63%	0	-1.7	34	INF
25	May_28_2014	35.27	33.01	32.48	32.12	32.05	31.18	30.96(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-200	-31	-46	7.59	40%		-61.2	2.64%	0	-2.3	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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