Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GDXJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: GDXJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF)
GDXJ latest price $38.5111 (-3.2%) ($38.0060 - $39.4746) on Wed. Feb. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $38.5111(-3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDXJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDXJ advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDXJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(43%)    SIL(42%)    GLD(33%)    SLV(22%)    TIP(22%)
Factors Impacting GDXJ price   GDXJ will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-33%)    XLF(-3%)    XLP(-1%)    SPY(-1%)    XLY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.95(-3.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.68(-2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.41(2.94%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   42.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDXJ price fluctuates within 7.78% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.59%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.83%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2014	33.74	37.41	39.68	39.95	40.02	39.5	38.51(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-90	-15	78	3.52	74%	0.33	58.1	3.45%	0	0.4	66	0
2	Feb_25_2014	33.63	37.15	39.76	39.82	40.15	40.59	39.78(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	100	0	105	3.14	74%	0.42	51.1	3.43%	0	0.9	67	0
3	Feb_24_2014	33.49	36.77	39.54	40	39.9	40.54	40.95(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	100	12	138	3.01	74%	0.54	48.5	3.42%	0	1.3	73	0
4	Feb_21_2014	33.31	36.41	39.05	40.05	39.87	39.72	40.14(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-40	6	153	2.82	74%	0.51	54.2	3.46%	0	1.2	72	0
5	Feb_20_2014	33.14	36.13	38.48	39.97	40.13	39.26	40.34(6.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	-140	-1	158	6.34	74%	0.55	60.9	3.49%	0	1.5	72	0

6	Feb_19_2014	32.96	35.79	37.84	39.39	39.96	40.03	37.9(-6.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	60	-15	140	6.04	72%	0.37	62.6	3.43%	0	0.8	62	0
7	Feb_18_2014	32.84	35.66	37.51	39.63	39.72	40.99	40.67(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	230	33	188	4.39	78%	0.64	73.3	3.23%	0	1.9	74	0
8	Feb_14_2014	32.63	35.31	36.75	38.98	39.13	39.9	41.2(3.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	83	150	49	185	6.54	78%	0.71	81	3.25%	0	2.4	78	0
9	Feb_13_2014	32.4	34.85	35.92	37.91	38.15	38.45	39.76(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	70	28	143	6.29	77%	0.65	87.7	3.27%	0	2.3	66	0
10	Feb_12_2014	32.19	34.44	35.24	36.78	37.26	38.37	37.42(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	250	30	107	4.29	75%	0.47	88	3.2%	0	1.6	58	0

11	Feb_11_2014	32.04	34.14	34.92	36.04	36.24	37.86	39.13(4.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	67	330	56	101	5.06	79%	0.63	82.3	3.11%	0	2.8	66	0
12	Feb_10_2014	31.84	33.78	34.28	35.07	35.17	36.15	37.38(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	51	200	50	55	4.4	78%	0.54	90.2	3.09%	0	2.6	54	0
13	Feb_7_2014	31.67	33.44	33.74	34.21	34.27	34.62	35.87(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	80	21	6	3.77	76%	0.41	79.4	3.09%	0	1.9	55	0
14	Feb_6_2014	31.54	33.11	33.51	33.66	33.87	34.2	34.12(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	90	11	-8	2.19	74%	0.29	54.8	3.04%	0	0.7	58	0
15	Feb_5_2014	31.45	32.89	33.55	33.46	33.67	33.92	33.71(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	70	6	-2	1.96	74%	0.22	48.6	3.09%	0	0.5	59	0

16	Feb_4_2014	31.38	32.74	33.56	33.61	33.42	33.53	34.24(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	10	6	15	2.74	74%	0.32	55.9	3.11%	0	0.9	62	0
17	Feb_3_2014	31.28	32.56	33.67	33.36	33.49	33.41	33.1(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	7	25	2.43	73%	0.22	57	3.13%	0	0.3	55	0
18	Jan_31_2014	31.21	32.44	33.78	33.17	33.29	33.31	33.1(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	20	-6	32	1.67	73%	0.22	59.9	3.18%	0	0.4	61	0
19	Jan_30_2014	31.14	32.32	33.72	33.33	33.2	33.57	33.16(-3.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	70	-3	56	2.7	73%	0.23	69.1	3.24%	0	0.5	66	0
20	Jan_29_2014	31.07	32.12	33.62	33.64	33.46	33.27	34.43(4.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-60	6	85	3.21	78%	0.45	79.4	3.17%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Jan_28_2014	30.93	31.81	33.34	33.54	33.74	32.82	33.02(2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-170	-27	78	1.96	76%	0.26	78.6	3.16%	0	0.6	61	0
22	Jan_27_2014	30.85	31.61	33.28	34.04	34.23	33.65	32.14(-5.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-100	-27	106	3.05	76%	0.19	0	3.2%	0	0.3	57	0
23	Jan_24_2014	30.79	31.42	33.17	34.46	34.64	34.66	33.92(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	20	6	146	2.88	85%	0.46	0	3.01%	0	1.2	64	0
24	Jan_23_2014	30.65	31.12	32.71	34.13	34.45	34.8	34.7(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	100	21	136	3.79	85%	0.66	0	2.99%	0	1.6	67	0
25	Jan_22_2014	30.45	30.74	32.21	33.57	33.77	34.62	33.91(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	190	26	123	3.35	85%		0	3.05%	0	1.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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