Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $25.0984 (1.14%) ($24.7964 - $25.3030) on Wed. Jun. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $25.0984(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    GDXJ(42%)    PCY(31%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(2%)    XHB(4%)    XLF(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.22(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.44(2.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.29(7.76%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 5.93% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.69%(38%) Average negative next day return: -4.17%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.67%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.88%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.85%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.12%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2014	23.92	23.29	24.44	25.22	25.22	25.15	25.1(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	61	-20	4	233	26.66	69%	0.08	58	1.67%	0	1.3	79	0
2	Jun_24_2014	23.9	23.11	24.22	25.02	25.21	25.34	24.82(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	78	60	21	247	47.79	61%	0.08	51.7	1.66%	0	1.3	80	0
3	Jun_23_2014	23.88	22.95	23.99	24.76	24.83	25.28	25.6(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	87	140	36	238	29.85	66%	0.13	44	1.72%	0	2	88	0
4	Jun_20_2014	23.85	22.79	23.63	24.31	24.31	25.08	25.16(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	220	44	213	39.26	64%	0.13	38.8	1.71%	0	2.1	88	0
5	Jun_19_2014	23.82	22.66	23.32	23.98	23.89	24.38	25.42(5.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	88	130	52	196	79.26	58%	0.08	34.6	1.7%	0	2.8	87	0

6	Jun_18_2014	23.8	22.51	22.97	23.58	23.48	23.55	24.12(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	10	21	164	37.02	51%	0.04	26.9	1.63%	0	2.1	84	0
7	Jun_17_2014	23.79	22.44	22.72	23.32	23.32	23.39	23.5(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	20	14	147	18.76	42%	0.04	17.7	1.6%	0	1.6	83	0
8	Jun_16_2014	23.78	22.39	22.55	23.1	23.16	23.42	23.36(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	90	26	131	26.46	42%	0	5.4	1.65%	0	1.6	71	0
9	Jun_13_2014	23.78	22.36	22.38	22.82	22.85	23.25	23.49(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	130	31	94	27.98	46%	0.04	-9.8	1.65%	0	1.9	56	0
10	Jun_12_2014	23.77	22.32	22.22	22.54	22.53	22.9	23.41(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	110	32	55	36.11	51%	0.04	-26	1.69%	0	2	54	0

11	Jun_11_2014	23.76	22.31	22.03	22.27	22.24	22.46	22.81(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	70	24	11	26.21	47%	0	-38.5	1.7%	0	0.9	46	0
12	Jun_10_2014	23.76	22.32	21.9	22.05	22.08	22.15	22.44(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	30	13	-32	23.57	47%	-0.08	-52.2	1.68%	0	0.2	42	0
13	Jun_9_2014	23.78	22.36	21.83	21.92	21.95	22.02	21.97(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	30	5	-63	9.41	44%	-0.04	-58.2	1.66%	0	-0.6	34	0
14	Jun_6_2014	23.79	22.42	21.89	21.87	21.87	22	22.06(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	40	6	-69	16.15	41%	0	-63.9	1.68%	0	-0.6	35	0
15	Jun_5_2014	23.79	22.47	21.95	21.84	21.8	21.89	22.07(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	20	10	-74	23.39	41%	0.04	-65	1.69%	0	-0.6	32	0

16	Jun_4_2014	23.78	22.52	22.02	21.76	21.73	21.73	21.71(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	-0	3	-93	16.69	41%	0	-70.1	1.69%	0	-1.3	20	0
17	Jun_3_2014	23.78	22.62	22.13	21.76	21.68	21.73	21.8(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	10	0	-104	17.8	41%	0	-71.8	1.69%	0	-1.3	28	0
18	Jun_2_2014	23.78	22.72	22.23	21.72	21.66	21.72	21.72(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	10	-10	-115	21.54	41%	0	-68.6	1.7%	0	-1.5	25	0
19	May_30_2014	23.78	22.82	22.34	21.92	21.75	21.64	21.92(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-60	-13	-105	28.69	41%	0.04	-62.8	1.71%	0	-1.4	31	0
20	May_29_2014	23.77	22.89	22.45	22.1	22.02	21.59	21.67(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-150	-26	-99	20.73	41%	0.04	-61.3	1.72%	0	-2	26	0

21	May_28_2014	23.76	22.98	22.62	22.33	22.36	21.87	21.47(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-47	-150	-35	-82	38.71	41%	0	-58.2	1.72%	0	-2.7	20	0
22	May_27_2014	23.76	23.1	22.8	22.59	22.64	22.45	21.83(-3.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-35	-50	-25	-64	42.77	41%	0.13	-52.1	1.71%	0	-2.9	19	0
23	May_23_2014	23.73	23.18	22.95	22.79	22.8	22.85	22.71(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-13	20	-1	-47	8.17	46%	0.04	-45	1.62%	0	-1.3	24	0
24	May_22_2014	23.72	23.24	22.99	22.81	22.83	22.83	22.79(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	0	-0	-54	10.74	46%	-0.04	-34.5	1.64%	0	-1.4	28	0
25	May_21_2014	23.73	23.27	23.03	22.86	22.81	22.76	22.85(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-20	-9	-55	11.67	46%		-29.6	1.65%	0	-1.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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