Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jul. 5, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)
GDX latest price $23.6856 (1.33%) ($23.3056 - $23.8220) on Tue. Apr. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $23.6856(1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GDX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GDX declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    GDXJ(42%)    PCY(30%)
Factors Impacting GDX price   GDX will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(2%)    XHB(4%)    XLF(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.57(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.36(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.55(0.58%)
To recent high   -12.3%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GDX price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2014	23.55	23.55	23.36	23.57	23.52	23.52	23.69(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10	3	-22	25.45	58%	0	17.5	2.05%	0	0.4	43	0
2	Apr_28_2014	23.55	23.55	23.37	23.47	23.51	23.58	23.37(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	30	7	-24	28.57	60%	0	2.3	2.07%	0	-0.4	48	0
3	Apr_25_2014	23.55	23.52	23.37	23.38	23.38	23.53	23.83(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	40	12	-29	32.62	57%	0	-20	2.1%	0	0.8	52	0
4	Apr_24_2014	23.55	23.49	23.39	23.2	23.19	23.44	23.32(-1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	70	7	-39	29.25	55%	0	-50	2.1%	0	-0.4	50	0
5	Apr_23_2014	23.55	23.49	23.49	23.18	23.11	23.24	23.65(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	30	10	-32	44.93	57%	0	-69.3	2.09%	0	0.4	49	0

6	Apr_22_2014	23.55	23.48	23.54	23.13	23.07	22.94	23.18(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-50	-8	-31	21.9	55%	0	-90.7	2.1%	0	-0.7	53	0
7	Apr_21_2014	23.55	23.51	23.59	23.27	23.13	22.99	22.91(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-60	-14	-17	33.22	55%	-0.04	-107.1	2.12%	0	-1.4	52	0
8	Apr_17_2014	23.56	23.6	23.68	23.41	23.4	23.19	22.96(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-60	-12	-5	19.33	57%	-0.04	-94.8	2.13%	0	-1.2	46	0
9	Apr_16_2014	23.57	23.69	23.74	23.6	23.57	23.27	23.19(-0.92%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-14	-90	-21	7	24.01	57%	0	-99.2	2.16%	0	-0.9	52	0
10	Apr_15_2014	23.57	23.77	23.79	23.85	23.82	23.6	23.4(-2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-70	-17	34	40.83	57%	-0.04	-81.3	2.16%	0	-0.5	58	0

11	Apr_14_2014	23.58	23.88	23.77	24.02	24.07	23.88	23.89(1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-50	-2	44	26.72	55%	0.04	-61.6	2.15%	0	0	50	0
12	Apr_11_2014	23.57	23.98	23.69	23.97	24.11	24.04	23.6(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-0	-5	32	25.66	57%	0	-47.9	2.18%	0	-0.4	49	0
13	Apr_10_2014	23.57	24.14	23.68	23.98	24.07	24.25	23.94(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	60	7	23	33.82	59%	0	-36.8	2.19%	0	-0.2	41	0
14	Apr_9_2014	23.57	24.27	23.61	23.88	23.95	24.17	24.43(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	70	15	4	28.07	59%	0.08	-34.7	2.21%	0	0.1	44	0
15	Apr_8_2014	23.55	24.35	23.45	23.73	23.74	23.88	24.24(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	40	14	-26	35.48	59%	0	-36.3	2.22%	0	-0.1	43	0

16	Apr_7_2014	23.55	24.41	23.45	23.5	23.62	23.73	23.64(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	50	10	-62	26.02	57%	0.04	-41.1	2.21%	0	-0.6	30	0
17	Apr_4_2014	23.54	24.49	23.4	23.37	23.48	23.6	23.64(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	50	5	-98	30.18	57%	0	-45.2	2.19%	0	-0.7	28	0
18	Apr_3_2014	23.54	24.59	23.5	23.34	23.33	23.52	23.45(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	60	6	-121	29.48	57%	0	-44.7	2.21%	0	-0.9	22	0
19	Apr_2_2014	23.54	24.72	23.63	23.29	23.3	23.36	23.7(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	20	13	-143	50.75	59%	0	-43.9	2.21%	0	-0.8	24	0
20	Apr_1_2014	23.54	24.83	23.73	23.13	23.14	23.14	23.08(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	0	-9	-173	19.1	58%	-0.04	-46.9	2.25%	0	-1.4	27	0

21	Mar_31_2014	23.55	24.95	23.98	23.29	23.22	23.24	23(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-0	-6	-162	45.69	59%	-0.04	-47.2	2.27%	0	-1.6	35	0
22	Mar_28_2014	23.56	25.09	24.29	23.43	23.4	23.15	23.48(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-80	-14	-151	46.14	57%	0	-49.6	2.28%	0	-1.4	39	0
23	Mar_27_2014	23.56	25.19	24.62	23.7	23.6	23.2	23.21(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-130	-28	-129	38.46	57%	0	-48.5	2.29%	0	-1.9	35	0
24	Mar_26_2014	23.56	25.3	24.99	24.02	24.1	23.66	22.89(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-46	-120	-26	-104	60.26	57%	-0.04	-48.3	2.29%	0	-2.5	29	0
25	Mar_25_2014	23.57	25.44	25.34	24.4	24.44	24	23.85(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-120	-30	-84	40.29	60%		-43.9	2.22%	0	-2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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