Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GBTC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Jan. 21, 2018

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $19.4289 (-4.79%) ($18.9162 - $20.9341) on Sun. Jan. 21, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.21% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $19.4289(-4.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC declines -8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -5.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.105% (StdDev 10.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $0.55(-97.17%)
Resistance Level   $22.26
5 Day Moving Average   $19.71(-1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.12(-8.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.26(-12.72%)
To recent high   -48.9%
To recent low   174.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 10.83% (three month std-dev: 10.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.64%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.54%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.96%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2018	13.32	22.26	21.12	19.71	19.05	20.07	19.43(-4.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	270	8	-47	6.75	69%	0.76	-98.1	10.21%	0	-1.2	49	1
2	Jan_18_2018	13.22	22.91	21.6	19.58	19.23	18.63	20.41(13.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-270	1	-50	8.6	69%	0.84	-86.6	10.17%	0	-1	46	0
3	Jan_17_2018	13.11	23.72	22.02	19.8	19.15	18.03	17.98(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-510	-24	-60	15.65	68%	0.69	-53	10.07%	0	-2.3	36	0
4	Jan_16_2018	13.02	24.31	22.73	20.96	20.46	19.83	19.08(-11.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-290	-15	-35	10.06	68%	1.32	-16.4	10.02%	0	-1.6	49	0
5	Jan_12_2018	12.85	24.69	22.73	21.99	21.59	20.27	21.65(15.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-480	-14	-15	8.53	71%	1.1	1.2	9.81%	0	-0.7	59	0

6	Jan_11_2018	12.71	24.9	23.09	22.79	22.37	21.09	18.77(-12.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-460	-24	-19	12.25	69%	0.95	14.9	9.7%	0	-1.4	42	0
7	Jan_10_2018	12.59	25.19	23.62	23.88	24	22.91	21.55(-9.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-300	-11	-21	9.75	72%	1.12	32.1	9.58%	0	-0.9	38	0
8	Jan_9_2018	12.45	25.14	24.06	24.53	24.43	23.65	23.74(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-240	-11	-39	4.77	72%	1.38	38.4	9.5%	0	-0.3	36	0
9	Jan_8_2018	12.28	24.86	23.9	24.75	24.98	25.08	24.23(-5.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	60	3	-47	7.96	72%	1.49	38.5	9.49%	0	-0.1	48	0
10	Jan_5_2018	12.1	24.63	23.47	24.34	24.81	25.2	25.69(6.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	170	13	-64	7.36	72%	1.51	36.6	9.44%	0	0.2	54	0

11	Jan_4_2018	11.92	24.25	23.46	23.46	23.82	24.88	24.22(-2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	360	6	-78	4.9	72%	1.45	31.3	9.43%	0	-0	53	0
12	Jan_3_2018	11.75	23.9	24.25	23.34	23.19	24.41	24.78(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	350	7	-60	7.65	72%	1.56	30.5	9.42%	0	0.2	56	0
13	Jan_2_2018	11.57	23.64	25.44	23.57	23.01	22.77	24.85(12.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-140	8	-19	10.68	72%	2.03	35.7	9.44%	0	0.2	62	0
14	Dec_29_2017	11.34	23.29	25.89	22.97	23.63	21.97	22.15(4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-410	2	-3	6.35	71%	1.52	37.8	9.36%	0	-0.2	63	0
15	Dec_28_2017	11.17	23.02	26.33	22.44	22.52	23.25	21.29(-9.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	240	-20	-3	9.55	71%	1.45	38.9	9.37%	0	-0.3	59	0

16	Dec_27_2017	11.01	22.81	26.84	23.42	22.6	25.29	23.63(-8.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	730	-0	38	11.76	73%	1.66	49.8	9.27%	0	0.1	63	0
17	Dec_26_2017	10.83	22.43	26.93	25.33	23.55	21.78	25.93(18.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-740	-16	84	16.71	73%	1.98	65.8	9.18%	0	0.6	67	0
18	Dec_22_2017	10.62	21.85	26.35	27.76	25.66	19.91	21.87(12.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-1800	-57	125	30.29	72%	1.14	82.6	8.89%	0	0	59	0
19	Dec_21_2017	10.5	21.37	26.03	29.31	29.92	25.32	19.47(-25.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-1010	-50	172	25.72	68%	0.86	94.7	8.8%	0	-0.3	59	0
20	Dec_20_2017	10.41	20.98	26.13	30.64	31.62	31.41	26.19(-21.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	52	50	-16	255	24.26	75%	1.66	102	8.17%	0	0.7	69	0

21	Dec_19_2017	10.24	20.2	25.34	30.53	30.93	34.51	33.2(-12.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	113	850	43	321	23.31	82%	2.4	102.9	7.63%	0	1.8	75	0
22	Dec_18_2017	10	19.02	23.64	28.64	28.82	31.84	38.05(28.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	144	750	84	322	20.85	87%	3.09	99.9	7.45%	0	2.8	82	0
23	Dec_15_2017	9.7	17.52	21.61	24.89	25.55	27.35	29.66(13.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	105	570	53	262	13.4	87%	2.32	95.6	7%	0	2.2	80	0
24	Dec_14_2017	9.48	16.48	20.32	22.41	23.06	25.79	26.1(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	920	41	219	9.78	83%	1.94	85.9	7.26%	0	1.9	83	0
25	Dec_13_2017	9.3	15.61	19.27	20.99	21.01	23.75	25.66(8.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	95	920	53	220	24	77%		80.3	7.39%	0	2.1	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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