Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Nov. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $9.4550 (0.28%) ($9.4395 - $9.8154) on Sat. Nov. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.82% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $9.4550(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -3.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -3.41% (StdDev 6.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $9.05(4.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9.27(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8.71(8.55%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   74.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 11.83% (three month std-dev: 6.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 6.02%(50%) Average negative next day return: -10.6%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 9.88%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -8.61%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 46.77%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.46%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2017	7.67	8.71	9.27	9.05	9.16	9.48	9.46(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	280	4	4	5.34	64%	0.26	49.7	6.82%	0	0.7	71	0
2	Nov_16_2017	7.65	8.61	9.31	9	9.05	9.21	9.43(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	140	1	24	5.22	64%	0.39	48.6	6.82%	0	0.8	74	0
3	Nov_15_2017	7.62	8.49	9.33	9.05	9.02	8.85	9.08(8.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-140	-4	47	6.19	64%	0.26	49.6	6.85%	0	0.5	70	0
4	Nov_14_2017	7.6	8.39	9.31	9.16	9.15	8.88	8.35(-6.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-210	-10	70	7.29	67%	0.13	53.9	6.85%	0	-0	68	0
5	Nov_13_2017	7.59	8.33	9.36	9.36	9.42	9.19	8.95(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-150	-6	97	6.65	67%	0.26	58.6	7.2%	0	0.5	74	0

6	Nov_10_2017	7.57	8.23	9.25	9.5	9.49	9.43	9.19(-4.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-50	-6	113	8.1	68%	0.26	60.8	7.28%	0	0.8	75	0
7	Nov_9_2017	7.55	8.12	9.06	9.5	9.62	9.66	9.67(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	20	0	129	3.38	68%	0.53	65.8	7.29%	0	1.3	77	0
8	Nov_8_2017	7.51	7.99	8.83	9.65	9.74	9.56	9.62(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	38	-100	4	141	11.04	68%	0.4	67.1	7.3%	0	1.4	79	0
9	Nov_7_2017	7.48	7.83	8.58	9.5	9.72	9.59	9.39(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-20	2	138	5.24	70%	0.4	63.9	7.31%	0	1.5	79	0
10	Nov_6_2017	7.45	7.7	8.36	9.35	9.66	9.91	9.65(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	280	14	138	9.55	70%	0.4	62.8	7.45%	0	1.9	81	0

11	Nov_3_2017	7.42	7.58	8.11	8.94	9.25	9.86	9.92(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	49	570	24	124	8.8	70%	0.54	55.2	7.43%	0	2.6	86	0
12	Nov_2_2017	7.38	7.43	7.83	8.38	8.61	9.41	9.68(9.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	41	730	24	93	10.4	70%	0.54	44.7	7.46%	0	3.1	79	0
13	Nov_1_2017	7.34	7.29	7.56	7.9	7.99	8.64	8.85(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	600	20	63	13.98	69%	0.27	34.4	7.4%	0	3	75	0
14	Oct_31_2017	7.32	7.2	7.36	7.54	7.52	7.82	8.65(14.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.9	23	270	16	44	12.41	69%	0.27	13.4	7.4%	0	3.8	79	0
15	Oct_30_2017	7.3	7.12	7.18	7.23	7.25	7.33	7.58(6.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	90	4	21	6.14	67%	0.14	-18.3	7.23%	0	2.2	59	0

16	Oct_27_2017	7.29	7.11	7.18	7.16	7.16	7.23	7.12(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	70	-1	10	4.17	67%	0.41	-27.3	7.2%	0	0.1	48	0
17	Oct_26_2017	7.26	7.11	7.1	7.2	7.17	7.18	7.31(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-0	3	13	5.06	67%	0.41	-10.5	7.19%	0	0.9	52	0
18	Oct_25_2017	7.23	7.12	7.08	7.15	7.17	7.1	7.07(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-50	0	7	2.44	67%	0.42	-3.3	7.19%	0	-0.2	47	0
19	Oct_24_2017	7.2	7.15	7.03	7.13	7.15	7.17	7.1(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	30	1	-1	1.75	67%	0.42	-0.3	7.21%	0	-0.2	50	0
20	Oct_23_2017	7.17	7.15	7.03	7.11	7.09	7.21	7.18(-2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	110	4	-2	3.47	67%	0.42	-4.5	7.22%	0	0.1	51	0

21	Oct_20_2017	7.14	7.16	7.02	7.04	7.01	7.14	7.34(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	0	120	3	-9	5.81	67%	0.42	-23	7.21%	0	0.7	48	0
22	Oct_19_2017	7.11	7.14	7	6.99	6.95	6.98	7.06(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	10	0	-15	2.67	67%	0.57	-22	7.27%	0	-0.3	45	0
23	Oct_18_2017	7.07	7.13	7.02	7	6.99	6.88	6.96(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-110	3	-16	3.03	67%	0	3.6	7.31%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	Oct_17_2017	7.07	7.15	7.04	6.91	7.03	6.93	7.02(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-50	-1	-28	5.97	67%	-0.14	20.6	7.37%	0	-0.5	37	0
25	Oct_16_2017	7.08	7.17	7.05	6.9	6.98	7.1	6.85(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	160	-4	-31	3.67	67%		20.5	7.46%	0	-1.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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