Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GBTC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Nov. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $9.9197 (2.48%) ($9.8153 - $10.2851) on Sun. Nov. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.43% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $9.9197(2.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC advances 6.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC advances 14.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -3.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -3.715% (StdDev 7.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $8.94(10.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8.11(22.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7.58(30.87%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   83.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 12.01% (three month std-dev: 7.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 3.64%(29%) Average negative next day return: -4.82%(71%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 4.58%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -6.34%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 7.44%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.13%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2017	7.42	7.58	8.11	8.94	9.25	9.86	9.92(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	49	570	24	124	8.8	70%	0.54	55.2	7.43%	0	2.6	86	0
2	Nov_2_2017	7.38	7.43	7.83	8.38	8.61	9.41	9.68(9.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	41	730	24	93	10.4	70%	0.54	44.7	7.46%	0	3.1	79	0
3	Nov_1_2017	7.34	7.29	7.56	7.9	7.99	8.64	8.85(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	600	20	63	13.98	69%	0.27	34.4	7.4%	0	3	75	0
4	Oct_31_2017	7.32	7.2	7.36	7.54	7.52	7.82	8.65(14.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.9	23	270	16	44	12.41	69%	0.27	13.4	7.4%	0	3.8	79	0
5	Oct_30_2017	7.3	7.12	7.18	7.23	7.25	7.33	7.58(6.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	90	4	21	6.14	67%	0.14	-18.3	7.23%	0	2.2	59	0

6	Oct_27_2017	7.29	7.11	7.18	7.16	7.16	7.23	7.12(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	70	-1	10	4.17	67%	0.41	-27.3	7.2%	0	0.1	48	0
7	Oct_26_2017	7.26	7.11	7.1	7.2	7.17	7.18	7.31(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-0	3	13	5.06	67%	0.41	-10.5	7.19%	0	0.9	52	0
8	Oct_25_2017	7.23	7.12	7.08	7.15	7.17	7.1	7.07(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-50	0	7	2.44	67%	0.42	-3.3	7.19%	0	-0.2	47	0
9	Oct_24_2017	7.2	7.15	7.03	7.13	7.15	7.17	7.1(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	30	1	-1	1.75	67%	0.42	-0.3	7.21%	0	-0.2	50	0
10	Oct_23_2017	7.17	7.15	7.03	7.11	7.09	7.21	7.18(-2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	110	4	-2	3.47	67%	0.42	-4.5	7.22%	0	0.1	51	0

11	Oct_20_2017	7.14	7.16	7.02	7.04	7.01	7.14	7.34(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	0	120	3	-9	5.81	67%	0.42	-23	7.21%	0	0.7	48	0
12	Oct_19_2017	7.11	7.14	7	6.99	6.95	6.98	7.06(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	10	0	-15	2.67	67%	0.57	-22	7.27%	0	-0.3	45	0
13	Oct_18_2017	7.07	7.13	7.02	7	6.99	6.88	6.96(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-110	3	-16	3.03	67%	0	3.6	7.31%	0	-0.7	41	0
14	Oct_17_2017	7.07	7.15	7.04	6.91	7.03	6.93	7.02(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-50	-1	-28	5.97	67%	-0.14	20.6	7.37%	0	-0.5	37	0
15	Oct_16_2017	7.08	7.17	7.05	6.9	6.98	7.1	6.85(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	160	-4	-31	3.67	67%	0	20.5	7.46%	0	-1.1	46	0

16	Oct_13_2017	7.08	7.21	7.11	6.99	7.02	7.13	7.07(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	120	1	-22	6.34	67%	0	36.5	7.47%	0	-0.5	49	0
17	Oct_12_2017	7.08	7.19	7.13	7.01	7.03	6.86	7.09(8.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-160	-2	-18	7.11	67%	0	15.2	7.48%	0	-0.2	55	0
18	Oct_11_2017	7.08	7.12	7.17	7.05	7.08	6.91	6.53(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-160	-7	-12	8.34	65%	-0.14	-7.5	7.45%	0	-1.1	48	0
19	Oct_10_2017	7.09	7.1	7.29	7.18	7.08	7.19	6.99(-4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-20	-2	0	5.07	65%	0	-23.8	7.4%	0	-0.2	44	0
20	Oct_9_2017	7.09	7.11	7.32	7.21	7.23	7.25	7.29(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	30	-1	2	6.07	65%	0	-29.1	7.38%	0	0.3	49	0

21	Oct_6_2017	7.09	7.1	7.31	7.24	7.22	7.27	7.18(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	40	-1	-2	1.87	65%	0	-37.1	7.39%	0	0.1	40	0
22	Oct_5_2017	7.09	7.12	7.29	7.27	7.28	7.21	7.27(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-60	-1	3	1.87	65%	0.14	-53.3	7.39%	0	0.2	62	0
23	Oct_4_2017	7.08	7.16	7.25	7.31	7.31	7.17	7.15(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-130	-6	19	1.78	65%	0	-54.5	7.39%	0	-0	73	0
24	Oct_3_2017	7.08	7.23	7.28	7.42	7.43	7.35	7.16(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-70	-2	44	2.88	65%	0	-49.7	7.45%	0	-0.1	65	0
25	Oct_2_2017	7.08	7.27	7.3	7.43	7.54	7.46	7.42(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-30	1	49	3.6	65%		-47.9	7.43%	0	0.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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