Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GBTC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $6.9559 (-0.85%) ($6.6932 - $7.0983) on Wed. Oct. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.31% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $6.9559(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(11%)    EWJ(9%)    BOTZ(8%)    EWP(8%)    IBUY(8%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -3.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-7%)    BWX(-4%)    VIXM(-2%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -3.655% (StdDev 7.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

Resistance Level   $7.13
5 Day Moving Average   $7(-0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7.02(-0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7.13(-2.44%)
To recent high   -33.7%
To recent low   28.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 3.65% (three month std-dev: 7.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2017	7.07	7.13	7.02	7	6.99	6.88	6.96(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-110	3	-16	3.03	67%	0	3.6	7.31%	0	-0.7	41	0
2	Oct_17_2017	7.07	7.15	7.04	6.91	7.03	6.93	7.02(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-50	-1	-28	5.97	67%	-0.14	20.6	7.37%	0	-0.5	37	0
3	Oct_16_2017	7.08	7.17	7.05	6.9	6.98	7.1	6.85(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	160	-4	-31	3.67	67%	0	20.5	7.46%	0	-1.1	46	0
4	Oct_13_2017	7.08	7.21	7.11	6.99	7.02	7.13	7.07(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	120	1	-22	6.34	67%	0	36.5	7.47%	0	-0.5	49	0
5	Oct_12_2017	7.08	7.19	7.13	7.01	7.03	6.86	7.09(8.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-160	-2	-18	7.11	67%	0	15.2	7.48%	0	-0.2	55	0

6	Oct_11_2017	7.08	7.12	7.17	7.05	7.08	6.91	6.53(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-160	-7	-12	8.34	65%	-0.14	-7.5	7.45%	0	-1.1	48	0
7	Oct_10_2017	7.09	7.1	7.29	7.18	7.08	7.19	6.99(-4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-20	-2	0	5.07	65%	0	-23.8	7.4%	0	-0.2	44	0
8	Oct_9_2017	7.09	7.11	7.32	7.21	7.23	7.25	7.29(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	30	-1	2	6.07	65%	0	-29.1	7.38%	0	0.3	49	0
9	Oct_6_2017	7.09	7.1	7.31	7.24	7.22	7.27	7.18(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	40	-1	-2	1.87	65%	0	-37.1	7.39%	0	0.1	40	0
10	Oct_5_2017	7.09	7.12	7.29	7.27	7.28	7.21	7.27(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-60	-1	3	1.87	65%	0.14	-53.3	7.39%	0	0.2	62	0

11	Oct_4_2017	7.08	7.16	7.25	7.31	7.31	7.17	7.15(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-130	-6	19	1.78	65%	0	-54.5	7.39%	0	-0	73	0
12	Oct_3_2017	7.08	7.23	7.28	7.42	7.43	7.35	7.16(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-70	-2	44	2.88	65%	0	-49.7	7.45%	0	-0.1	65	0
13	Oct_2_2017	7.08	7.27	7.3	7.43	7.54	7.46	7.42(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-30	1	49	3.6	65%	0.14	-47.9	7.43%	0	0.2	54	0
14	Sep_29_2017	7.07	7.31	7.33	7.39	7.51	7.51	7.33(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	50	2	53	3.07	65%	0	-45.4	7.44%	0	0	54	0
15	Sep_28_2017	7.07	7.45	7.26	7.31	7.48	7.62	7.47(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	200	7	41	3.15	65%	0.14	-25.1	7.45%	0	0	52	0

16	Sep_27_2017	7.06	7.55	7.07	7.18	7.26	7.5	7.72(6.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	260	4	3	5.42	65%	0.28	-18.2	7.44%	0	0.2	48	0
17	Sep_26_2017	7.04	7.59	7.07	7.12	7.12	7.35	7.23(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	230	1	-30	2.65	65%	0	-15	7.41%	0	-0.3	43	0
18	Sep_25_2017	7.04	7.63	6.89	7.15	7.15	7.01	7.21(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-140	-3	-39	5.23	65%	0.14	-11.9	7.55%	0	-0.4	47	0
19	Sep_22_2017	7.03	7.67	6.88	7.26	7.18	6.89	6.92(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-320	-1	-43	4.22	65%	-0.14	-7.3	7.54%	0	-0.7	44	0
20	Sep_21_2017	7.04	7.72	6.93	7.19	7.41	7.28	6.84(-7.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-30	10	-69	6.35	65%	0	-8.9	7.56%	0	-0.8	36	0

21	Sep_20_2017	7.04	7.76	7.06	6.91	7.14	7.48	7.41(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	430	14	-94	3.58	68%	0.14	-16.1	7.52%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Sep_19_2017	7.03	7.76	7.16	6.61	6.61	7.54	7.36(-5.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-23	980	7	-111	6.6	68%	0.14	-22.2	7.58%	0	-0.4	47	0
23	Sep_18_2017	7.02	7.77	7.23	6.59	6.33	6.81	7.78(18.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	410	13	-111	11.28	68%	0.29	-24.2	7.56%	0	0	52	0
24	Sep_15_2017	7	7.75	7.27	6.47	6.26	5.68	6.58(21.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-750	-10	-128	15.45	64%	-0.14	-23.7	7.26%	0	-1	47	0
25	Sep_14_2017	7.01	7.82	7.64	6.66	6.59	5.85	5.41(-8.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-820	-33	-112	13.41	58%		-12.7	6.87%	0	-2.2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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