Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $7.4711 (-3.25%) ($7.4136 - $7.7478) on Thu. Sep. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.45% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $7.4711(-3.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(11%)    EWJ(9%)    XRT(9%)    BOTZ(8%)    EWP(8%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -3.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-7%)    BWX(-4%)    VIXM(-2%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -3.725% (StdDev 7.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $7.31(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7.26(2.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7.45(0.28%)
To recent high   -28.8%
To recent low   38%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 13.69% (three month std-dev: 7.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2017	7.07	7.45	7.26	7.31	7.48	7.62	7.47(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	200	7	41	3.15	65%	0.14	-25.1	7.45%	0	0	52	0
2	Sep_27_2017	7.06	7.55	7.07	7.18	7.26	7.5	7.72(6.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	260	4	3	5.42	65%	0.28	-18.2	7.44%	0	0.2	48	0
3	Sep_26_2017	7.04	7.59	7.07	7.12	7.12	7.35	7.23(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	230	1	-30	2.65	65%	0	-15	7.41%	0	-0.3	43	0
4	Sep_25_2017	7.04	7.63	6.89	7.15	7.15	7.01	7.21(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-140	-3	-39	5.23	65%	0.14	-11.9	7.55%	0	-0.4	47	0
5	Sep_22_2017	7.03	7.67	6.88	7.26	7.18	6.89	6.92(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-320	-1	-43	4.22	65%	-0.14	-7.3	7.54%	0	-0.7	44	0

6	Sep_21_2017	7.04	7.72	6.93	7.19	7.41	7.28	6.84(-7.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-30	10	-69	6.35	65%	0	-8.9	7.56%	0	-0.8	36	0
7	Sep_20_2017	7.04	7.76	7.06	6.91	7.14	7.48	7.41(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	430	14	-94	3.58	68%	0.14	-16.1	7.52%	0	-0.3	42	0
8	Sep_19_2017	7.03	7.76	7.16	6.61	6.61	7.54	7.36(-5.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-23	980	7	-111	6.6	68%	0.14	-22.2	7.58%	0	-0.4	47	0
9	Sep_18_2017	7.02	7.77	7.23	6.59	6.33	6.81	7.78(18.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	410	13	-111	11.28	68%	0.29	-24.2	7.56%	0	0	52	0
10	Sep_15_2017	7	7.75	7.27	6.47	6.26	5.68	6.58(21.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-750	-10	-128	15.45	64%	-0.14	-23.7	7.26%	0	-1	47	0

11	Sep_14_2017	7.01	7.82	7.64	6.66	6.59	5.85	5.41(-8.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-820	-33	-112	13.41	58%	-0.71	-12.7	6.87%	0	-2.2	39	0
12	Sep_13_2017	7.06	7.95	8.07	7.23	7.21	6.85	5.91(-18.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-360	-26	-59	16.19	62%	-0.42	12.7	6.96%	0	-2.2	44	0
13	Sep_12_2017	7.09	8.03	8.37	7.78	7.79	7.33	7.26(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-410	-10	-12	6.15	73%	0	43.4	6.53%	0	-0.9	53	0
14	Sep_11_2017	7.09	8.05	8.46	7.94	8.12	7.57	7.2(-4.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-10	-410	-14	3	7.19	73%	0	63.6	6.83%	0	-1	55	0
15	Sep_8_2017	7.09	8.03	8.55	8.17	8.2	8.25	7.51(-8.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-14	50	-25	18	8.42	73%	0.28	78.1	6.86%	0	-0.6	56	0

16	Sep_7_2017	7.07	7.96	8.61	8.77	8.59	8.67	8.25(-4.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	0	-8	64	7.07	80%	0.57	95	6.84%	0	0.3	57	0
17	Sep_6_2017	7.03	7.83	8.56	8.77	9.05	8.16	8.67(7.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-690	-3	87	5.94	80%	0.86	98.5	6.82%	0	0.8	61	0
18	Sep_5_2017	6.97	7.68	8.45	9.06	9.19	8.51	8.09(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-470	-11	92	14.2	78%	0.58	98.9	6.8%	0	0.3	63	0
19	Sep_1_2017	6.93	7.56	8.38	9.05	9.4	9.94	8.35(-20.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	28	520	5	96	27.11	78%	0.73	94.3	6.75%	0	0.6	58	0
20	Aug_31_2017	6.88	7.4	8.29	8.95	9.05	9.88	10.49(8.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	54	680	31	122	15.91	100%	2.23	90.5	6.23%	0	2.2	82	0

21	Aug_30_2017	6.73	7.12	8	8.42	8.42	8.85	9.68(11.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	44	360	23	105	10.07	100%	1.82	87.2	6.34%	0	1.9	83	0
22	Aug_29_2017	6.61	6.86	7.78	8.01	8.06	8.23	8.7(8.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	170	13	104	8.43	100%	1.38	82.2	6.24%	0	1.4	83	0
23	Aug_28_2017	6.52	6.65	7.62	7.77	7.85	7.98	8(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	150	7	109	3.45	100%	1.09	77.1	6.22%	0	1	79	0
24	Aug_25_2017	6.45	6.47	7.58	7.63	7.69	7.9	7.88(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	210	7	123	5.53	100%	1.1	73.3	6.54%	0	1.1	76	0
25	Aug_24_2017	6.38	6.3	7.45	7.52	7.52	7.72	7.83(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	190	3	134	4.35	100%		71.6	6.77%	0	1.2	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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