Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GBTC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $5.9100 (-18.56%) ($5.9100 - $6.7871) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.96% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $5.9100(-18.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC declines -7.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(12%)    EWJ(9%)    BOTZ(8%)    IBUY(8%)    IWC(8%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -3.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BWX(-4%)    VIXM(-2%)    TLT(-2%)

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -3.48% (StdDev 6.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -12.9%

Resistance Level   $7.95
5 Day Moving Average   $7.23(-18.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8.07(-26.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7.95(-25.66%)
To recent high   -43.7%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 11.7% (three month std-dev: 6.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.2%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 7.31%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.13%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2017	7.06	7.95	8.07	7.23	7.21	6.85	5.91(-18.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-360	-26	-59	16.19	62%	-0.42	12.7	6.96%	0	-2.2	44	0
2	Sep_12_2017	7.09	8.03	8.37	7.78	7.79	7.33	7.26(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-410	-10	-12	6.15	73%	0	43.4	6.53%	0	-0.9	53	0
3	Sep_11_2017	7.09	8.05	8.46	7.94	8.12	7.57	7.2(-4.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-10	-410	-14	3	7.19	73%	0	63.6	6.83%	0	-1	55	0
4	Sep_8_2017	7.09	8.03	8.55	8.17	8.2	8.25	7.51(-8.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-14	50	-25	18	8.42	73%	0.28	78.1	6.86%	0	-0.6	56	0
5	Sep_7_2017	7.07	7.96	8.61	8.77	8.59	8.67	8.25(-4.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	0	-8	64	7.07	80%	0.57	95	6.84%	0	0.3	57	0

6	Sep_6_2017	7.03	7.83	8.56	8.77	9.05	8.16	8.67(7.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-690	-3	87	5.94	80%	0.86	98.5	6.82%	0	0.8	61	0
7	Sep_5_2017	6.97	7.68	8.45	9.06	9.19	8.51	8.09(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-470	-11	92	14.2	78%	0.58	98.9	6.8%	0	0.3	63	0
8	Sep_1_2017	6.93	7.56	8.38	9.05	9.4	9.94	8.35(-20.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	28	520	5	96	27.11	78%	0.73	94.3	6.75%	0	0.6	58	0
9	Aug_31_2017	6.88	7.4	8.29	8.95	9.05	9.88	10.49(8.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	54	680	31	122	15.91	100%	2.23	90.5	6.23%	0	2.2	82	0
10	Aug_30_2017	6.73	7.12	8	8.42	8.42	8.85	9.68(11.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	44	360	23	105	10.07	100%	1.82	87.2	6.34%	0	1.9	83	0

11	Aug_29_2017	6.61	6.86	7.78	8.01	8.06	8.23	8.7(8.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	170	13	104	8.43	100%	1.38	82.2	6.24%	0	1.4	83	0
12	Aug_28_2017	6.52	6.65	7.62	7.77	7.85	7.98	8(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	150	7	109	3.45	100%	1.09	77.1	6.22%	0	1	79	0
13	Aug_25_2017	6.45	6.47	7.58	7.63	7.69	7.9	7.88(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	210	7	123	5.53	100%	1.1	73.3	6.54%	0	1.1	76	0
14	Aug_24_2017	6.38	6.3	7.45	7.52	7.52	7.72	7.83(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	190	3	134	4.35	100%	1.11	71.6	6.77%	0	1.2	80	0
15	Aug_23_2017	6.31	6.12	7.26	7.5	7.46	7.48	7.62(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	0	1	124	3.14	100%	1.12	72.6	8.39%	0	1.1	80	0

16	Aug_22_2017	6.24	5.95	7.05	7.51	7.48	7.31	7.49(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	35	-170	1	137	5.77	100%	1.13	76.6	8.76%	0	1.2	81	0
17	Aug_21_2017	6.17	5.79	6.86	7.44	7.52	7.43	7.3(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-50	-4	151	6.84	100%	0.98	78.5	8.81%	0	1.2	82	0
18	Aug_18_2017	6.11	5.64	6.7	7.53	7.49	7.65	7.35(-5.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	130	6	190	8.18	100%	1.33	87.5	8.81%	0	1.3	83	0
19	Aug_17_2017	6.03	5.47	6.47	7.35	7.48	7.61	7.76(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	62	170	16	200	9.71	100%	2.03	86.4	8.75%	0	1.8	87	0
20	Aug_16_2017	5.91	5.28	6.19	6.96	7.12	7.33	7.65(7.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	280	17	190	7.11	100%	2.07	81.1	8.75%	0	2	88	0

21	Aug_15_2017	5.79	5.08	5.88	6.52	6.65	7.34	7.15(-7.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	790	16	169	12.19	100%	1.94	73.5	8.73%	0	2	87	0
22	Aug_14_2017	5.68	4.91	5.61	6.19	6.23	6.9	7.73(20.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	57	770	24	157	13.57	100%	3.09	68.7	8.66%	0	2.9	94	0
23	Aug_11_2017	5.51	4.7	5.26	5.77	5.74	5.96	6.44(10.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	43	250	15	127	9.13	100%	1.47	69.6	8.56%	0	2.4	85	0
24	Aug_10_2017	5.43	4.57	5.05	5.48	5.56	5.55	5.85(7.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	34	30	9	107	6.03	100%	0.74	65.4	8.52%	0	2	84	0
25	Aug_9_2017	5.39	4.47	4.88	5.29	5.39	5.53	5.43(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	240	8	96	3.1	100%		64	8.54%	0	1.7	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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