Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $56.4500 (1.8%) ($52.8000 - $57.7500) on Thu. Jan. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.17% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $56.4500(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 6.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT advances 12% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(57%)    IBB(53%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(44%)    ARKK(42%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -2.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.585% (StdDev 5.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.03(17.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.91(25.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.61(35.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   76.4%
Market Cap   $3.462b

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 13.31% (three month std-dev: 5.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.65%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.23%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 21.12%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.19%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 16.82%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.8%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2018	35.61	41.61	44.91	48.03	47.99	53.36	56.45(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	117	780	96	178	2.64	66%	0.85	30.8	5.17%	0	2.7	82	0
2	Jan_10_2018	35.31	40.63	43.07	45.12	44.52	48.08	55.45(17.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	103	520	90	141	5.09	67%	0.86	18.2	5.17%	0	3.4	83	0
3	Jan_9_2018	35.01	39.99	41.34	42.5	42.23	42.62	47.15(19.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	48	50	33	91	4.27	62%	0.6	10.8	4.73%	0	2.8	74	0
4	Jan_8_2018	34.8	39.85	40.55	41.39	41.55	40.97	39.6(-4.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-90	-10	77	0.74	57%	0.35	6.6	4.13%	0	-0.1	64	0
5	Jan_5_2018	34.68	40.04	40.47	41.34	41.58	41.83	41.5(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	60	1	81	0.5	59%	0.41	12.7	4.08%	0	0.6	56	0

6	Jan_4_2018	34.54	39.97	40.09	41.18	41.24	42.13	41.9(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	160	21	84	0.67	62%	0.41	15.5	4.07%	0	0.7	60	0
7	Jan_3_2018	34.4	39.86	39.51	40.6	40.69	41.34	42.35(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	120	24	65	0.68	60%	0.41	10.9	4.2%	0	0.9	61	0
8	Jan_2_2018	34.26	39.72	38.94	39.99	39.98	40.35	41.6(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	60	10	20	0.85	60%	0.56	5.2	4.24%	0	0.7	42	0
9	Dec_29_2017	34.07	39.7	38.4	39.63	39.76	40.03	39.35(-3.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	60	9	-19	0.59	60%	0.35	5.8	4.19%	0	-0.1	35	0
10	Dec_28_2017	33.95	39.71	38.38	39.47	39.54	39.61	40.7(4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	20	12	-36	0.74	61%	0.41	6.1	4.21%	0	0.4	43	0

11	Dec_27_2017	33.81	39.55	38.12	38.82	39.11	39.49	39(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	90	12	-56	0.6	59%	0.36	-2.6	4.2%	0	-0.2	49	0
12	Dec_26_2017	33.69	39.57	38.04	38.21	38.58	39.48	39.3(-1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	190	21	-71	0.54	59%	0.45	-12.3	4.19%	0	-0.1	50	0
13	Dec_22_2017	33.54	39.59	38.51	37.71	37.75	38.74	39.8(3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	190	27	-64	1	61%	0.39	-19.8	4.16%	0	0.1	52	0
14	Dec_21_2017	33.41	39.59	39.01	37	37.07	37.68	38.55(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	120	11	-72	0.72	59%	0.33	-28.4	4.18%	0	-0.4	45	0
15	Dec_20_2017	33.3	39.56	39.5	37.17	36.74	36.76	37.45(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-30	-3	-61	1.24	59%	0.39	-30.8	4.23%	0	-0.8	49	0

16	Dec_19_2017	33.17	39.62	39.81	37.35	37.33	36.47	35.95(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-160	-12	-54	1	59%	0.3	-28.2	4.21%	0	-1.4	51	0
17	Dec_18_2017	33.07	39.89	40.26	37.84	37.75	36.73	36.8(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-200	-45	-56	1.16	59%	0.3	-20.7	4.2%	0	-1.3	48	0
18	Dec_15_2017	32.97	40.09	40.61	39.44	38.97	38.19	36.25(-7.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-180	-40	-23	3.99	60%	0.3	1	4.2%	0	-1.6	47	0
19	Dec_14_2017	32.87	40.3	41.2	41.33	40.51	38.78	39.4(2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-360	-31	27	2.55	64%	0.34	27.8	4.12%	0	-0.4	53	0
20	Dec_13_2017	32.76	40.37	41.24	42.22	41.77	39.74	38.35(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-21	-370	-43	46	3.68	64%	0.31	44.3	4.11%	0	-0.9	54	0

21	Dec_12_2017	32.66	40.36	41.22	42.61	42.84	42.25	38.4(-14.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	2	-80	-19	63	2.84	62%	0.25	45.7	4.11%	0	-0.9	54	0
22	Dec_11_2017	32.58	40.4	41.36	42.93	42.42	43.8	44.78(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	190	23	89	4.09	69%	0.46	44.8	3.72%	0	2	58	0
23	Dec_8_2017	32.43	40.07	40.8	41.92	41.77	43.43	45.7(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	56	270	50	75	1.48	69%	0.56	28.2	3.71%	0	2.9	62	0
24	Dec_7_2017	32.25	39.71	40.11	41.12	40.93	41.04	43.85(8.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	32	0	27	45	1.37	67%	0.5	22.8	3.71%	0	2.8	60	0
25	Dec_6_2017	32.09	39.44	39.53	40.24	40.63	40.11	40.3(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-60	1	6	0.49	65%		7.1	3.57%	0	0.8	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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