Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $44.7800 (-2.01%) ($38.0500 - $45.8500) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.72% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $44.7800(-2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(57%)    IBB(52%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(44%)    ARKK(41%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -1.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.86% (StdDev 3.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.93(4.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.36(8.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.4(10.84%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   70.6%
Market Cap   $2.746b

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 5.4% (three month std-dev: 3.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 2.78%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(40%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 4.66%(68%) Average negative next three day return: -2.82%(32%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 8.83%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.33%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2017	32.58	40.4	41.36	42.93	42.42	43.8	44.78(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	190	23	89	4.09	69%	0.46	44.8	3.72%	0	2	58	0
2	Dec_8_2017	32.43	40.07	40.8	41.92	41.77	43.43	45.7(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	56	270	50	75	1.48	69%	0.56	28.2	3.71%	0	2.9	62	0
3	Dec_7_2017	32.25	39.71	40.11	41.12	40.93	41.04	43.85(8.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	32	0	27	45	1.37	67%	0.5	22.8	3.71%	0	2.8	60	0
4	Dec_6_2017	32.09	39.44	39.53	40.24	40.63	40.11	40.3(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-60	1	6	0.49	65%	0.38	7.1	3.57%	0	0.8	49	0
5	Dec_5_2017	31.97	39.38	39.33	39.66	40.3	40.82	40(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	140	2	-4	0.58	62%	0.38	-10.8	3.57%	0	0.6	59	0

6	Dec_4_2017	31.85	39.45	39.41	39.51	39.8	41.15	39.75(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	260	24	9	0.99	62%	0.35	-2	3.67%	0	0.2	54	0
7	Dec_1_2017	31.74	39.52	39.47	39.46	39.27	39.78	41.7(5.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	26	80	29	18	1.42	64%	0.41	22.2	3.64%	0	1.7	60	0
8	Nov_30_2017	31.61	39.38	39.27	38.96	38.84	38.46	39.45(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-80	-2	-3	0.75	64%	0.38	32.5	3.63%	0	0.1	52	0
9	Nov_29_2017	31.49	39.36	39.39	38.74	38.84	38.76	37.4(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10	-9	-3	0.67	63%	0.29	45	3.58%	0	-1.6	47	0
10	Nov_28_2017	31.4	39.49	39.44	38.92	38.92	39.22	39.25(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	50	-4	-3	0.42	67%	0.35	81.7	3.56%	0	-0.2	52	0

11	Nov_27_2017	31.29	39.47	39.42	39.29	39.01	39.08	39.5(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10	1	-3	0.56	67%	0.35	119.9	3.62%	0	0	43	0
12	Nov_24_2017	31.18	39.24	39.42	39.49	39.36	38.62	39.2(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-140	-9	-14	0.25	67%	0.39	94.3	3.62%	0	-0	42	0
13	Nov_22_2017	31.06	39	39.32	39.66	39.63	38.94	38.35(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-120	-27	-17	0.69	67%	0.26	77.7	3.6%	0	-0.3	50	0
14	Nov_21_2017	30.98	38.84	39.38	40.14	40.18	40.1	38.3(-6.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	1	-10	0	4	1.1	67%	0.29	78.8	3.6%	0	-0.2	50	0
15	Nov_20_2017	30.89	38.61	39.47	39.97	40.03	40.33	41.1(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	60	13	2	0.55	71%	0.46	68.3	3.5%	0	0.9	55	0

16	Nov_17_2017	30.75	38.18	39.49	39.54	39.35	40.25	40.5(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	150	16	5	0.38	71%	0.39	59.8	3.5%	0	0.8	57	0
17	Nov_16_2017	30.63	37.8	39.56	39.13	39.07	39.73	40.05(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	110	25	27	0.65	71%	0.33	53	3.54%	0	0.7	69	0
18	Nov_15_2017	30.53	37.41	39.47	38.95	38.61	38.44	40.75(8.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-60	6	36	1.26	71%	0.46	48.8	3.53%	0	1	72	0
19	Nov_14_2017	30.39	37	39.29	38.57	38.58	38.42	37.45(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-30	-12	40	1.03	69%	0.33	44.6	3.4%	0	0.1	64	0
20	Nov_13_2017	30.29	36.79	39.54	38.89	38.81	38.78	38.95(1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10	-11	79	0.82	72%	0.3	46.9	3.37%	0	0.6	72	0

21	Nov_10_2017	30.2	36.5	39.53	39.44	39.2	38.74	38.45(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-100	-17	122	0.47	73%	0.3	53.3	3.43%	0	0.6	74	0
22	Nov_9_2017	30.11	36.21	39.18	40.06	39.98	38.84	39.15(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-210	-15	155	0.61	73%	0.27	59.4	3.41%	0	0.9	74	0
23	Nov_8_2017	30.03	35.9	38.71	40.05	40.38	39.66	38.85(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-100	-23	167	0.42	69%	0.37	61.7	3.41%	0	0.9	75	0
24	Nov_7_2017	29.92	35.61	38.31	40.09	40.45	41.13	39.05(-6.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	48	140	1	189	0.85	69%	0.4	64.8	3.52%	0	1	73	0
25	Nov_6_2017	29.8	35.3	37.76	40.24	40.13	41.1	41.7(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	81	160	34	221	0.55	73%		72.6	3.43%	0	1.9	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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